Polling after Terror attack...

Bill said:
Nice new avatar..... I like that one.... We did a caption this on it..... I thought palin had just found a big green luge that was spit out & hid under the pepperoni....lol

don just enjoyed his............:)
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I don't know...not sure I like it... I have a few others to try.
 
PostmodernProphet said:
didn't it go down again, counselor?.....
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Never seen otherwise-smart people in so much denial about something as they are about Trump's chances. Same mistake as primaries, Brexit. [Nate Silver on Twitter]

Trump's odds of winning today would be about 43%. The million dollar assumption is voter turnout.

I think Hillary's campaign knows there aren't a lot of people out there who can't wait to vote for her. Sure, the feminists might and some hardcore partisans would be, but I suspect rank and file democrats aren't feeling it. Especially after what the DNC did to Bernie.

So, Hillary has to attack Trump and basically fear-monger him to get people to vote *against* Trump. They'll ratchet-up the racism charges, Trump is Hitler, blah blah blah, in the next 7 weeks or whatever it is.

But if this race tightens any more at all and Trump's odds start to approach 50%, Hillary's done, because she won't turn democrats out like Obama did.
 
Darth Hussein Omar said:
Never seen otherwise-smart people in so much denial about something as they are about Trump's chances. Same mistake as primaries, Brexit. [Nate Silver on Twitter]

Trump's odds of winning today would be about 43%. The million dollar assumption is voter turnout.

I think Hillary's campaign knows there aren't a lot of people out there who can't wait to vote for her. Sure, the feminists might and some hardcore partisans would be, but I suspect rank and file democrats aren't feeling it. Especially after what the DNC did to Bernie.

So, Hillary has to attack Trump and basically fear-monger him to get people to vote *against* Trump. They'll ratchet-up the racism charges, Trump is Hitler, blah blah blah, in the next 7 weeks or whatever it is.

But if this race tightens any more at all and Trump's odds start to approach 50%, Hillary's done, because she won't turn democrats out like Obama did.
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I agree with you about people being in denial about Trumps chances, I think at this point Trump has a high likelihood of winning. That does not change my point in this post.
 
Jarod said:
No, in fact sense the terror attack HRC has gone up, Trump down....opposite of what the Deplorables predicted.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
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Rasmussen Reports 9/20 - 9/21 1000 LV 3.0 39 44 8 2 Trump +5
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 9/16 - 9/19 922 LV 3.2 43 37 9 2 Clinton +6
Economist/YouGov 9/18 - 9/19 936 RV 4.0 40 38 7 2 Clinton +2
Reuters/Ipsos 9/15 - 9/19 1111 LV 3.4 37 39 7 2 Trump +2
NBC News/SM 9/12 - 9/18 13320 LV 1.2 45 40 10 4 Clinton +5
FOX News 9/11 - 9/14 867 LV 3.0 41 40 8 3 Clinton +1
CBS News/NY Times 9/9 - 9/13 1433 LV 3.0 42 42 8 4 Tie
Quinnipiac 9/8 - 9/13 960 LV 3.2 41 39 13 4 Clinton +2
All General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Polling Data
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two polls have shown her with a commanding lead.....both are NBC polls.....everyone else tracks her down.....which is the static you referred to just last week?......
 
PostmodernProphet said:
two polls have shown her with a commanding lead.....both are NBC polls.....everyone else tracks her down.....which is the static you referred to just last week?......
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I was told his numbers were going to go up after the Terrorist attack. The FACT is, on average, hers have gone up.
 
now here perhaps is a true reflection on public reaction

in the state of Illinois in a completely pre-terror attack poll.....Hillary led Trump by 14 points

Loras 9/13 - 9/16 600 LV 4.0 47 33 Clinton +14
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and in a completely post-terror attack poll, she led Trump by 6 points....
Emerson* 9/19 - 9/21 700 LV 3.6 45 39 Clinton +6
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is that the sort of trend you're looking for?......
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/il/illinois_trump_vs_clinton-5583.html
 
PostmodernProphet said:
now here perhaps is a true reflection on public reaction

in the state of Illinois in a completely pre-terror attack poll.....Hillary led Trump by 14 points



and in a completely post-terror attack poll, she led Trump by 6 points....


is that the sort of trend you're looking for?......
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/il/illinois_trump_vs_clinton-5583.html
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You cant compare two very different polls, what were those same polls before and after.... Maybe Emerson was polling low all along? Do you understand how to read polling data?

The trend, not just noise, is that HRC is going up since the terrorist attack.
 
they forget


their ID laws were stomped


the republican power brokers are not going to pull out the cheating for trump
 
Jarod said:
No, I am comparing the Real Clear Politics average....


By the way again today.... She is up, the "noise" is proving to be a trend... Realclearpolitics.com
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again, based on nothing more than two NBC polls......let's let it ferment a while and we'll see if it becomes a trend........after all the first debate is Monday and that is certain to have an impact on the polls one way or another or another.........
 
PostmodernProphet said:
again, based on nothing more than two NBC polls......let's let it ferment a while and we'll see if it becomes a trend........after all the first debate is Monday and that is certain to have an impact on the polls one way or another or another.........
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We are discussing the effect the terrorist attacks had... not the debates.

Remember, or just trying to change the subject. No the Real Clear Politics average is based on more than just two NBC polls, you and Don cant learn that repeating a lie over and over does not make it true.
 
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