Again, another example of the morons falling for anything. 50 new accounts, wow. Then, 'the odds of someone betting correctly 12 minutes before Trump speaks' is nearly impossible, says a moron as dumb as Chivy himself. Actually, the writer is much smarter, he's the one exploiting all the simple minded, radical, TDS suffering idiots.
I see this and immediately ask myself, how many accounts do they add per month? How many members do they have? How unusual that a whole 50 new accounts show up? Answer? I asked a couple of simple and obvious question before even starting to consider if there was something nefarious at play. I'm not surprised by what I found.
Let's consider this one:
One March 2026 report stated that Polymarket averaged over 273,908 new users per month.
Right away I'm thinking, hmmm, is it really odd that 50 new wallets were created shortly before Trump's announcement? Reality, not in the slightest. Quick math puts new wallets averaging about 6 per every minute of every day of the month for about 6 months straight.
How about we consider how someone could have made a 'lucky bet' 12 minutes before Trump spoke. Well, it hasn't been a secret that talks were happening and it was certainly a possibility that a cease fire was coming. Was it certain? No, but it's called a bet for a reason, and the odds were high for a reason, therefore the number of winners is where you'd expect it to be, low.
Let's take a closer look so we can prove how idiots like Chivy get fooled every time they look at their news feeds (or whatever AM PBS radio station he's listening too, lol) You'll see how the media creates click-bait for suckers. They take something completely normal, that happens every day, then zero in on a way to include the word Trump, omit the details I'm about to share and like magic, they've created another fake news story. They rake in the cash from ads and trust fund morons start writing checks from money their parents busted their asses to make to the corrupt and evil democrat party.
What stands out recently (but isn't anomalous):
- Recent reports of a cluster of newly created accounts made highly profitable, well-timed bets on the exact U.S.-Iran ceasefire date (April 7), netting hundreds of thousands of dollars. These were low-probability bets early on that paid out big when the outcome hit precisely.
ca.news.yahoo.com
- Isolated big individual wins (e.g., one trader turning small stakes into 10,000%+ returns on specific flips) have been noted, but these are single-wallet examples, not a platform-wide surge.
@CarOnPolymarket
Why this feels normal:
- High-odds bets (e.g., 5¢ contracts) have historically resolved at roughly the expected rate (~4–5% win rate), with no recent deviation reported in on-chain analyses.
- Big payouts always cluster around fast-moving events like the Iran ceasefire, elections, or sports upsets — exactly what we've seen before.
- Overall stats remain consistent: ~84% of all Polymarket wallets are unprofitable long-term, with profits heavily concentrated among a tiny % of sharp/arbitrage wallets. No April 2026 data shows a sudden shift in this dynamic.
In short, the last two weeks look like typical Polymarket behavior during major news cycles rather than anything out of the ordinary. If new on-chain data or a broad analysis drops in the next few days, that could change the picture slightly, but nothing currently points to a spike.
One more thing. They add the word anonymous to really seal the deal for Chivy and the rest of the drones. Reality? Nearly every member is anonymous, it's by design. Of course, simpletons like Chivy and friends never consider that at all, they've already seen the word Trump, lol.
So, go ahead investigate, but don't use our tax dollars for more of your lunacy. Spend some of that trust fund money instead.
Yes, most members (wallets) on Polymarket can reasonably be described as anonymous — at least in the traditional sense of not linking their real-world identity to their trading activity.
apnews.com
