Why Democrats' success in the Deep South Tuesday isn't a surprise

Guno צְבִי

We fight, We win, Am Yisrael Chai
In Georgia, Democrats won critical statewide elections that flipped two seats on the state’s Public Service Commission. A couple of states over, in Mississippi, Democrats won four high-profile legislative races, and in so doing, flipped a pair of Republican-held state Senate seats to break the Republican supermajority. That’s a consequential shift that opens the door for accountability and balance in a state long written off by national pundits.

 
But over the past decade, a critical shift has occurred. Part of it has been driven by demographics, including the reverse migration that has led to Southern states being home to 56% of all Black Americans. The South also saw the rapid expansion of Latino and AAPI populations. However, race is only one marker. As education access increased, political fealty shifted. Economic deprivation and meager services also started to take their toll.


The power we’ve built in the South is here to stay, and it’s growing. And as long as we keep organizing, keep talking, and keep building, we will win.
 
In 2025, only scattered Southern races were even on the ballot, and results were mixed, at best.

Only threes Southern states had major statewide races.

No full legislative elections outside Virginia, and Republicans retained full control everywhere else in the region.

Specifically, Trump-hating Democrats gains were limited to one governorship flip, a few legislative seats, and two regulator posts.

The region remains overwhelmingly Republican at the federal and statewide levels, and these results don't reverse the post-1960s realignment.

If anything, Virginia's swing reflects its ongoing purple-state evolution (driven by Northern Virginia suburbs), not a broader Southern shift.
 
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