Will Trump or Cruz win the GOP nomination?

[Mott the Hoople]

Trumps ego and resulting mental state would concern me were he in the oval. If I'm wrong to be concerned you are correct cruz's fundamentalism and radical religious furvor would be more dangerous than Trumps bravado.

Trumps schtick is an act. He's shrewdly saying what the average working class white guy wants to hear and he's doing it with an even greater degree of understanding than W did and W was, politically speaking, pretty damned good at that. I doubt Trump would have had the business success he's had if he wasn't an effective strategist, a sound planer and a good administrator. I think Trumps issue would be his temperament and his lack of experience in public service. Autocrats from the business world tend not to do well when they win elections as they tend to be tone deaf to public opinion and dissent. They also tend to lack the temperament needed for political coalition building to really govern affectively. That would be my concern with Trump but he doesn't scare me nearly as much as W did or Cruz does. My concerns with W was one of competency. I didn't see anything in his background that showed me he was ready for that level of leadership and I feared greatly that the job would overwhelm him. My fears were justified and proved correct. Cruz, on the other hand I fear as a fanatic and a person with a temperament completely unsuited for any leadership role.

 

[Jarod]

Trumps schtick is an act. He's shrewdly saying what the average working class white guy wants to hear and he's doing it with an even greater degree of understanding than W did and W was, politically speaking, pretty damned good at that. I doubt Trump would have had the business success he's had if he wasn't an effective strategist, a sound planer and a good administrator. I think Trumps issue would be his temperament and his lack of experience in public service. Autocrats from the business world tend not to do well when they win elections as they tend to be tone deaf to public opinion and dissent. They also tend to lack the temperament needed for political coalition building to really govern affectively. That would be my concern with Trump but he doesn't scare me nearly as much as W did or Cruz does. My concerns with W was one of competency. I didn't see anything in his background that showed me he was ready for that level of leadership and I feared greatly that the job would overwhelm him. My fears were justified and proved correct. Cruz, on the other hand I fear as a fanatic and a person with a temperament completely unsuited for any leadership role.

I hope your right about Trump, his popularity and authoritative style concerns me.

 

[Celticguy]

For the first time in my life, there is a good chance there will not be a conservative among the top two presidential choices.

Since 1960 something when i staryed caring, Reagan was somewhat conservative, the rest, nope.

 

[evince]

trump has less support in voter numbers than Bernie does folks


he is about topped out


that is still enough tto win the R nod

 

[Jarod]

Until after New Hampshire history says you really cant count anyone out.

 

[Mott the Hoople]

Bill was a moderate DNC type, at least his second term was. They thought after Reagan they owned patriotism and the White House, that's what upset them about WJC.

Who is a moderate DNC type?

I liked Bill. I didn't vote for him though as I understood that he had some serious character flaws that could get him into boiling water. They did. LOL

 

[Mott the Hoople]

Until after New Hampshire history says you really cant count anyone out.

We'll probably have a good idea who it will be for both Parties on March 1st. Most likely the nominations will be all but sown up by March 15.

 

[Jarod]

I liked Bill. I didn't vote for him though as I understood that he had some serious character flaws that could get him into boiling water. They did. LOL

I go with ideology over that stuff the majority of the time. I figure an ineffective leader pushing good ideology is better than an effective leader pushing bad ideology.

 

[Jarod]

We'll probably have a good idea who it will be for both Parties on March 1st. Most likely the nominations will be all but sown up by March 15.

I agree

 

[Mott the Hoople]

Jaquine Castro from Texas

The Mayor of San Antonio? Interesting choice. I don't see Hillary making either Bernie or Elizabeth Warren running mates but I can see her inviting one or the other into her cabinet. I can see her nominating Warren as Sec. of the Treasury and Bernie as Sec. of Labor and a well respected Republican as Sec of Defense.

 

[Mott the Hoople]

I go with ideology over that stuff the majority of the time. I figure an ineffective leader pushing good ideology is better than an effective leader pushing bad ideology.

Don't you think that's a bit of a false dichotomy?

 

[Jarod]

The Mayor of San Antonio? Interesting choice. I don't see Hillary making either Bernie or Elizabeth Warren running mates but I can see her inviting one or the other into her cabinet. I can see her nominating Warren as Sec. of the Treasury and Bernie as Sec. of Labor and a well respected Republican as Sec of Defense.

Makes sense...

 

[evince]

which republican would that be?

 

[Jarod]

The Mayor of San Antonio? Interesting choice. I don't see Hillary making either Bernie or Elizabeth Warren running mates but I can see her inviting one or the other into her cabinet. I can see her nominating Warren as Sec. of the Treasury and Bernie as Sec. of Labor and a well respected Republican as Sec of Defense.

I think it's the mayor's twin who is a congressman.

 

[USFREEDOM911]

No she is not "My Girl". If my decision to vote for Hillary, as POTUS, has been set since 2010, assuming she wins the nomination, it's because the competition against her on the other side of the aisle is so appallingly bad. Currently there's only one of the GOP candidates I'd consider. The rest are either populist, demagogues or neophytes or, as Jeb's case, out of touch blue bloods. If anyone is my "Person" it's John Kasich but Kasich isn't going to win the nomination, is he?

I'm probably going to vote for Bernie in the Ohio primary simply cause I don't want another Clinton (or Bush) running for POTUS. We need that sort of political inbreeding like we need a collective hole in our heads but I'll take her in a heart beat over the current cast of clowns who are front runners on the GOP Circus Train.

YEAH, she's your girl.

 

[evince]

she is a woman


and you will lose to her

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

No she is not "My Girl". If my decision to vote for Hillary, as POTUS, has been set since 2010, assuming she wins the nomination, it's because the competition against her on the other side of the aisle is so appallingly bad. Currently there's only one of the GOP candidates I'd consider. The rest are either populist, demagogues or neophytes or, as Jeb's case, out of touch blue bloods. If anyone is my "Person" it's John Kasich but Kasich isn't going to win the nomination, is he?

I'm probably going to vote for Bernie in the Ohio primary simply cause I don't want another Clinton (or Bush) running for POTUS. We need that sort of political inbreeding like we need a collective hole in our heads but I'll take her in a heart beat over the current cast of clowns who are front runners on the GOP Circus Train.

Whatever helps you sleep at night. I'm sure that come November you'll have some sort of rationalization for it (other than the big Ole (D) I mean).

 

[Airstrip One]

For the GOP's sake I hope they are right but that's just a temporary patch. What does the GOP do about their angry white guy problem?

Nuclear testing in Texass.