Hey Superfreak? Whats up with Solar?

Chapdog

Abreast of the situations
Been hearing from some investor friends of mine that solar is getting ready to heat up again. Have you heard that as well?
 
Been hearing from some investor friends of mine that solar is getting ready to heat up again. Have you heard that as well?

With the Obama admin coming in, it should heat up. Hopefully he continues to ignore the competitive cost factors of today and focuses on the long term viability of the industry (among other alt energy options)

The solars are up pretty well today, but they have a ways to go to break out relative strength over cash. But given the long tail down on the charts, they could almost double before seeing a techinical breakout. If you want a decent sector look, track TAN.

If I were to play the solars right now, I would stick with TAN as there could be a shakeout of some of the smaller companies and you don't want to get stuck holding the wrong solar play. I like the sector and think it has long term viability and great growth potential (especially under Obama)... but would recommend caution here.
 
With the Obama admin coming in, it should heat up. Hopefully he continues to ignore the competitive cost factors of today and focuses on the long term viability of the industry (among other alt energy options)

The solars are up pretty well today, but they have a ways to go to break out relative strength over cash. But given the long tail down on the charts, they could almost double before seeing a techinical breakout. If you want a decent sector look, track TAN.

If I were to play the solars right now, I would stick with TAN as there could be a shakeout of some of the smaller companies and you don't want to get stuck holding the wrong solar play. I like the sector and think it has long term viability and great growth potential (especially under Obama)... but would recommend caution here.

o.k. thanks. im stuck in eslr im not gonna move out of it till I break even.
 
cost is around $2-4 a watt depending on the quality/company and they expect for it to drop below $1 by 2014
Not what I heard. Perhaps your cost doesn't include shipping, installation, wiring, controls, etc. Oh, and "they" have been saying that the price will go down in 6 years for the past 40 or so.
 
o.k. thanks. im stuck in eslr im not gonna move out of it till I break even.

I liked Evergreen, but Lehman screwed them over pretty good. That is the danger.

Say you started with $10k and are now down to $3k. If you believe in the sectors potential... why stick with one stock? If in a non-IRA account, tax harvest. Book your loss and shift into another that also has the upside.

Just my opinion.

Disclaimer.... due to how hard ESLR has been hammered, they do have tremendous upside potential... I just am still nervous about owning one stock in that sector. Once burned...
 
Not what I heard. Perhaps your cost doesn't include shipping, installation, wiring, controls, etc. Oh, and "they" have been saying that the price will go down in 6 years for the past 40 or so.

Um, the price has come down quite a bit in the past 6 years and will likely continue trending down.

Granted it is still subsidized by the government, but with that subsidy, the breakeven point for most commercial properties is about a year.... and that does not include the savings in terms of the environment, reduction in fossil fuel use (ie... reducing demand on oil/nat gas etc)
 
Um, the price has come down quite a bit in the past 6 years and will likely continue trending down.

Granted it is still subsidized by the government, but with that subsidy, the breakeven point for most commercial properties is about a year.... and that does not include the savings in terms of the environment, reduction in fossil fuel use (ie... reducing demand on oil/nat gas etc)

First Solar beat the prices the produce conventionally already without subsidies. Read the article I posted...
 
I liked Evergreen, but Lehman screwed them over pretty good. That is the danger.

Say you started with $10k and are now down to $3k. If you believe in the sectors potential... why stick with one stock? If in a non-IRA account, tax harvest. Book your loss and shift into another that also has the upside.

Just my opinion.

Disclaimer.... due to how hard ESLR has been hammered, they do have tremendous upside potential... I just am still nervous about owning one stock in that sector. Once burned...

Well its not 10k its 50k for me. I want to make some money back before I drop it.
 
Well its not 10k its 50k for me. I want to make some money back before I drop it.

Same principal applies. If Solars are expected to go up... do you tie yourself to one company or the sector as a whole. The single company gives you better odds of hitting the hero or zero type performance. Higher risk/return.

Obviously we all have our own levels of risk tolerance. For that sector right now, I play the TAN. I had ESLR, LDK and JASO in my portfolio. Sold them all and bought TAN to book the losses, yet not miss out on the upside rebound. Just sharing the way I played it. To each their own.
 
Same principal applies. If Solars are expected to go up... do you tie yourself to one company or the sector as a whole. The single company gives you better odds of hitting the hero or zero type performance. Higher risk/return.

Obviously we all have our own levels of risk tolerance. For that sector right now, I play the TAN. I had ESLR, LDK and JASO in my portfolio. Sold them all and bought TAN to book the losses, yet not miss out on the upside rebound. Just sharing the way I played it. To each their own.

I will have to think it over. I just hate taking realized losses
 
Finally! Sf and Chap post some shit that I'm actually interested in, and that they might actually know something about.

Stick to this stuff boys and you'll go far.

Thanks for the tips, I have been looking at solar, I want in, and am not sure how to go.

And I said you two weren't good for much, well, other than SF being able to crack coconuts open with his head.
 
http://www.greentechmedia.com/artic...es-grid-parity-milestone-says-eport-5387.html

Solar's reached a grid parity! It costs $0.075 per kilowatt hour for solar as opposed to $0.09 per kilowatt hour for convential. This is a huge milestone for Solar, which is a big reason to invest.

This story is incredibly misleading.
After figuring out how much electricity the system is generating, Bachman determined that it costs $0.164 per kilowatt hour.
It doesn't appear that this includes the cost of distribution and management, would would increase costs by a factor of at least 3, or 50 cents per kwh. Also, I'm not sure if this includes the night cycle, which of course would raise the average kwh cost by another factor of 3 or more. So the actual billed costs to the consumer may be a buck-fifty.:eek:

My power bill is around 8 cents, and the power is generated by nuclear and coal.
 
This story is incredibly misleading. It doesn't appear that this includes the cost of distribution and management, would would increase costs by a factor of at least 3, or 50 cents per kwh. Also, I'm not sure if this includes the night cycle, which of course would raise the average kwh cost by another factor of 3 or more. So the actual billed costs to the consumer may be a buck-fifty.:eek:

My power bill is around 8 cents, and the power is generated by nuclear and coal.

how much did the governement pay to build the coal and nuclear plant? subsidies to your cost?
 
Better yet lets talk about oil. dirt cheap huh? how about the multiple wars and massive military we have to keep it flowing? where is that cost calculated in? Having a cost analyst mentality I tent to look at ALL IN costs including non direct.
 
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