Scientists predict US could be free of Chinese virus by end of Sept.

Life is Golden

Life is Golden

The Sage
The U.S. could be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind it in December, says a group of scientists in Singapore.

A mathematical model created by the Singapore University of Technology and Design is allowing the scientists to predict the future of the virus using data from already confirmed cases and deaths around the world.

Based on “a predictive-monitoring” technique, the model inputs global data, which is converted to a bar chart. A curve over the top of the chart displays the trajectory of the disease. At the end of April, its predictions showed that the U.S. would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and that the U.K. could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27.

Scientists at the university cautioned that their dates were not exact and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.

“Overoptimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our discipline and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus,” they said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...e-by-late-september-scientists-say-2020-05-23
 
Life is Golden said:
The U.S. could be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind it in December, says a group of scientists in Singapore.

A mathematical model created by the Singapore University of Technology and Design is allowing the scientists to predict the future of the virus using data from already confirmed cases and deaths around the world.

Based on “a predictive-monitoring” technique, the model inputs global data, which is converted to a bar chart. A curve over the top of the chart displays the trajectory of the disease. At the end of April, its predictions showed that the U.S. would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and that the U.K. could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27.

Scientists at the university cautioned that their dates were not exact and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.

“Overoptimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our discipline and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus,” they said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...e-by-late-september-scientists-say-2020-05-23
Click to expand...

Obviously would be good, but, I wouldn’t wager on it
 
That is when herd immunity would kick in. When there are very few people that can get the virus, it will fade away.
 
Life is Golden said:
The U.S. could be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind it in December, says a group of scientists in Singapore.

A mathematical model created by the Singapore University of Technology and Design is allowing the scientists to predict the future of the virus using data from already confirmed cases and deaths around the world.

Based on “a predictive-monitoring” technique, the model inputs global data, which is converted to a bar chart. A curve over the top of the chart displays the trajectory of the disease. At the end of April, its predictions showed that the U.S. would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and that the U.K. could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27.

Scientists at the university cautioned that their dates were not exact and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.

“Overoptimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our discipline and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus,” they said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...e-by-late-september-scientists-say-2020-05-23
Click to expand...

Hey, nothing wrong with models lol.
 
Life is Golden said:
The U.S. could be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind it in December, says a group of scientists in Singapore.

A mathematical model created by the Singapore University of Technology and Design is allowing the scientists to predict the future of the virus using data from already confirmed cases and deaths around the world.

Based on “a predictive-monitoring” technique, the model inputs global data, which is converted to a bar chart. A curve over the top of the chart displays the trajectory of the disease. At the end of April, its predictions showed that the U.S. would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and that the U.K. could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27.

Scientists at the university cautioned that their dates were not exact and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.

“Overoptimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our discipline and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus,” they said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...e-by-late-september-scientists-say-2020-05-23
Click to expand...

Given that we have no idea how many have been infected so far this means squat.

Our Experts have so far completely failed, I see no reason for optimism that anything has changed.
 
Life is Golden said:
The U.S. could be free of the coronavirus in late September, and the whole world can expect to put the pandemic behind it in December, says a group of scientists in Singapore.

A mathematical model created by the Singapore University of Technology and Design is allowing the scientists to predict the future of the virus using data from already confirmed cases and deaths around the world.

Based on “a predictive-monitoring” technique, the model inputs global data, which is converted to a bar chart. A curve over the top of the chart displays the trajectory of the disease. At the end of April, its predictions showed that the U.S. would be virus-free by Sept. 20 and that the U.K. could see the end of the coronavirus by Aug. 27.

Scientists at the university cautioned that their dates were not exact and that the predictions should not lead to hasty ends of lockdowns around the world.

“Overoptimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our discipline and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus,” they said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...e-by-late-september-scientists-say-2020-05-23
Click to expand...

The Trump Virus.
 
jimmymccready said:
So it is a problematic non-peer reviewed model.
Click to expand...

There’s such a thing as a peer reviewed model lol?

Models are predictive and we know how predictions can go. It is just a model *like the rest of them* but I wouldn’t totally discount it.

The SARS outbreak ended when the virus underwent a mutation that rendered it less virulent.

It would suck if that happened to COVID, huh?
 
Darth Omar said:
There’s such a thing as a peer reviewed model lol?

Models are predictive and we know how predictions can go. It is just a model *like the rest of them* but I wouldn’t totally discount it.

The SARS outbreak ended when the virus underwent a mutation that rendered it less virulent.

It would suck if that happened to COVID, huh?
Click to expand...

Peer review once corrupted became a major part of the problem.

The fact that you are too ignorant to know is instructive.
 
If it is gone in September, Trump will be in November.

If covid is here in September, Trump may not make it to November.

They are mutually exclusive.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top