Fiscal trouble ahead for most future retirees

People talk about the market like it's some complete game of chance.

That is true of some kinds of investments, but for long-term, conservative, diversified portfolio's, it is not. I'd have a LOT more faith in my retirement with that, than I do with the current SS system.
It's 2 percent vs 12
But don't bother dems with facts, it's their unholy grail!
 
I wish I would have had $1 Million back in 2002 to put into hedge funds. Now there was a case of gambling, but within two years I could have been walking out the door with $10-20 Million and never looking back.
 
Yes, and for my part, the act of setting aside my money for retirement actually makes SS taxes a painful thing. Having the tax holiday go away really sucks for me.

Yeah. Here's the way I think of it. For every $10 I make, I set $2 away for retirement. The government then takes $2 dollars from me for the same purpose, burns $1.50 of it in front of me, and the remaining $.50 they put away for me.
 
The way I looked at it was this.
Over the 28 years I worked the market averaged 12 percent.
1 in 5 years was down
Average down year 16 percent
Average up year 18 percent.

You can't panic

That is the market average. So one would have to own all stocks in the market to average?
Or just magically pick all the winners?

so all investors get those returns you spoke of?
 
That is the market average. So one would have to own all stocks in the market to average?
Or just magically pick all the winners?

so all investors get those returns you spoke of?

Are you being obtuse on purpose? No one has proposed setting up a system where individuals have the option to pick individual stocks in their retirement accounts. And there are index funds and other options which track the market that allow for diversification and less risk.
 
Are you being obtuse on purpose? No one has proposed setting up a system where individuals have the option to pick individual stocks in their retirement accounts. And there are index funds and other options which track the market that allow for diversification and less risk.

So if they do as you say they will all get 12-18% return?

those promoting the 12-18% return are the obtuse ones for ignoring the realities of playing the market.
 
So if they do as you say they will all get 12-18% return?

those promoting the 12-18% return are the obtuse ones for ignoring the realities of playing the market.

Even the most conservative, diversified portfolio would yield a return that is 3-4 times higher than what we have currently, at worst.
 

Just look at the history of the market. There is virtually no multi-decade period where returns weren't guaranteed at a fairly high level.

The market is not a casino. It is for some investors, but it's as predictably steady over the course of long periods of time as anything anyone can imagine.

Now, public SS - the system as we currently have it - is actually a huge gamble, because it is unsustainable. People need to take a look at how they assign "risk."
 
Are you being obtuse on purpose? No one has proposed setting up a system where individuals have the option to pick individual stocks in their retirement accounts. And there are index funds and other options which track the market that allow for diversification and less risk.

WTF are you talking about? Who is going to pick them for you?
 
Just look at the history of the market. There is virtually no multi-decade period where returns weren't guaranteed at a fairly high level.

The market is not a casino. It is for some investors, but it's as predictably steady over the course of long periods of time as anything anyone can imagine.

Now, public SS - the system as we currently have it - is actually a huge gamble, because it is unsustainable. People need to take a look at how they assign "risk."

It is only unsustainable because of the earnings cap, and the misuse of the funds by congress-critters. Why don't you complain about the causes rather than the symptoms?
 
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