South Carolina Predictions... Postmodern?

The more interesting question for me is who will be second...

Second place I will officially put at Too Close to Call, but if pressed...

I am going to go with Rubio, but I think it will be very close with Cruz.

Third place Still Too Close to Call... but if pressed its Cruz.

Fourth, fifth and sixth place very close but Ill go... Kasich, Bush then Carson.
 
Celticguy said:
It's the winner and all the rest lose.
Looks like the Donald
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I wonder if the Second place matters, if its true that Donald is starting to falter in the polls, second place could be very important here.

Everyone but Trump have been competing to be the viable alternative if Trump falters.


Additionally if we are going to have a brokered convention, control over delegates could buy you a lot!
 
Jarod said:
Okay, so PostmodernPimp (who predicted Romney would win Michigan with double digits) is predicting a Trump loss in South Carolina...(Or are you prepared to back off on that?)


Anyone else have a prediction about who will win? I am going with the polls and going to predict Trump will win.

fivethirtyeight gives Trump an 81% chance of winning.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/south-carolina-republican/
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I will say that Trump has a 19% chance of losing
 
Jarod said:
The more interesting question for me is who will be second...

Second place I will officially put at Too Close to Call, but if pressed...

I am going to go with Rubio, but I think it will be very close with Cruz.

Third place Still Too Close to Call... but if pressed its Cruz.

Fourth, fifth and sixth place very close but Ill go... Kasich, Bush then Carson.
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I'll do with you, Jug.....but Trump might be in for tight one.
 
I Love America said:
Are those the only predicted GayRod is making? Is there only a republican primary taking place?
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You are free to make a thread about the Democratic primary, its much less interesting with only two candidates in a smaller state.

My guess is that Bernie wins by a small percentage.
 
Trump was supposed to win Iowa by a fair margin. His final stumble was the boycott. He might have similarly alienated people with his harsh criticisms of W Bush. Perhaps Evangelicals will support him in his little spat with the Pope, but he has definitely ticked a lot of people off the last few days (again).
 
Eno L. Camino said:
Trump was supposed to win Iowa by a fair margin. His final stumble was the boycott. He might have similarly alienated people with his harsh criticisms of W Bush. Perhaps Evangelicals will support him in his little spat with the Pope, but he has definitely ticked a lot of people off the last few days (again).
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IT was brilliant to get into a pissing match with the Pope just before the South Carolina primary.
 
Trump
Cruz
Rubio..

For the Dems..it is close,but I think Clinton squeaks it out -which was unthinkable a month ago.
 
So far, polls show that Haley's endorsement hasn't really helped Rubio, but, we'll see. I think it, at least, helped him to grab second.
 
Jarod said:
How so?
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They'll buy into Trump's con man schtick, like everyone else seems to be doing, and he'll come out on top.

I couldn't believe the town hall last night. Every answer is the same - no matter what the issue is, Trump is going to make it "great" and "the best we've ever had." And everyone loves him. And he loves compromise, as long as he wins.
 
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