Maybe, but for sure popularly elected only once.
If Romney wins, will it be close or a blowout?
- Thread starter Rationalist
- Start date
Maybe, but for sure popularly elected only once.
signalmankenneth
Verified User
Rationalist
Hail Voltaire
Cite?
Rationalist
Hail Voltaire
Kenneth, good luck on election night. I recommend you stock up on liquor, and if you have any weapons, give them to relatives for safe-keeping.
Cancel 2018. 3
<-- sched 2, MJ sched 1
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
al gore got the popular goat.....that was all he got.....
Rationalist
Hail Voltaire
You won't be laughing on election night. I recommend you keep this in your bookmarks:
http://suicidehotlines.com/massachusetts.html
And yet I wonder how it's even close...mmmm?
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
A couple months ago, I said it would be Romney by 10 points, and some liberal busted a gut laughing. I think they bookmarked the thread, so I expect to see it posted if Romney doesn't win by 10, but that was my prediction and I am sticking to it... I think he wins by 10 or possibly more.
Two things could happen to change that, and I need to mention them here. One; Obama could completely morph into Ronald Reagan and forsake his Keynesian philosophy entirely, causing the economy to turn around in a very short period of time, but I don't think that is likely. Two; The more likely scenario-- Romney could turn into John McCain, and alienate the base. Baring either of those events, I think the nation will be ready to vote for Mitt in droves by November. Remember, we still have another long hot summer of 'jobless recovery' to go through.
Two things could happen to change that, and I need to mention them here. One; Obama could completely morph into Ronald Reagan and forsake his Keynesian philosophy entirely, causing the economy to turn around in a very short period of time, but I don't think that is likely. Two; The more likely scenario-- Romney could turn into John McCain, and alienate the base. Baring either of those events, I think the nation will be ready to vote for Mitt in droves by November. Remember, we still have another long hot summer of 'jobless recovery' to go through.
christiefan915
Catalyst
At this point in the Carter/Reagan battle, Carter had a 9 point lead on Reagan. In contrast almost all polls show Romney in a statistical tie with a leaner in the direction of a win for LV polls and a loss for RV polls. (And insane outliers like the Bloomberg poll that are incredibly amusing but not a measure of anything).
http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
christiefan915
Catalyst
Split of Popular and Electoral Vote Could Favor Obama in November
By Matthew Dowd | Wednesday, June 6, 2012 | 01:35:31 PM
In 2004, during my tenure as chief strategist for the Bush-Cheney reelection campaign, I did some scenario planning on possibilities of outcomes in a very close election. I had expected that election to be decided by 3 percentage points or less, and I said this a number of times both internally and to the media.
One scenario I then raised as a real possibility internally was that George W. Bush could win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College (the exact opposite of what happened in 2000). And this scenario would have come to pass if the Bush margin in Ohio had changed by 120,000 votes. Sen. John Kerry would have won the Electoral College, 271 to 266, while Bush would have won the popular vote by approximately 3 million votes. (Remember the mishap of the one electoral vote from Minnesota.)
Further, subtract 2.2 percent from the margin in each state in 2004 and Bush still would have barely won the popular vote (though by a bigger margin than Al Gore won the popular vote in 2000), but lost the Electoral College to Kerry, 283 to 254, because Ohio, Iowa, and New Mexico would have switched from Bush to Kerry.
http://mobile.nationaljournal.com/c...l-vote-could-favor-obama-in-november-20120606