538 now projects Trump winner of 2024 election
- Thread starter Earl
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Yakuda
Verified User
Which one(s) didnt.
John Quincy Adams won fewer than 100 electoral votes in the 1824 election; three other candidates won the majority between them with Andrew Jackson winning even more than Adams did, the other two other candidates winning the rest. With no one winning a majority, the election went to the House, which elected Adams.
Yakuda
Verified User
Ironically enough the guy with fewer popular votes.
And fewer electoral votes. Jackson won more of both.
Yakuda
Verified User
Oh well. He should have done a better job to win a majority of the electoral votes. That would have ensured him the presidency. Anyway from now I'll be sure to say, "all but one".
Poor anchovies,
Try changing it to whatever you want. I'll wait. Until then, blow it out your ass
538 polls on November 2, 2020 - the final poll - Biden up by 8.4 percent, having 89 of 100 chances to win the election.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
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ExpressLane
Verified User
So you are saying 538 was right in its predictions.538 polls on November 2, 2020 - the final poll - Biden up by 8.4 percent, having 89 of 100 chances to win the election.
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ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
Then why are you alt lefties scared shitless?538 polls on November 2, 2020 - the final poll - Biden up by 8.4 percent, having 89 of 100 chances to win the election.
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ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
Usually is. Of course a prediction of 89 chances out of a 100 is a bit different from 52 chances out of 100, and June is a bit different from November.
Nevertheless, if this polling continues to election day Biden's chances will be grim. Democrats always do better with the people than they do with the EC so even a small Trump lead in the polls would be a very bad sign if it holds up. No point in sugar coating it.
Do NOT get over confident.
The Marxists have a machine that will squeeze every vote out, from legal citizens, illegal aliens via proxy voting, and the usual dead voters.
The vote harvesting apparatus of the democrats is based on early voting - so the democrats know who has not voted well before the election, and can either convince them, or vote in their name.
The Americans tend to shy away from early voting. I oppose it but will do it as long as it is the rule. IF the Marxists are allowed to game the system as they did in 20 and 22, they could still come out on top, regardless of popular support for Trump. The Americans have to be smart and play using the same rules as the democrats - or be prepared to be defrauded out of power again.
And if Biden is put back in office, there will never be another free and fair election. Those are the consequences of screwing this up.
Vote by mail, vote early. If you are in the 19 states that support it, participate in ballot harvesting - the democrats will do it, the Americans must as well.
Yes, but even LESS want Bought and Paid for Biden to be president...
That leaves you Marxists in bit of a bind.
If a lawyer is caught lying in court he would get disbarred. IF HE IS A REPUBLICAN.
Jack Smith got caught lying to the Supreme Court and was PROMOTED.
Party matters - pretty much nothing else does.
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
well said.....I'm glad you stupid fucks finally realize that......
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
and yet they created the electoral college to keep stupid fucks like you out of office......
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
did you say the same thing when someone started a thread last week saying 538 was predicting a win for Biden?.......
Well, then the GOP should have taken those cases to court to get them overturned.
Oh, wait. THEY DID.
And the cases were thrown out as they should have been.
I doubt the people confined in your ward think you are.Frankie I don't live in a ward like you do. How silly of you. I bet the people in your ward think you are a real riot.
ThatOwlWoman
Leftist Vermin
How utterly fascinating. You don't quote 538 directly; instead you use a questionable, biased source. Just retrieved from 538 45 seconds ago:
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is leading the presidential race today, but what range of outcomes are possible for the actual election in November. At least once per day, we'll rerun our simulations of the election with the latest data, so bookmark our interactive and check back often.At launch, our forecast shows President Joe Biden locked in a practically tied race with former President Donald Trump, both in the Electoral College and national popular vote. Specifically, our model reckons Biden has a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election, meaning he wins in slightly more than half of our model's simulations of how the election could unfold. However, Trump still has a 47-in-100 chance, so this election could still very much go either way. The range of realistic* Electoral College outcomes generated by our forecasting model stretches from 132 to 445 electoral votes for Biden — a testament to how much things could change by November (and how off the polls could be).