Many US Employers to Drop Health Benefits: McKinsey

Topspin

Verified User
Many US Employers to Drop Health Benefits: McKinsey
Published: Tuesday, 7 Jun 2011 | 12:26 PM ET Text Size By: Reuters
At least 30 percent of employers are likely to stop offering health insurance once provisions of the U.S. health care reform law kick in in 2014, according to a study by consultant McKinsey.



McKinsey, which based its projection on a survey of more than 1,300 employers of various sizes and industries and other proprietary research, found that 30 percent of employers will "definitely" or "probably" stop offering coverage in the years after 2014, when new medical insurance exchanges are supposed to be up and running.

"The shift away from employer-provided health insurance will be vastly greater than expected and will make sense for many companies and lower-income workers alike," according to the study, published in McKinsey Quarterly.

"While the pace and timing are difficult to predict, McKinsey research points to a radical restructuring of employer-sponsored health benefits."

Among employers with a high awareness of the health reform law, the number likely to drop health coverage for workers rises to more than 50 percent, the report predicted.

The numbers compare to a Congressional Budget Office estimate that only about 7 percent of employees currently covered by employer-sponsored plans will have to switch to subsidized-exchange policies in 2014, McKinsey said.

The consultant also found that at least 30 percent of employers would gain economically from dropping coverage even if they compensated employees for the change through other benefit offerings or higher salaries.

Losing employer-sponsored insurance would not prompt workers to leave their jobs, contrary to what many employers assume, McKinsey also predicted. The study found more than 85 percent of employees would remain at their jobs even if their employer stopped offering insurance, although about 60 percent would expect increased compensation.
 
There were Chicken Littles that claimed the same thing would happen in Massachusetts with the implementation of RomneyCare but it didn't happen. In fact, in the wake of RomneyCare, employer-sponsored health insurance increased.
 
A turbo-lib like you wouldn't know the difference between chicken little and Mckinsey

I know the difference between a study and observed experience.

Moreover, employers are already dropping health insurance or offering shittier insurance because costs are so damn high. Presently, there is no good place for people that have regular medical expenses and who need health insurance to go to get decent affordable coverage. Under the exchanges, those people will at least have a landing spot where they can acquire health insurance if their employers drop coverage.

And there are ways to change the law to nudge employers towards continuing to provide insurance by making it in their economic best interest if that's what policymakers decide is best. Personally, I think employer-sponsored coverage isn't a very good system in the first instance but if you want to keep it as the primary model for providing health insurance there are ways to do it under the Affordable Care Act.
 
oh so it's happening just a diff reason. LOFL


Here's a chart:

091610-povertyfigure2.jpg


Is it your view that the Affordable Care Act traveled back in time to account for the decline in employer sponsored coverage from 2000-2009? Yes, it is happening and has been happening for years.
 
and all Mckinsey is saying is the trend continues.

Let's get gov HC, and get it off the back of corporations.
 
and all Mckinsey is saying is the trend continues.

Let's get gov HC, and get it off the back of corporations.


You seemed to suggest that the ACA was causing the decline and that you thought the decline was problematic. Sorry if I misunderstood you.
 
Back
Top