cawacko
Well-known member
It does amount to something close to 3% over the last two years or so, but Inflation is still running at 8%, and it will be credit cards, spending, that will be effected first. But you are going to see slowdowns in growth and employment numbers
The Fed has always played a guessing game, difficult to get the actual balance right, and the consequences of anything they do doesn't happen overnight
There were people were hoping to hear Powell say today he's going to slow down increases going forward, but stuck to his guns that he will continue to raise rates until inflation comes down.
You remember this better than I but he does not want a repeat of what Aurther Burns did in the 70's, raising rates but stopping too soon before inflation was tamed because of the economy. No one wants to see a slowing economy and unemployment increase but Burns' attempt to toe that line failed. Volker had to come in and crush inflation.
Powell should have started raising rates last year. He failed thinking inflation was transitory. Now it sure seems he doesn't want to fail again thus is sticking with aggressive increases going forward.