Its been a couple of days and I still hate pence
Hoping it will suddenly change to newt.
I tried to turn off my partisan lenses and look at things like a manafort would. Someone who doesnt care what side hes on as long as he wins and it looks like Pence got the nod for much of the same reasons why Warren would get the nod if she did.
There are some unchanged trends in this years polling.
1. Trump does better than an average republican in blue states sometimes putting them into play
2. Trump does worse than an average republican in red states sometimes putting them into play.
3. There are a lot of undecided + johnson voters.
If you look at it logically then it seems the social conservatives and other traditional republican groups are not as committed to Trump as his new core group of protectionist / socially liberal Republicans. Lets call this the new nationalist wing of the repub party. So we have a choice aimed at galvanizing the other wing of the party. (the conservative wing)
Does it really matter if you win by 40 in utah? Well no. And i think romney would have given up 30 of his 40 point lead in utah for 1 point in florida but even if these social conservatives in competetive states dont make a majority if it moves them from undecided to Trump then it may give him the win.
I tried to turn off my partisan lenses and look at things like a manafort would. Someone who doesnt care what side hes on as long as he wins and it looks like Pence got the nod for much of the same reasons why Warren would get the nod if she did.
There are some unchanged trends in this years polling.
1. Trump does better than an average republican in blue states sometimes putting them into play
2. Trump does worse than an average republican in red states sometimes putting them into play.
3. There are a lot of undecided + johnson voters.
If you look at it logically then it seems the social conservatives and other traditional republican groups are not as committed to Trump as his new core group of protectionist / socially liberal Republicans. Lets call this the new nationalist wing of the repub party. So we have a choice aimed at galvanizing the other wing of the party. (the conservative wing)
Does it really matter if you win by 40 in utah? Well no. And i think romney would have given up 30 of his 40 point lead in utah for 1 point in florida but even if these social conservatives in competetive states dont make a majority if it moves them from undecided to Trump then it may give him the win.