Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread
- Thread starter PoliTalker
- Start date
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Monday
6-1
USA
Total Cases 1,859,323
New Cases +22,153
Total Deaths 106,925
New Deaths +730
Total Recovered 615,416
Active Cases 1,136,982
Serious, Critical 16,949
Tot Cases/1M pop 5,620
Deaths/1M pop 323
Total Tests 18,150,053
Tests/1M pop 54,859
6-1
USA
Total Cases 1,859,323
New Cases +22,153
Total Deaths 106,925
New Deaths +730
Total Recovered 615,416
Active Cases 1,136,982
Serious, Critical 16,949
Tot Cases/1M pop 5,620
Deaths/1M pop 323
Total Tests 18,150,053
Tests/1M pop 54,859
Proof.
The virus from Wuhan was not contained by China and allowed to spread to every country. They lied about its origin, the number of fatalities and refused the help of US health professionals. They nailed shut the homes of those who had the China virus.
Wake up and stop being a CCP “useful idiot.”
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Let's look for the peak again.
Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise
4-22 ... 717,008
4-23 ... 744,037 ... 27,029
4-24 ... 762,421 ... 18,384
4-25 ... 788,233 ... 25,812
4-26 ... 812,966 ... 24,733
4-27 ... 814,569 ... 1,603
4-28 ... 834,261 ... 19,692
4-29 ... 855,127 ... 20,866
4-30 ... 878,843 ... 23,716
5-1 .... 903,714 ... 24,871
5-2 .... 920,012 ... 16,298
5-3 .... 941,261 ... 21,249
5-4 ... 954,887 ... 13,626
5-5 ... 964,736 ... 9,849
5-6 ... 975,312 ... 10,576
5-7 .... 998,445 ... 23,133
5-8 .... 1,019,567 ... 21,122
5-9 .... 1,029,194 ... 9,627
5-10 ... 1,030,515 ... 1,321
5-11 ... 1,041,814 ... 11,299 (High point in Active Cases noted)
5-12 ... 1,028,465 ... -13,349
5-13 ... 1,034,892 ... 6,427
5-14 ... 1,052,654 ... +17,762 (this exceeds the high point noted 3 days prior)
5-15 ... 1,068,027 ... 15,373
5-16 ... 1,078,428 ... 10,401
5-17 ... 1,090,297 ... 11,869
5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633
5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885
5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896
5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)
5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)
5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)
5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)
5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)
5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832
5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840
5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013
5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)
6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)
As you can see, we have had a false peak, which was really just a blip on the way up, and then we had another possible peak, and we are watching to see what the numbers do going forward. If we begin to get more days with fewer cases, maybe we have finally seen the peak. We can't know that until we get more data. We just have to wait and watch before we will know.
Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise
4-22 ... 717,008
4-23 ... 744,037 ... 27,029
4-24 ... 762,421 ... 18,384
4-25 ... 788,233 ... 25,812
4-26 ... 812,966 ... 24,733
4-27 ... 814,569 ... 1,603
4-28 ... 834,261 ... 19,692
4-29 ... 855,127 ... 20,866
4-30 ... 878,843 ... 23,716
5-1 .... 903,714 ... 24,871
5-2 .... 920,012 ... 16,298
5-3 .... 941,261 ... 21,249
5-4 ... 954,887 ... 13,626
5-5 ... 964,736 ... 9,849
5-6 ... 975,312 ... 10,576
5-7 .... 998,445 ... 23,133
5-8 .... 1,019,567 ... 21,122
5-9 .... 1,029,194 ... 9,627
5-10 ... 1,030,515 ... 1,321
5-11 ... 1,041,814 ... 11,299 (High point in Active Cases noted)
5-12 ... 1,028,465 ... -13,349
5-13 ... 1,034,892 ... 6,427
5-14 ... 1,052,654 ... +17,762 (this exceeds the high point noted 3 days prior)
5-15 ... 1,068,027 ... 15,373
5-16 ... 1,078,428 ... 10,401
5-17 ... 1,090,297 ... 11,869
5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633
5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885
5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896
5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)
5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)
5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)
5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)
5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)
5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832
5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840
5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013
5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)
6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)
As you can see, we have had a false peak, which was really just a blip on the way up, and then we had another possible peak, and we are watching to see what the numbers do going forward. If we begin to get more days with fewer cases, maybe we have finally seen the peak. We can't know that until we get more data. We just have to wait and watch before we will know.
Last edited:
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Here is a graph of the Active Cases:
(Click to enlarge.)
This shows the overall rising curve. The encouraging thing here is you can see it appears to be gradually leveling off during the most recent days. Hopefully we are either getting close to a peak, or we have just finally passed it. It looks like it's close.
What we don't want to see is the curve begin to shoot back up again because of people dropping their guard, stopping social distancing measures, and huge crowds gathering to protest without maintaining social distancing measures.
(Click to enlarge.)
This shows the overall rising curve. The encouraging thing here is you can see it appears to be gradually leveling off during the most recent days. Hopefully we are either getting close to a peak, or we have just finally passed it. It looks like it's close.
What we don't want to see is the curve begin to shoot back up again because of people dropping their guard, stopping social distancing measures, and huge crowds gathering to protest without maintaining social distancing measures.
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Hello moon,
Thanks. One of the things I like about data and math is that the numbers do not lie or spin. They are what they are.
Our political world is so full of lies, diversions and spin it is often hard to know the truth. That graph, these numbers, cannot be spun into something they are not.
Obviously, there is no one day when we can say we finally reached the peak on that same day. We won't really know that until days later, possibly a week after the fact. It will be SO encouraging to see us finally reach that peak, and to see the Active Cases begin to drop. We might be there right now. If so, we will know it next week.
I only hope that we don't screw it up by pretending that reaching a peak means it's all over, and by dropping our guard too soon.
Sadly, it looks like that may be exactly where we are headed. I am seeing fewer and fewer people wearing masks or keeping distance out in stores and in public.
Thanks. One of the things I like about data and math is that the numbers do not lie or spin. They are what they are.
Our political world is so full of lies, diversions and spin it is often hard to know the truth. That graph, these numbers, cannot be spun into something they are not.
Obviously, there is no one day when we can say we finally reached the peak on that same day. We won't really know that until days later, possibly a week after the fact. It will be SO encouraging to see us finally reach that peak, and to see the Active Cases begin to drop. We might be there right now. If so, we will know it next week.
I only hope that we don't screw it up by pretending that reaching a peak means it's all over, and by dropping our guard too soon.
Sadly, it looks like that may be exactly where we are headed. I am seeing fewer and fewer people wearing masks or keeping distance out in stores and in public.
Dutch Uncle
* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
I'm guessing the 4th of July will be especially memorable this year.
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Hello Dutch Uncle,
I bet you're right. I predict we are screwed no matter if we reach the peak prior to then or not.
If we don't reach the peak, of course we are screwed simply by remaining in the grips of the deadly disease that has already taken over 100K Americans.
If we DO reach a peak before than, and it may be happening right now, then airhead people are going to think the danger has passed and party like there is no problem.
The 4th of July is a huge holiday for America, a time when people traditionally gather in great groups to watch fireworks, wave flags, and pretend that's what patriotism is all about. People are tired of being cooped up and avoiding crowds. That was easier in cold weather, but winter is gone and spring has sprung. People have gone stir-crazy and they want to get out and have some entertainment. There have been no big sports events, no concerts, no crowded bars in which to blow off steam. (exceptions noted)
People are itching to get out and enjoy life the way it used to be.
If we pass the peak, they are gonna think the danger has passed.
We are screwed either way.
Either they have already blown off fighting the war with the bug, and we see our second wave before the 4th of July, or if things begin to improve they are going to use that as justification to drop their personal fight.
The bug wins either way.
If only we had really good leadership...
SMH
I bet you're right. I predict we are screwed no matter if we reach the peak prior to then or not.
If we don't reach the peak, of course we are screwed simply by remaining in the grips of the deadly disease that has already taken over 100K Americans.
If we DO reach a peak before than, and it may be happening right now, then airhead people are going to think the danger has passed and party like there is no problem.
The 4th of July is a huge holiday for America, a time when people traditionally gather in great groups to watch fireworks, wave flags, and pretend that's what patriotism is all about. People are tired of being cooped up and avoiding crowds. That was easier in cold weather, but winter is gone and spring has sprung. People have gone stir-crazy and they want to get out and have some entertainment. There have been no big sports events, no concerts, no crowded bars in which to blow off steam. (exceptions noted)
People are itching to get out and enjoy life the way it used to be.
If we pass the peak, they are gonna think the danger has passed.
We are screwed either way.
Either they have already blown off fighting the war with the bug, and we see our second wave before the 4th of July, or if things begin to improve they are going to use that as justification to drop their personal fight.
The bug wins either way.
If only we had really good leadership...
SMH
Dutch Uncle
* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
Please be kind to the mentally ill. Earl was once a veteran who, AKAIK, never committed any crimes.
Getin the ring
Verified User
So we all sacrifice for 3 months, jobs, being able to go out, our children missing proms and graduations, and Democrats allow 10's of thousands of people to gather enmasse in the streets during a pandemic in the name of some warped sense of political correctness because somebodies want to vent their pent up anger toward police
Voting Americans are watching
Voting Americans are watching
Dutch Uncle
* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
Only 3% will be screwed. About 20% will have a bad time. 80% of us will be fine. I want to get tested for antibodies since there is a small chance I've ready been infected and over it. It'd be nice to know for sure.
Even so, the 4th of July will be minus a few Grandmas and Grandpas. Maybe the family can go plant a flag on their graves instead.
Getin the ring
Verified User
Democrat Governors just set us back 3 months
Dutch Uncle
* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
How so?
BTW, great picture of the flaming bisexual liberal Storm Large. Are you also a flaming bisexual liberal?
Only 3% will be screwed. About 20% will have a bad time. 80% of us will be fine. I want to get tested for antibodies since there is a small chance I've ready been infected and over it. It'd be nice to know for sure.
Even so, the 4th of July will be minus a few Grandmas and Grandpas. Maybe the family can go plant a flag on their graves instead.
check your math
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Hello Dutch Uncle,
This reality stuff sucks sometimes.
I could have already had it myself, don't know. Would like to know, but I see not point in taking any of the current antibody tests because they are so inaccurate, what's the point? You'd still be guessing. I wish we had one that worked well.
Only 3% will be screwed. About 20% will have a bad time. 80% of us will be fine. I want to get tested for antibodies since there is a small chance I've ready been infected and over it. It'd be nice to know for sure.
Even so, the 4th of July will be minus a few Grandmas and Grandpas. Maybe the family can go plant a flag on their graves instead.
This reality stuff sucks sometimes.
I could have already had it myself, don't know. Would like to know, but I see not point in taking any of the current antibody tests because they are so inaccurate, what's the point? You'd still be guessing. I wish we had one that worked well.
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
The troubling thing about the latest data is 22K New Cases just yesterday.
And we also don't like the 16.9K in serious / critical condition.
And we also don't like the 16.9K in serious / critical condition.
BartenderElite
Verified User
It's a bummer, but we'll likely see some huge spikes from everything that's happening right now...
PoliTalker
Diversity Makes Greatness
Hello BartenderElite,
I hope not but it seems inescapable.
If that happens, we'll be able to see it in the data.
I hope not but it seems inescapable.
If that happens, we'll be able to see it in the data.