Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania

Rationalist

Rationalist

Hail Voltaire
A new poll shows Republican Mitt Romney leading in Pennsylvania, a state that Republicans had all but written off just weeks ago but which is now listed as a toss up by the Real Clear Politics website.

Susquehanna Polling and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead over President Obama.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-...lue-pennsylvania/article/2511153#.UICJgvV0TIM

If I may offer a suggestion to liberals, it would be this: check yourselves into a mental health facility early Nov. 6th, because things aren't going to end well for your messiah. :)
 
cawacko said:
There is no way Romney wins PA, I don't care what this polls shows.
Click to expand...

this isn't a logical way of thinking. It's not like PA is impossible for republicans to win. And romney has been gaining there.

We can say it's unlikely, but it's foolish to just pretend PA is the equivalent to massachusetts or california.

I myself think it's unlikely, but I will say this, if early on in election night we get a surprise and PA has gone romney, romney has the election in the bag. You'll might as well turn off your tv when that happens.
 
General Buck Turgidson said:
Hilarious. Here's a link to all the publicly released polls conducted in Pennsylvania since March:

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/pa-president-12

Obama leads in every single one. The idea that some super secret pool conducted for Republican Party officials and which was leaked to a right-wing publication invalidates all of these other polls is laughable. Even RCP has it at Obama +5.

Get real.
Click to expand...

Just because obama has been leading doesn't mean he'll continue to lead. As has been shown in other areas.
 
Q _ Q said:
this isn't a logical way of thinking. It's not like PA is impossible for republicans to win. And romney has been gaining there.

We can say it's unlikely, but it's foolish to just pretend PA is the equivalent to massachusetts or california.

I myself think it's unlikely, but I will say this, if early on in election night we get a surprise and PA has gone romney, romney has the election in the bag. You'll might as well turn off your tv when that happens.
Click to expand...

Fair enough. You are right it's not CA or MA but after seeing all the other polls I have hard time believing this one is accurate and all the others showing Romney losing are wrong. I was going to add to my post what you said which is if Romney does win PA it is likely to be a blow out in his favor.
 
Q _ Q said:
Just because obama has been leading doesn't mean he'll continue to lead. As has been shown in other areas.
Click to expand...

I'm not saying that he has been leading so he will continue to lead. I'm saying he is currently leading based on all available evidence and that this poll in the OP is bunk.
 
i know turg but seriously you just referenced march polls as if that matters at all. The electoral landscape is far different now than it was in march. The race was fundamentally changed after 10/3. That isn't to say Romney wins, but the way we analyze this election certainly is different than if it were early september. As such, referencing that polls pre september had Obama always in the lead in PA is pretty meaningless.

I'm not saying Romney wins PA, my issue is more with the argument your offering itself.
 
Cawacko, your defeatist approach to this election is puzzling. I understand being cautious, but jesus fuck, look at the polls. Romney is gaining across the board. Even if this poll is a fluke, other polls show it tightening in PA. I will admit it is unlikely that Romney will win PA. But the fact that it is close indicates that there is real momentum building for Romney across the nation - momentum that probably can't be stopped before election day.

A poll the other day even showed things tightening in my home state of WA, with Obama leading by only 5 points. Again...Romney probably won't win WA. But the fact that it is close now is a foreshadowing of things to come, IMO.
 
Voltaire said:
Cawacko, your defeatist approach to this election is puzzling. I understand being cautious, but jesus fuck, look at the polls. Romney is gaining across the board. Even if this poll is a fluke, other polls show it tightening in PA. I will admit it is unlikely that Romney will win PA. But the fact that it is close indicates that there is real momentum building for Romney across the nation - momentum that probably can't be stopped before election day.

A poll the other day even showed things tightening in my home state of WA, with Obama leading by only 5 points. Again...Romney probably won't win WA. But the fact that it is close now is a foreshadowing of things to come, IMO.
Click to expand...

You're right, I am a lot more cautious (I hate to use the word defeatist because I do believe Romney has a chance). I guess I was so excited in 2000 about George W. and how wasn't going to make the same mistakes his dad made and he was going to be one of the best Presidents ever... well since then I vowed I would never get excited about another politician again. So do I hope Romney wins? Yes I do. I think he will do a better job than Obama. I have no high hopes for him however that he will create some 'Romney revolution' or anything of the sort. Of course I would be gladly surprised if he did.

So I'm not trying to be negative but I guess I don't have as much confidence at the moment as you and several others do.
 
Voltaire said:
Cawacko, your defeatist approach to this election is puzzling. I understand being cautious, but jesus fuck, look at the polls. Romney is gaining across the board. Even if this poll is a fluke, other polls show it tightening in PA. I will admit it is unlikely that Romney will win PA. But the fact that it is close indicates that there is real momentum building for Romney across the nation - momentum that probably can't be stopped before election day.

A poll the other day even showed things tightening in my home state of WA, with Obama leading by only 5 points. Again...Romney probably won't win WA. But the fact that it is close now is a foreshadowing of things to come, IMO.
Click to expand...

I think McKenna can win governor. It will be interesting to see if Wyman and Dunn, or even Didier can win their races...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top