Is the GOP in good shape for 2014?

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Big Money

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Since the mid-19th-century emergence of the current two-party competition, no party holding the presidency has ever won control of the House in a midterm election.


Since the Civil War, the average turnout in presidential elections has been 63 percent and in midterms 48 percent.


The decline comes mostly from the party holding the presidency.


Three crucial components of Obama’s coalition — unmarried women, minorities (more than 40 percent of Obama’s 2012 vote) and young people — are especially prone to skipping midterms.


In the seven midterms since 1984, voters younger than 30 averaged 13 percent of the midterm vote, down from 19 percent during presidential years.




http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-will-politics-by-the-numbers/2014/01/03/bbab651a-74a6-11e3-8b3f-b1666705ca3b_story.html
 
No, the GOP is in crappy shape. The platform is okay I guess, but the democrats cheat and there is a lot of stupid left in their base. I hope I'm wrong.
 
callinectes said:
No, the GOP is in crappy shape. The platform is okay I guess, but the democrats cheat and there is a lot of stupid left in their base. I hope I'm wrong.
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Historically, there's not a lot of hope for the Jackass Party to get control of the House, is there?
 
Its in their power to do well. They need to craft their message, articulatenit and stick to it.
Now they are not good at that so we shall have to see. But the ground has seldom been more fertile.
 
Big Money said:
Support for Obama is at an all-time low, isn't it?
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Yes it is and falling. And as the donkeys tied their carts to BO and had no identity of thheir own, and have not already retired as a result, they are starting in a hole.
Their legacy is failure and the GOP did manage to let them own it.
Now all they need to do is lay that out.
 
Big Money said:
Historically, there's not a lot of hope for the Jackass Party to get control of the House, is there?
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You've got to throw history out the window. Since 2008, political history has been turned upside down. The "leadership" on the left has finally de-educated the electorate to the point where they blindly follow every stupid thought that manages to escape from their heads.
 
I think that the fact that the approval ratings for the republican led house of representatives make Obama's seem stratospheric by comparison complicates the midterm calculus a bit. I personally think there are way too many variables in play to make any confident predictions ten months out.
 
maineman said:
I think that the fact that the approval ratings for the republican led house of representatives make Obama's seem stratospheric by comparison complicates the midterm calculus a bit. I personally think there are way too many variables in play to make any confident predictions ten months out.
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Well, that's what happens when you ask democrats how they feel about republicans. If I was ever surveyed on the subject, I would gush over the GOP, I would have nothing but love for 'em! Am I completely satisfied with the job they're doing? Not 100%, but that doesn't mean I'm voting democrat, and if I told virtually any pollster that, I would go straight into the "hates the GOP" column. It may sound cynical, but that's been my experience.
 
Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.


A CNN/ORC International survey also indicates that Obama may be dragging down Democrat congressional candidates, and that the 2014 midterm elections are shaping up to be a low-turnout event, with only three in 10 registered voters extremely or very enthusiastic about voting next year.



http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/12/26/cnn-poll-gop-has-edge-in-early-midterm-indicator/
 
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