Texas will lead in failure and high costs to consumers. It's fully possible for the feds (Biden administration) to be financing failure while individual states are trying to stop it (Texas legislature).
All the world leaders in solar and wind have some of the highest per kwh costs and least stable grids today and will have them into the future. Solar and wind are utter and complete losers in reliable, low cost, energy production.
But we WILL run out of Fossil Fuels, and in the big picture, Soon.
Natural Gas - 60 Years at best.
Oil - 90 years, and that is including burning all the high sulfur content stuff, and lots of destructive fracking.
Coal - 120 years
And whatever the good replacement to Fossil Fuels is, probably Thorium-Ion Nuclear, and eventually, He3 Fusion, driving Atmosphere C02 based synthetic Gasoline and Diesel... It will take 40 years to build the infrastructure to run such an Energy-Economy.
It is all about Energy-Gain of the Various Systems. Some typical Values for Energy-Gain:
Solar Voltaic - 0.3
Wind (site dependent) - 12-24
Solar Thermal with LN2 overnight Co-generation - 28
Tidal - 20k
Hydroelectric - 50K
Natural Gas Turbine - 200k
Clean Coal - 400K
Dirty Coal - 600k
Old style Rickover Pile Uranium - 1.1M
New Tech Uranium Ion - 1.3M
Thorium Ion - 1.4M
He3 Fusion - 1.6M ( With DU breeding )
Du-T Fusion in Pulsed Magnetic Confinement - 1.8M
Solar Voltaic is so bad, it has never hit Unity Energy Gain. Additionally, since almost all solar array manufacture occurs in China, and they use mostly dirty coal, Solar Voltaic, is simply time and location displaced Dirty Coal Power.
Wind can work, but its Energy Gain is so low, that it is extremely expensive and unreliable. And it kills enormous numbers of birds.
Of all the "Renewables", only Hydro-electric is actually practical.
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