Have dems lost Florida forever?

gfm7175 said:
Right, just like you can't say that 100% of those DEM early votes were cast for Harris.
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Ehhhh, I wouldn't be so sure about that. Not when it comes to the early vote, of course.

There isn't a massive anti-Harris coalition in the Democratic Party, not even among the gEnOciDe antizionists anymore. I mean, who is there, Tulsi Gabbard? But she's a Republican now.
 
An Orange Cat said:
It's gonna be close for sure, but I think people are just not factoring Dobbs into this and how pissed off women voters still are.

Why would a woman who voted for Democrats in 2022 bc of Dobbs suddenly vote for the guy responsible for it?
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Republicans are having trouble finding women to claim to like trump for the love of money. trump will do badly among women.
 
gfm7175 said:
Some definitely were, but not "many". And the same goes the other way too. You keep forgetting that part. You are also ignoring the fact that R's usually LOSE the early votes cast, but this time around, R's are actually WINNING it.
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I just don't understand why Trump voters would suddenly start voting early in 2024 after trashing early voting for 6 years.

Maybe Republicans are voting early, but hard to see how even a majority of them are Trump voters.
 
gfm7175 said:
No it doesn't, and you are still ignoring the fact that "5%" could easily be the other way around too (D's voting for R's).
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It does in Florida because of what you said earlier...how many more registered Republicans there are than Dems. 5% of GOP voters in Florida is more voters than 5% of Dem voters.

Plus you have NPA's backing Dems by 18% in early voting in FL. That's not gonna change on Election Day.
 
Walt said:
You think the vote of the people has no bearing on the election? It is not an exact correlation, but it is a close correlation. The popular vote clearly causes the Electoral Vote.
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You have no idea how elections are run, obviously.
Walt said:
trump needs to get within 2% of the popular vote, and then have every little detail exactly work out. If it were really a landslide situation, trump would not have to worry about stupid little things working out.
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You have no idea how elections are run, obviously.
 
An Orange Cat said:
Harris is going to win women 65+, and that's why she might win Florida.

Women are still pissed about Dobbs.
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And women are some of the harder people to survey. They do not want to give their opinion. There is a real chance that Harris is doing 4% better than we think nationwide.
 
Walt said:
And women are some of the harder people to survey. They do not want to give their opinion. There is a real chance that Harris is doing 4% better than we think nationwide.
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This will probably be the first election since 1964 where a majority of white women vote for the Democratic candidate.
 
An Orange Cat said:
Ehhhh, I wouldn't be so sure about that. Not when it comes to the early vote, of course.

There isn't a massive anti-Harris coalition in the Democratic Party, not even among the gEnOciDe antizionists anymore. I mean, who is there, Tulsi Gabbard? But she's a Republican now.
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:rofl2:
 
Teflon Don said:
It seems like yesterday when Florida was THE battleground state, along with Ohio. Of course everyone remembers the election of 2000 and today the democrats embrace the Bush/Cheney coalition into their statist bosom.

But, look at these numbers. Miami Dade County was once a democrat stronghold filled with all sorts of voting irregularities. Now, it is +5.5% R in voter registration. That is amazing. More amazing (well maybe not) is that the media doesn't report on this cataclysmic shift. Even Palm Beach is only +5.8D when in the past it was much higher.

So the leftists here don't start wetting their pants, I am not saying that this one data point means Trump is winning the election. Just pointing out FACTS with DATA. How in a short time, states that were once fierce battlegrounds are no longer in play; Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Missouri and now replaced with others.

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So what is your point?

That all the Boomers and middle aged uneducated who couldn’t make it up north moved to Florida and bought their right wing idiocy with them? We all knew that

Other than Obama, who won by a razor thin margin, a Democrat hadn’t won Florida since Carter in 1976, Florida hasn’t been a purple State for quite awhile
 
Damocles said:
So your election hopes are pinned on Republican affiliated women voting for unfettered abortion?
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I didn't start a thread referencing early voting.

But yes. Women from all political affiliations are voting against a nationwide abortion ban. And by default, voting against their rights to have credit cards and bank accounts. Because the rogue Supreme Court will take away those rights the moment a case gets before them.

That aside, trump just handed the Puerto Rican vote to Harris. Pa. is HUGE


www.yahoo.com

Not-so warm Trump welcome in Allentown as Puerto Ricans swing away after offensive rally

Trump visited a Hispanic majority town in Pennsylvania as the fallout over a comedian's racist jokes at his Madison Square Garden rally continues.
www.yahoo.com www.yahoo.com
 
Althea said:
I didn't start a thread referencing early voting.

But yes. Women from all political affiliations are voting against a nationwide abortion ban. And by default, voting against their rights to have credit cards and bank accounts. Because the rogue Supreme Court will take away those rights the moment a case gets before them.

That aside, trump just handed the Puerto Rican vote to Harris. Pa. is HUGE


www.yahoo.com

Not-so warm Trump welcome in Allentown as Puerto Ricans swing away after offensive rally

Trump visited a Hispanic majority town in Pennsylvania as the fallout over a comedian's racist jokes at his Madison Square Garden rally continues.
www.yahoo.com www.yahoo.com
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I never said you started the thread, I just noted that you place your hopes on Republican women voting the way you want them to, ignoring how often that has happened historically, then I asked a question to see if you would more directly claim victory based on Republicans voting the way you want them to because they have uteruses. I will note that most of the republican women I have seen are far more upset that Democrats cannot define the word "woman" without using the word "woman" than they are about Roe v Wade rulings. In fact the vast majority of Republican women I have spoken to are, in fact, pro life.
 
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