Getting tighter...

That looks about right to me. Its going to be close. From todays perspective a win for the President but with no room for any suprises.
 
Romney better blast Ohio with visits & commercials. He needs to take Ohio, and I think he has a chance to put Pennsylvania in play too. If he can pull PA, it's actually a bigger prize than Ohio.
 
morf13 said:
Romney better blast Ohio with visits & commercials. He needs to take Ohio, and I think he has a chance to put Pennsylvania in play too. If he can pull PA, it's actually a bigger prize than Ohio.
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PA is a pipe dream. Not going to happen. Romney's best shots are Ohio and WI.
 
morf13 said:
Romney better blast Ohio with visits & commercials. He needs to take Ohio, and I think he has a chance to put Pennsylvania in play too. If he can pull PA, it's actually a bigger prize than Ohio.
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that said, if Romney by some miracle takes PA... this will be a landslide for Romney, because if PA goes, it likely means Ohio, WI, IA and MI do as well
 
morf13 said:
Romney better blast Ohio with visits & commercials. He needs to take Ohio, and I think he has a chance to put Pennsylvania in play too. If he can pull PA, it's actually a bigger prize than Ohio.
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He is, believe me his is. You can't watch TV here hardly anymore without being inundated by political ads. This weekend Romney ads were about 2 to 1 over Obama in frequency. Early voting exit polls are heavily favoring Obama but that's not representative. The conservative FOP's usually don't vote early.

It's to late for them to change my mind. I all ready voted. :)

Romney has a tough position in tonights debate. Polls show people trust Obama and Democrats far more than Republicans on foreign policy, and rightfully so. Romney has to attack Obama's foreign policy and appear stronger than Obama with out doing two things that would hurt himself. #1. He can't come off as a stupid Neocon war hawk and #2. He can't politicize any current national security issues. The potential for blowback is to great. I don't think he can do that so he'll probably play it safe and come out as a moderate internationalist.

Obama on the other hand has had siginificant foreign policy successes where he turned around the Bush disasaters. He ended the immoral war in Iraq. He's drawing down the war in Afghanistan and he had OBL killed and has decimated the ranks of Al Qaeda, not to mention the role he played in the downfall of Qhadaffi.

Romney will probably try to focus on Iran. Personally I just don't see Obama's vulnerability there and he'll try to emphasize increasing military spending. That will be popular with those in the military industrial establishment but considering our current level of spending is based upon two wars that are over or winding down and that we all ready spend far to much for defense as a ratio of GDP and that even with substantial spending cuts on military we'll still spend more than the rest of the world combined does, that's a losing argument for Romney in Ohio where outside of Wright Pat we don't really have any major millitary bases.
 
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Depends on what you mean by Huge. Around 400,000 to 500,000 have voted early so far but that's only about 6 to 6.5% of registered voters in the State. Exit polls have varied wildly from between a 20% lead for Obama down to a more modest 7% lead for Obama. The real fight will be in central Ohio. Romney has substantial leads in the Cincinnati metro area and in sparsely popularted western and south east Ohio. Obama on the other hand has a significant lead in north east Ohio which has the highest population density. In central Ohio/Columbus area it's very close with Obama having about a 2 to 3% lead which is reflected in the national polls.

The biggest difference in the State is gender gap. White males are overwhelming favoring Romney by around 58% but women favor Obama by about 65%. Minorities overwhelmingly favor Obama in the State. So it appears that gaining women voters is the key to victory for Romney in Ohio. He's focusing on bread and butter issues to try and attract them while Obama is focusing primarly on social issues.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
Depends on what you mean by Huge. Around 400,000 to 500,000 have voted early so far but that's only about 6 to 6.5% of registered voters in the State. Exit polls have varied wildly from between a 20% lead for Obama down to a more modest 7% lead for Obama. The real fight will be in central Ohio. Romney has substantial leads in the Cincinnati metro area and in sparsely popularted western and south east Ohio. Obama on the other hand has a significant lead in north east Ohio which has the highest population density. In central Ohio/Columbus area it's very close with Obama having about a 2 to 3% lead which is reflected in the national polls.

The biggest difference in the State is gender gap. White males are overwhelming favoring Romney by around 58% but women favor Obama by about 65%. Minorities overwhelmingly favor Obama in the State. So it appears that gaining women voters is the key to victory for Romney in Ohio. He's focusing on bread and butter issues to try and attract them while Obama is focusing primarly on social issues.
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I think that is a good thing, women don't only vote as a huge vagina/uterus, they actually have more than one issue. Here we've gotten all the Obama supporter ads with "vote like your female parts depend on it", I don't think it is helping them gain supporters though, most women I know are pissed that they are thought of as voting as a vagina by these ads, not as a person. And before some idiot comes in here and says I only know R women, they have no idea... I work in a place where I have maybe 5 out of 100 people who aren't a D and in the Union, most of the people I spend the most time with are not republican.
 
Damocles said:
I think that is a good thing, women don't only vote as a huge vagina/uterus, they actually have more than one issue. Here we've gotten all the Obama supporter ads with "vote like your female parts depend on it", I don't think it is helping them gain supporters though, most women I know are pissed that they are thought of as voting as a vagina by these ads, not as a person. And before some idiot comes in here and says I only know R women, they have no idea... I work in a place where I have maybe 5 out of 100 people who aren't a D and in the Union, most of the people I spend the most time with are not republican.
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I will truly be thankful when this election season is over. 99/100 ads are political bullshit ads right now and it is f'in annoying.
 
I hope Romney loses Ohio, but wins the election by taking Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Colorado. This is beginning to look feasible. Plus, it would give the finger to the dumbass Ohioan mother fuckers who think they rule the roost.
 
morf13 said:
Romney better blast Ohio with visits & commercials. He needs to take Ohio, and I think he has a chance to put Pennsylvania in play too. If he can pull PA, it's actually a bigger prize than Ohio.
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He's not even running ads here and hasn't been for a long time. If there's the ghost of a chance, don't you think he would have started up?
 
Voltaire said:
I hope Romney loses Ohio, but wins the election by taking Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Colorado. This is beginning to look feasible. Plus, it would give the finger to the dumbass Ohioan mother fuckers who think they rule the roost.
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I'm requesting that you sign an affidavit that you won't harm yourself or others if Romney loses.
 
Damocles said:
I think that is a good thing, women don't only vote as a huge vagina/uterus, they actually have more than one issue. Here we've gotten all the Obama supporter ads with "vote like your female parts depend on it", I don't think it is helping them gain supporters though, most women I know are pissed that they are thought of as voting as a vagina by these ads, not as a person. And before some idiot comes in here and says I only know R women, they have no idea... I work in a place where I have maybe 5 out of 100 people who aren't a D and in the Union, most of the people I spend the most time with are not republican.
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I don't think the women you know were going to vote for Democrats, anyway, just a feeling.
 
Rana said:
I don't think the women you know were going to vote for Democrats, anyway, just a feeling.
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Most of them still are or won't vote at all, they're pissed because these ads make an assumption that women vote solely on their genitals. But then I have a feeling you didn't read the whole of the post you quoted.
 
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