South Carolina Predictions... Postmodern?

SC has a tremendous record for having its Republican primary winners become the nominee.
 
Unfortunately too many people look at Trump like they looked at Obama and they project what they want onto him. There is a lot I am grateful to Trump for in entering this race, but I think he would be a horrendous mistake as President.

One thing that gets overlooked is that Cruz won Iowa even AFTER coming out against ethanol subsidies and never backed off of that position. Now if that isn't political courage, I don't know what is. Trump caved on ethanol subsidies.
 
Trump
Cruz
Rubio..

For the Dems..it is close,but I think Clinton squeaks it out -which was unthinkable a month ago.

clinton edging out nevada is still a loss for her. make no mistake. she should demographically crush nevada. If bernie can make it close then it's just a sign he's really cutting into her edge. He's already winning with most demographics, if he can pick up the minority vote then clinton has nothing left. A win for sanders would be even bigger.
 
talk to me about this time tomorrow, Italian trial lawyer.....

who predicted Romney would win Michigan with double digits
the double digits part is pure Italian fiction, by the way.......how do you say "stop making up shit" in Italian......maybe you'll understand it better in your native language......
 
They'll buy into Trump's con man schtick, like everyone else seems to be doing, and he'll come out on top.

I couldn't believe the town hall last night. Every answer is the same - no matter what the issue is, Trump is going to make it "great" and "the best we've ever had." And everyone loves him. And he loves compromise, as long as he wins.

Now you know how we felt when you lefties were swooning over Obummer and his "hope and change" bullshit. you are funny when the shoe is on the other foot
 
Now you know how we felt when you lefties were swooning over Obummer and his "hope and change" bullshit. you are funny when the shoe is on the other foot

You always assume everyone is a party-first hack like you. Classic projection.

And I had some good insight for your Hillary thread. Too bad that you ban most posters from those things.
 
talk to me about this time tomorrow, Italian trial lawyer.....


the double digits part is pure Italian fiction, by the way.......how do you say "stop making up shit" in Italian......maybe you'll understand it better in your native language......

Don't worry I'll be here....
 
clinton edging out nevada is still a loss for her. make no mistake. she should demographically crush nevada. If bernie can make it close then it's just a sign he's really cutting into her edge. He's already winning with most demographics, if he can pick up the minority vote then clinton has nothing left. A win for sanders would be even bigger.

Only primaries coming up that Bernie Sanders really has a shot in are Nevada and Massachusetts.
 
I think that Trump will win tomorrow but not as big as some of the polls show. March 1st is still the real election to focus on in my opinion. Winning SC will help maintain or get momentum but the March 1st primaries will either determine the candidate or give us a top two that will then compete the rest of the way.
 
Unfortunately too many people look at Trump like they looked at Obama and they project what they want onto him. There is a lot I am grateful to Trump for in entering this race, but I think he would be a horrendous mistake as President.

One thing that gets overlooked is that Cruz won Iowa even AFTER coming out against ethanol subsidies and never backed off of that position. Now if that isn't political courage, I don't know what is. Trump caved on ethanol subsidies.

It is frustrating how Cruz won Iowa even though Trump was supposed to but the focus was on the third place winner, and then Cruz got third in NH which was way better than predicted but the second place winner gets the headlines.
 
It is frustrating how Cruz won Iowa even though Trump was supposed to but the focus was on the third place winner, and then Cruz got third in NH which was way better than predicted but the second place winner gets the headlines.

Waaaaa!
 
You always assume everyone is a party-first hack like you. Classic projection.

And I had some good insight for your Hillary thread. Too bad that you ban most posters from those things.

Want to prove you aren't a party hack? Serve up one post of you criticizing the demalquedacrats in 2007 when Obama was filibustering Alito. Just one and I will take you off of thread ban.
 
It is frustrating how Cruz won Iowa even though Trump was supposed to but the focus was on the third place winner, and then Cruz got third in NH which was way better than predicted but the second place winner gets the headlines.

The press wants to make money, they don't make money with a boring Cruz win, they make money with exciting buffoon speak, especially if the buffoon fights with the Pope.
 
Only primaries coming up that Bernie Sanders really has a shot in are Nevada and Massachusetts.

just saw a poll showing him ahead in colorado. he'll do well in western states as well. after he gets through the bible belt he still has a good shot in states like WI, michigan, oregon, washington. Take a look at nate silvers analysis:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanderss-path-to-the-nomination/

sliver-clintonvsanders-1.png


as you can see, even with clinton having a 12 pt national lead, bernie is still doing ok in states like min, colorado, kansas, maine, idaho, utah, alaska, wa, hawaii, wi, montana.

The really interesting thing is when they are tied nationally he picks up much bigger leads in states where clinton is only marginally holding on right now.

Also, has hilary ever been regaining the support she's losing? Cause so far the flow of people switching from one candidate to another has been all in bernies direction. It stands to reason that if bernie can hold on and maintain momentum, he's continue to cut into clintons lead.

So where does that leave us?

A nevada win or close loss is going to bring in more money for him, and get even more people that haven't been paying attention to him taking a second look. The more people hear and find out about bernie the more they like him.

South carolina is going to hammer him.. obv. So it depends on how much he can mitigate the damage.

Then he has to weather super tuesday which has a lot of bible belt states.

But if he can hang on through that and just maintain... if he can make it so clinton doesn't blow him out of the water in SC, and if he pulls closer to hillary nationally then he actually has a decent fighting chance.
 
I would love to see SC choose sanity, but predict that the polls are likely to hold true. Trump wins, Cruz second, and Rubio third...
 
why want sanity? trump makes this the most interesting election in years. I want to see everything burn lol.
 
The more interesting question for me is who will be second...

Second place I will officially put at Too Close to Call, but if pressed...

I am going to go with Rubio, but I think it will be very close with Cruz.

Third place Still Too Close to Call... but if pressed its Cruz.

Fourth, fifth and sixth place very close but Ill go... Kasich, Bush then Carson.

A better question is who gives a shit what some faggot like you thinks.
 
I would love to see SC choose sanity, but predict that the polls are likely to hold true. Trump wins, Cruz second, and Rubio third...

Looks very likely, I like how you are able to separate what you hope will happen from what you think will happen!
 
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