Latino Decisions tracking poll: Obama up by THIRTY-NINE POINTS

[blackascoal]

The polling firm Latino Decisions and impreMedia unveiled a weekly tracking poll on the Latino vote this morning, with this as the first wave of data:

Just before the beginning of the Republican National Convention in Tampa presidential candidate Mitt Romney continues to overwhelmingly lose the Latino vote and has low levels of favorability among the majority of the Latino electorate. The first weekly tracking poll of Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and impreMedia reveals that 65% would vote to re-elect President Barack Obama and 26% would prefer the Republican alternative offered by Romney. …

Some possible reasons for the stagnation of the Republican candidate are also reflected in the survey. One is the fact that Latino voters primarily blame former President George W. Bush for the state of the economy and not necessarily to President Obama. 68% blamed Bush for the economic downturn of recent years and only 14% blamed Obama.

Another possible clue is the personal popularity of President Obama among these voters, who maintains a high level of 74% favorability, compared to only 27% for Romney. …

The survey finds that 53% of Latino voters consider the economy and jobs as the most important issue, but the issue of immigration, which for Latinos is also a primary issue which is closely linked to family, was also selected by 51% as one of the most important issues. Immigration barely shows up among the general public as an issue this year.

Emily and I wrote earlier this month about the stability, to date, of Obama's lead with Latino voters. Though it's no surprise that Romney trails by a big margin, it's problematic for Republicans if their nominee loses by a wider margin than John McCain did in 2008.

It's worth noting that the dynamics of the race among Latino voters, who are highly concerned about the economy but resistant to voting for an alternative they dislike an distrust, pretty much mirror how Obama needs the election to play out across the board.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns...-decisions-tracking-poll-obama-up-133298.html

Houston, we have a problem.

 

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So what you are saying is that Hispanics are leaning pretty much the same way they did in 2008? Obama won 67% to 31% in 2008

 

[blackascoal]

So what you are saying is that Hispanics are leaning pretty much the same way they did in 2008? Obama won 67% to 31% in 2008

It isn't me saying it brother .. it's Latino Decisions.

 

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It isn't me saying it brother .. it's Latino Decisions.

yes, but you posted it, I thought you would have a point other than 'they are voting with similar margins as they did in 2008'. The real question is will they vote in the same numbers as they did in 2008? That is the problem that Obama must address. How does he motivate his base to get back out and vote?

 

[blackascoal]

yes, but you posted it, I thought you would have a point other than 'they are voting with similar margins as they did in 2008'. The real question is will they vote in the same numbers as they did in 2008? That is the problem that Obama must address. How does he motivate his base to get back out and vote?

That's a very good question.

Much of Obama's base is disheartened and frustrated by his first term. He's given them no reason to be excited enough to run to the polls.

However, the republicans HAVE given Obama's base a reason to run to the polls and hold their noses to vote for him .. especially hispanics.

 

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That's a very good question.

Much of Obama's base is disheartened and frustrated by his first term. He's given them no reason to be excited enough to run to the polls.

However, the republicans HAVE given Obama's base a reason to run to the polls and hold their noses to vote for him .. especially hispanics.

Obviously time will tell if that is true. I agree the Reps have done more to stir up the Dem base than Obama, but if they start focusing predominantly on the economy and jobs, can that animosity hold?

 

[blackascoal]

Obviously time will tell if that is true. I agree the Reps have done more to stir up the Dem base than Obama, but if they start focusing predominantly on the economy and jobs, can that animosity hold?

Republicans haven't focused on jobs and the economy at anytime since the new congress has been in office. They've spent their entire capital attacking Obama, not putting forth a serious vision .. and consequently, the republican brand has suffered.

They've energized Obama's base far more than he could.

 

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Republicans haven't focused on jobs and the economy at anytime since the new congress has been in office. They've spent their entire capital attacking Obama, not putting forth a serious vision .. and consequently, the republican brand has suffered.

They've energized Obama's base far more than he could.

Odd, I would suggest quite the contrary. The House has passed bills that focus on the economy and jobs, it is the Senate where they die. Obama has been the one that has gone over the top negative. That said, the Reps can do more to hammer on the economic performance of Obama and most certainly promote their economic agenda.

I would like to see what Obama's plans are, because thus far it is 'more of the same'.

 

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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...ama_backers_deemed_most_effective_115213.html

I think ads like the one mentioned are the way to go negative without smashing people in the face with it. That said, I do hope Obama continues running the ad with him and the celebrities talking about how 'cool' Obama is. That should help him relate to the 99%.

 

[blackascoal]

Odd, I would suggest quite the contrary. The House has passed bills that focus on the economy and jobs, it is the Senate where they die. Obama has been the one that has gone over the top negative. That said, the Reps can do more to hammer on the economic performance of Obama and most certainly promote their economic agenda.

I would like to see what Obama's plans are, because thus far it is 'more of the same'.

:0) The House?

The teabagger House has about a 9% job approval rating .. the lowest of all time.

The House has done nothing to bolster the republican brand .. and their proposals on the economy are rarely supported by a plurality of the American people.

 

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:0) The House?

The teabagger House has about a 9% job approval rating .. the lowest of all time.

The House has done nothing to bolster the republican brand .. and their proposals on the economy are rarely supported by a plurality of the American people.

That type of desperation is beneath you. The 'teabagger House'??? Really?

Congress deserves its low rating. The two parties are so polarized that they aren't getting anything done. The people see that.

Tell me though... what has the Reid led Senate done? Oh yeah... nothing... a big part of the reason Congress has such a low approval rating.

 

[Bonestorm]

If the Reid-led Senate ran on the rules of the House . . .

 

[blackascoal]

That type of desperation is beneath you. The 'teabagger House'??? Really?

Congress deserves its low rating. The two parties are so polarized that they aren't getting anything done. The people see that.

Tell me though... what has the Reid led Senate done? Oh yeah... nothing... a big part of the reason Congress has such a low approval rating.

:0) Why wouldn't I call it the teabagger House? Are you of the opinion that I have ANY respect for the Tea Party?

:0) C'mon brother.

You pointed to the House for passing bills on jobs and the economy .. it's too late to run from what this House is .. too late to hide behind Reid.

The teabagger House is a complete and utter disaster.

You seem real intent on using the word "desperation" even when it does not apply.

Why would I be desperate? I don't support either corporate-owned candidate.

YOU are the one who is desperate my friend. :0)

 

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:0) Why wouldn't I call it the teabagger House? Are you of the opinion that I have ANY respect for the Tea Party?

:0) C'mon brother.

No, but neither is the House run by the Tea Party. Not to mention the fact that calling them 'tea baggers' is beneath you.

You pointed to the House for passing bills on jobs and the economy .. it's too late to run from what this House is .. too late to hide behind Reid.

I am not hiding behind Reid, I am pointing to the fact that both houses of Congress are polarized and not functioning, which is why Congress has the 11% approval rating you mentioned.

The teabagger House is a complete and utter disaster.

The communist Senate is too.

You seem real intent on using the word "desperation" even when it does not apply.

Actually it does apply to Obama given his letter to donors.

Why would I be desperate? I don't support either corporate-owned candidate.

I don't believe I stated or implied that you were. I said Obama was. If the implication read otherwise, it was not my intent.

YOU are the one who is desperate my friend. :0)

Not at all my friend, I see the potential fall of the Obama admin coming. Nothing in the bag by any means, but looking better every day.

 

[blackascoal]

No, but neither is the House run by the Tea Party. Not to mention the fact that calling them 'tea baggers' is beneath you.

Wrong on both counts. The Tea Party controls the Republican Party. It pushed out all the moderates and has pushed its lunatic agenda on the House.

Whatever the Hell I call teabaggers won't be low enough. I have NO, ZERO, NADA, NEIN respect for the Tea Party. Why in the Hell would I?

I am not hiding behind Reid, I am pointing to the fact that both houses of Congress are polarized and not functioning, which is why Congress has the 11% approval rating you mentioned.

I'm not sure that you're reading through the polling correctly brother.

Disapproval Rate for Congress at Record 82% After Debt Talks

The debate over raising the debt ceiling, which brought the nation to the brink of default, has sent disapproval of Congress to its highest level on record and left most Americans saying that creating jobs should now take priority over cutting spending, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.

A record 82 percent of Americans now disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job — the most since The Times first began asking the question in 1977, and even more than after another political stalemate led to a shutdown of the federal government in 1995.

More than four out of five people surveyed said that the recent debt-ceiling debate was more about gaining political advantage than about doing what is best for the country. Nearly three-quarters said that the debate had harmed the image of the United States in the world.

Republicans in Congress shoulder more of the blame for the difficulties in reaching a debt-ceiling agreement than President Obama and the Democrats, the poll found.

The Republicans compromised too little, a majority of those polled said. All told, 72 percent disapproved of the way Republicans in Congress handled the negotiations, while 66 percent disapproved of the way Democrats in Congress handled negotiations.

The public was more evenly divided about how Mr. Obama handled the debt ceiling negotiations: 47 percent disapproved and 46 percent approved.

The public’s opinion of the Tea Party movement has soured in the wake of the debt-ceiling debate. The Tea Party is now viewed unfavorably by 40 percent of the public and favorably by just 20 percent, according to the poll. In mid-April 29 percent of those polled viewed the movement unfavorably, while 26 percent viewed it favorably. And 43 percent of Americans now think the Tea Party has too much influence on the Republican Party, up from 27 percent in mid-April.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/05/us/politics/05poll.html?_r=2

Go talk to Jeb Bush. He'll tewll you what's wrong with your party.

The communist Senate is too.

Please don't ever mention what is beneath me ever again.

Actually it does apply to Obama given his letter to donors.

No it doesn't .. and to suggest that Obama is any more "desperate" than Romney is quite ridiculous and is a demonstration of your partisanship. not your analysis capabilities.

I don't believe I stated or implied that you were. I said Obama was. If the implication read otherwise, it was not my intent.

No, my bad. I assumed this was your comment about desperation .. when in fact you were talking about my use of teabagger. Sorry.

Not at all my friend, I see the potential fall of the Obama admin coming. Nothing in the bag by any means, but looking better every day.

Sorry, but you do indeed seem quite desperate. You seem completely unaware of Romney's challenges and desperation.

This thread speaks to a huge challenge for Romney .. but of course, you'd rather talk about Obama.

 

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Wrong on both counts. The Tea Party controls the Republican Party. It pushed out all the moderates and has pushed its lunatic agenda on the House.

Whatever the Hell I call teabaggers won't be low enough. I have NO, ZERO, NADA, NEIN respect for the Tea Party. Why in the Hell would I?

I stand corrected, it is not beneath you.

I'm not sure that you're reading through the polling correctly brother.

Disapproval Rate for Congress at Record 82% After Debt Talks

The debate over raising the debt ceiling, which brought the nation to the brink of default, has sent disapproval of Congress to its highest level on record and left most Americans saying that creating jobs should now take priority over cutting spending, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.

A record 82 percent of Americans now disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job — the most since The Times first began asking the question in 1977, and even more than after another political stalemate led to a shutdown of the federal government in 1995.

More than four out of five people surveyed said that the recent debt-ceiling debate was more about gaining political advantage than about doing what is best for the country. Nearly three-quarters said that the debate had harmed the image of the United States in the world.

Republicans in Congress shoulder more of the blame for the difficulties in reaching a debt-ceiling agreement than President Obama and the Democrats, the poll found.

The Republicans compromised too little, a majority of those polled said. All told, 72 percent disapproved of the way Republicans in Congress handled the negotiations, while 66 percent disapproved of the way Democrats in Congress handled negotiations.

The public was more evenly divided about how Mr. Obama handled the debt ceiling negotiations: 47 percent disapproved and 46 percent approved.

No, I can read the polls. You are picking one event. An event the Democrats forced upon us. They had super majorities in 2010, they could have raised the debt ceiling all on their own. They chose not to. Regardless of this particular incident, it is the general polarization of Congress that has it rated so low. To pretend it is just the House is dishonest.

The public’s opinion of the Tea Party movement has soured in the wake of the debt-ceiling debate. The Tea Party is now viewed unfavorably by 40 percent of the public and favorably by just 20 percent, according to the poll. In mid-April 29 percent of those polled viewed the movement unfavorably, while 26 percent viewed it favorably. And 43 percent of Americans now think the Tea Party has too much influence on the Republican Party, up from 27 percent in mid-April.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/05/us/politics/05poll.html?_r=2

Yeah, I wonder why people would get that idea. couldn't be the media hammered on the tea party non stop. Couldn't be that the media highlight the extremists within the tea party and then pretend their ideas translate to the whole. Nah... that couldn't have anything to do with public perception.

Go talk to Jeb Bush. He'll tewll you what's wrong with your party.

I am no more a Republican than you are a Democrat.

Please don't ever mention what is beneath me ever again.

Fair enough.

No it doesn't .. and to suggest that Obama is any more "desperate" than Romney is quite ridiculous and is a demonstration of your partisanship. not your analysis capabilities.

Actually, that letter does reek of desperation. The fact that he is whining about being outspent, when it is he that has outspent Romney... desperate. The fact that he is whining about false ads, when he has put forth non-stop false ads... desperate.

No, my bad. I assumed this was your comment about desperation .. when in fact you were talking about my use of teabagger. Sorry.

No worries.

Sorry, but you do indeed seem quite desperate. You seem completely unaware of Romney's challenges and desperation.

I am pointing to the desperate words of Obama. I understand the challenges Romney faces.

This thread speaks to a huge challenge for Romney .. but of course, you'd rather talk about Obama.

this thread was indeed about Obama, the other candidate and current President. This is a political message board, it stands to reason that the President will get some attention with threads during a Presidential election year. What huge challenge for Romney does this thread speak to???

 

[blackascoal]

What huge challenge for Romney does this thread speak to???

Tell me you're joking?

A 40 point deficit on latinos.

A 100% deficit on African-Americans.

A huge deficit on women, Jews, Muslims, youth, and the educated.

Romney could even lose the senior vote.

If you don't see a problem I don't know what to tell you. :0)

 

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Tell me you're joking?

Nope, not joking, because I can read the polls.

A 40 point deficit on latinos.

Expected to be about that... consistent with percentage difference in 2008. But can the turn out be as high? I don't think it will be. But that is debatable.

A 100% deficit on African-Americans.

Latest I have seen is that 94% are favoring Obama... 6% unsure. 96% voted for him last time. The fact that African Americans have voted consistently over 90% for any Dem President means this is not shocking. Again... what will turnout be compared to 2008? That is what matters.

A huge deficit on women, Jews, Muslims, youth, and the educated.

and Obama has a huge deficit on men. The youth are disenfranchised again, out of all the groups I think this will be the one Obama has the hardest time getting back to the polls... and he needs their numbers.

The Jewish population is small in terms of population and their greatest numbers are in states Romney has no chance of winning anyway.

The Muslim vote will be far more critical as their greater numbers reside in what look to be swing states this election. I haven't seen any recent polls on their views on Obama.

Romney could even lose the senior vote.

You could say the same for Obama.

If you don't see a problem I don't know what to tell you. :0)

So you are pointing to demographics that don't typically support Reps and saying 'Romney has problems among these groups'? Um... thanks for the earth shattering breaking news.

 

[blackascoal]

Nope, not joking, because I can read the polls.



Expected to be about that... consistent with percentage difference in 2008. But can the turn out be as high? I don't think it will be. But that is debatable.



Latest I have seen is that 94% are favoring Obama... 6% unsure. 96% voted for him last time. The fact that African Americans have voted consistently over 90% for any Dem President means this is not shocking. Again... what will turnout be compared to 2008? That is what matters.



and Obama has a huge deficit on men. The youth are disenfranchised again, out of all the groups I think this will be the one Obama has the hardest time getting back to the polls... and he needs their numbers.

The Jewish population is small in terms of population and their greatest numbers are in states Romney has no chance of winning anyway.

The Muslim vote will be far more critical as their greater numbers reside in what look to be swing states this election. I haven't seen any recent polls on their views on Obama.



You could say the same for Obama.



So you are pointing to demographics that don't typically support Reps and saying 'Romney has problems among these groups'? Um... thanks for the earth shattering breaking news.

You're a partisan brother .. not an analyst.

You're like Al Sharpton trying to give "unbiased" analysis. :0)

 

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You're a partisan brother .. not an analyst.

You're like Al Sharpton trying to give "unbiased" analysis. :0)

That is far easier to say than actually having to refute what I stated. But given you are a complete partisan, it is not shocking.