Its Pawlente

Jarod

Jarod

Well-known member
Contributor
So, this Monday or Tuesday we will hear the big anouncement that Tim Pawlente has been tapped to be on the Romney ticket in the VP slot.

This is my prediction, Its not a lock but I feel like its my best educated projection.

In the wake of the Sara Barracuda disaster of last presidental election coupled with Romney's more cautious style it makes sence that the choice is narrowed down to Pawlente or Portman. It appears General Petraus has said no. Mischigan is all but necessary for Romney to pull together an electoral victory.

Pawlente is slightly less booring than Portman... And there you have it...


Romney Pawlente, anounced Tuesday....

Any different predictions?
 
I think Rubio is on the short list too. Intrade has Portman as the favorite. There's a lot of upside with Portman. Pawlenty is a SOP to the evengelical crowd and though that would shore up the base, it does nothing for Mitt in the swing States. Right now Florida and Ohio are the two key States for Mitt. He loses either one of those and he's toast. Mitt is running neck and neck in Florida with Barry, Rubio would help shore up the Latina vote and could help bring in Florida. His down side is he is young and lacks gravitas. Portman has a lot of upside. He's certainly qualified, Mitt is father behind in Ohio than in Florida, Portman could help to turn that around too. Portmans downside is that he was Bush's trade negotiator and helpled outsource a lot of Ohio jobs to China. He also opposed the GM/Chrysler bail out. He also has the personality of an unsalted cracker, an excellent trait in a Veep.
 
I am still holding out hope for Condi Rice... I know it's a long-shot, but I believe it is a legitimate consideration. I can see more upside to Condi than Portman, but OH is going to be crucial, as well as Florida. I get the feeling Romney can win Florida without any help, but not so sure he can win OH. This makes me think Portman is Romney's safe pick, which he may opt for. Wouldn't surprise me. It also wouldn't surprise me to see him go with Pawlenty, but I think it would end up being a stupid McCain-like political move that won't work.

I also think Rubio would be a good (popular) pick for Romney, but I don't think it will be Rubio. He would immediately draw liberals out on the 'birther' issue, challenging his constitutional eligibility and whatnot, which exposes a sensitive weakness in Obama, but the focus of this election needs to be Obama's abysmal record, not 'birther' stuffs.

Rice is the best possible pick --Romney probably won't make it.
Portman is the safe pick --the most Romney-like pick.
Rubio is the most popular pick --also the most distracting from Romney.
Pawlenty is the moderate pick --the dumb ass McCain style moderate milk-toast pick. Again.. very Romney-like!

Pawlenty is certainly capable of taking Obama to task on his record, and can probably stand his own against Biden in a debate, but he isn't going to 'rally' the base much. His bottle rockets never launched during the debates, he just never caught on... nice personable guy, just not all that inspiring. But maybe this is the kind of personality that makes a GREAT vice president?
 
last I heard the short list was down to four....Portman, Pawlenty, Rubio and Ryan......

personally, I think Ryan would gain him the most votes.....
 
blackascoal said:
His best political bet would be Christie .. but I doubt Romney will go there.
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That's a two way street. Jeb Bush would be the best of them all. He could just about guarentee Florida for Romney and has the name recognition to turn things around in Ohio and Viriginia and probably lock up North Carolina too but that's not going to happen cause neither Jeb or Christie wants a warm bucket of spit. They'll never take the Veep job, their to ambitious.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
That's a two way street. Jeb Bush would be the best of them all. He could just about guarentee Florida for Romney and has the name recognition to turn things around in Ohio and Viriginia and probably lock up North Carolina too but that's not going to happen cause neither Jeb or Christie wants a warm bucket of spit. They'll never take the Veep job, their to ambitious.
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guarantee
Virginia
too, not to
they're not their
 
Mott the Hoople said:
That's a two way street. Jeb Bush would be the best of them all. He could just about guarentee Florida for Romney and has the name recognition to turn things around in Ohio and Viriginia and probably lock up North Carolina too but that's not going to happen cause neither Jeb or Christie wants a warm bucket of spit. They'll never take the Veep job, their to ambitious.
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Florida, North Carolina and Virginia will not be a problem.....grabbing Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are the targets.....
 
did you notice RealClear Politics reported that a CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac survey (generally leaning Democrat) reported yesterday that Romney leads Obama by 5 points in Colorado?.....
 
Mott the Hoople said:
That's a two way street. Jeb Bush would be the best of them all. He could just about guarentee Florida for Romney and has the name recognition to turn things around in Ohio and Viriginia and probably lock up North Carolina too but that's not going to happen cause neither Jeb or Christie wants a warm bucket of spit. They'll never take the Veep job, their to ambitious.
Click to expand...

The very last thing Romney needs is being saddled to the name Bush.

He's running from it.

There will never be another Bush as POTUS.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
That's a two way street. Jeb Bush would be the best of them all. He could just about guarentee Florida for Romney and has the name recognition to turn things around in Ohio and Viriginia and probably lock up North Carolina too but that's not going to happen cause neither Jeb or Christie wants a warm bucket of spit. They'll never take the Veep job, their to ambitious.
Click to expand...

Forget Rice, Rubio, Pawlenty, and the rest. Portman will be the pick.

Jeb won't run because of one: the Bush name, and two: The party's saving him for their nominee in 16.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
No. McCain was a traditional conservative though to a reactionary wingnut he would be a moderate or liberal.
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No, McCain was a moderate "go along to get along" conservative, who was instrumental in passing the debacle known as CFR. which has led to the birth of the Super-PAC and all the loveliness they have brought into civil political discourse. He's the milk-toast moderate conservative who had to suspend his campaign to run back to Washington in order to give away another trillion taxpayer dollars on failed Keynesian policy. When he finally ballsed up and picked a strong conservative VP, he stuck a muzzle on her and wouldn't let her off the chain, and she ended up looking like a dopey broad who didn't know what the hell she was talking about, and the media branded her a such forever, and crucified her. The one time during Bush's first term, where we conservatives actually had control of Congress, and had the Democrats feet to the fire on cuts in the budget, McCain ran off being a Maverick and formed his Gang of 14 to oppose Conservatives and cave to the Democrats. He has been as much of a pain in the ass of Conservatism as the Liberals at times, he is not a true Conservative.
 
Memory is very short in politics, but I belive that the Bush name is finally done in Presidental Politics.

The Republicans party's love for blue blood born into money "success story" canidates is obviously still burning, but that does not mean Bush is the only choice.
 
Any more predictions?

Dixie, I know you are hoping for Rice, but what do you predict?>
 
Jarod said:
Any more predictions?

Dixie, I know you are hoping for Rice, but what do you predict?>
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I posted mine above. I think probably Portman, because he is the safest, and from Ohio.

Although... with the revelation that he now trails Obama by 9... it could be a shocker like Condi.

Romney has to crack the Tea Party vote, and he hasn't done it yet. If he gets their support, this is a much easier race to win.
 
Jarod said:
So, this Monday or Tuesday we will hear the big anouncement that Tim Pawlente has been tapped to be on the Romney ticket in the VP slot.

This is my prediction, Its not a lock but I feel like its my best educated projection.

In the wake of the Sara Barracuda disaster of last presidental election coupled with Romney's more cautious style it makes sence that the choice is narrowed down to Pawlente or Portman. It appears General Petraus has said no. Mischigan is all but necessary for Romney to pull together an electoral victory.

Pawlente is slightly less booring than Portman... And there you have it...


Romney Pawlente, anounced Tuesday....

Any different predictions?
Click to expand...

I think having another RICH WHITE GUY on the ticket will hurt his chances.
 
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