My election prediction!

[canceled.2021.3]

All you got are feelings and hopes. You are kinda pitiful.

I know your gambit. You think you are going to goad me into a prediction. You were already on record saying you wouldn't make a prediction this year. I proved that.


Anything else you say is irrelevant. If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college. I on the other hand, was the curve

 

[canceled.2021.3]

I'll point out a few things.

1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.

THIS

 

[Legion]

If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college.

There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.

 

[Jarod]

I'll point out a few things.

1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.

Finally some actual data driven analysis. To your points.. 1. I understand what you are saying about the polls this time saying the same thing as last time, but I see a difference in several ways. This time it is incredibly consistent, there has been very little movement, last time they were wildly up and down. Last time neither candidate had been president and so people had much less of a fixed idea of how they would serve. Finally, Trump is an incumbent and generally the undecided move away from the incumbent in the end. Now, I would be very interested in your perspective on these points and as I said, I am willing to discuss and could be convinced. 2. I will give you that it appears that Trump* has the energy on his side, but remember Nixon's silent majority? And you cant tell me that a lot of people are very motivated to get rid of Trump*. 3. Purely anecdotal, but I have seen people who voted Trump* last time moving to Biden, but I have not seen anyone who voted Hillary move to Trump.

 

[Jarod]

I know your gambit. You think you are going to goad me into a prediction. You were already on record saying you wouldn't make a prediction this year. I proved that.


Anything else you say is irrelevant. If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college. I on the other hand, was the curve

You already made a prediction. I dont care if you do it again or not.

 

[Jarod]

THIS

Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.

 

[Jarod]

There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.

And, now I know you think you know something that you do not know. Not NOVA!

 

[Legion]

Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.

Damocles cited no data in his post, Brad*.

I'll point out a few things.

1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.

 

[Legion]

And, now I know you think you know something that you do not know. Not NOVA!

That's where Bruce Rogow teaches, Brad*.

 

[Jarod]

That's where Bruce Rogow teaches, Brad*.

Bruce Rogow has been a visiting professor at several Florida law schools.

 

[canceled.2021.3]

You already made a prediction. I dont care if you do it again or not.

No I didn't

 

[Jarod]

No I didn't

Run, Run, Run...

 

[canceled.2021.3]

Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.

you are too funny

why don't you try the "double dog dare ya"?

Have you see all of the analysis I have done breaking down bogus polls? That is being data driven you dumb fuck. Unlike you I am smart enough to dig into the polls and understand the methodology and the internals. All you can do is parrot the top line numbers with no in depth analysis. If that is what passes for fact driven in your world then have at it.

You are barking up the wrong tree with me puddin

 

[Legion]

Bruce Rogow has been a visiting professor at several Florida law schools.

I know you aren't very bright (from personal experience, I might add), but ask your housekeeper or your wife to read this and explain what it means to you, if they can:

There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.

 

[Legion]

you are too funny

There wasn't a scrap of "data" in Damocles' post.

Brad* doesn't know what data is, apparently. I'm not surprised.

 

[Legion]

I do not consider myself very much of a political prognosticator.

Nor does anyone else, Brad*.

10-24-2016

Looks like the Democrats will get the Presidency and the Senate... That plan to refuse to give a hearing to the Moderate Merck Garland really failed!

Who do you think would be good? Bill Clinton? Barak Obama?

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!

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[Jarod]

you are too funny

why don't you try the "double dog dare ya"?

Have you see all of the analysis I have done breaking down bogus polls? That is being data driven you dumb fuck. Unlike you I am smart enough to dig into the polls and understand the methodology and the internals. All you can do is parrot the top line numbers with no in depth analysis. If that is what passes for fact driven in your world then have at it.

You are barking up the wrong tree with me puddin

You dont have to make a prediction, you would just have to find two brain cells to rub together to come up with some reasoning to try to argue against my prediction.

 

[Legion]

You just have to find two brain cells to rub together.

Is that how many you used for this, Brad*?

Epic fail Mitch McMconel!

Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court, Supreme Court!

 

[canceled.2021.3]

You dont have to make a prediction, you would just have to find two brain cells to rub together to come up with some reasoning to try to argue against my prediction.

your prediction that is based on a sophomoric analysis?

not worth the time

Why don't you just quote 538?

 

[Dutch Uncle]

I think Biden will win the popular vote by at least 5 million.

I think the Democrats will flip the seats they need to take the Senate back.

I think the Democrats will expand their House majority by about 10 seats.

I think Biden surprises with a win in Georgia, but I think he loses Texas by less than 2%.

On a state level, I think if Biden wins Texas, the state legislature will flip to blue.

I think there's going to be several state houses that change hands.

This SCOTUS fight is what motivated Democrats in 2018...no reason to believe they wouldn't repeat that performance in 2020.

Of course you do. You also believe in rainbows, unicorns and a Democratic Utopia that works.

As it is, there is a slim chance the Democrats will win the Trifecta. More likely it will be Biden, Republican Senate 52-48 (Harris as VP) and a stronger Democrat House...until the Midterms. It depends on how badly Biden and Pelosi fuck it up over the next two years.