Glimpsing Victory in Iran

FastLane

Verified User
The campaign has already delivered major wins for American national security, but something much bigger is starting to come

Two weeks after the United States and Israel launched their combined military campaign against Iran’s clerical regime, the outlines of victory are beginning to emerge.

Military campaigns of this kind—especially those aimed not only at degrading military capability but also at creating conditions for political change—unfold in phases. The first phase of this conflict was bound to be the most important: stripping the Islamic Republic of its ability to wage war against America and its allies, threaten its neighbors, and intimidate global markets.

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Even liberal outlets know we are winning. They even admit that this is a win for national security. Why do Libratards on JPP oppose this military action. :dunno:




A regime still reeling from last year’s 12-day war now faces a far more punishing assault. American and Israeli aircraft are operating over Iran with near-total freedom, striking military infrastructure, command nodes, and strategic assets across the country. Iran’s air-defense network has been badly degraded, and its navy reduced to a fraction of its former capacity.

Its ballistic-missile program—the backbone of Tehran’s ability to coerce the region—has suffered immense damage. Israeli military assessments indicate that 160 to 190 launchers have been destroyed and roughly 200 more disabled, while perhaps 150 remain active. Missile inventories have been sharply diminished, and production lines and storage facilities repeatedly struck. Ballistic-missile launches have fallen by more than 90 percent since the war began, and Iran’s one-way-attack-drone launches have dropped by more than 95 percent, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said on Friday.
 
The campaign has already delivered major wins for American national security, but something much bigger is starting to come

Two weeks after the United States and Israel launched their combined military campaign against Iran’s clerical regime, the outlines of victory are beginning to emerge.

Military campaigns of this kind—especially those aimed not only at degrading military capability but also at creating conditions for political change—unfold in phases. The first phase of this conflict was bound to be the most important: stripping the Islamic Republic of its ability to wage war against America and its allies, threaten its neighbors, and intimidate global markets.

.....


=========================================

Even liberal outlets know we are winning. They even admit that this is a win for national security. Why do Libratards on JPP oppose this military action. :dunno:




A regime still reeling from last year’s 12-day war now faces a far more punishing assault. American and Israeli aircraft are operating over Iran with near-total freedom, striking military infrastructure, command nodes, and strategic assets across the country. Iran’s air-defense network has been badly degraded, and its navy reduced to a fraction of its former capacity.

Its ballistic-missile program—the backbone of Tehran’s ability to coerce the region—has suffered immense damage. Israeli military assessments indicate that 160 to 190 launchers have been destroyed and roughly 200 more disabled, while perhaps 150 remain active. Missile inventories have been sharply diminished, and production lines and storage facilities repeatedly struck. Ballistic-missile launches have fallen by more than 90 percent since the war began, and Iran’s one-way-attack-drone launches have dropped by more than 95 percent, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said on Friday.



I believe that the crime of the century has just been narrowly averted, and we've just bought precious time to keep it from fruition.

Consider what we've learned (for those following the after-action reports).

Iran was trying to build up an arsenal of medium and short range missiles (and drones).

That would've given the theocrats in Tehran the steel shield they needed in order to reconstitute their nuclear program at a rapid pace, relatively safe from air attacks.

The risk to the world of introducing nuclear coercion into the fabric of hybrid warfare is immense. Iran has long been the world’s largest state sponsor of terrorism with networks of proxies operating across the globe.

That set-up left Washington with four bad options: pull out of the Middle East, abandon Israel, give Iran more time to go nuclear, or destroy Iran's air defense system before the tipping point was reached.

Trump chose the least bad option in anticipatory self defense.

The US and Israel could wait no longer. It would have been suicidal to let the mullahs launch a surprise attack because it would likely inflict politically disastrous losses.

Tehran made the error of thinking that the Iran policy of the past (even of Trump 1.0) would continue and that they'd have enough time to reconstitute their nuclear program under cover of their defensive hardware.

They miscalculated.

The US and Israel must at least attempt finish this job.

The IRGC is still going to escalate as best they can and target not only vessels anchored in the Persian Gulf, but ports, terminals and other targets of opportunity. We have to knock out their remaining drones and missiles, and destroy their means of producing more until they sue for peace - if they ever do.

Remember that these are radical religious fanatics whose stated goals are the destruction of the state of Israel and death to America. They are willing (and even eager) to die if necessary to facilitate the mass extinction of the US and Israel. I do not doubt their resolve.

But what's going to happen now?

Setting aside the possibility of the Red Chinese intervening militarily (although it's possible), we don't have unlimited time or the resources for a protracted campaign.

The US has multi-theater obligations and cannot leave a vacuum forever in the western hemisphere or the Indopacific (especially with Taiwan under threat).

It behooves the international community to form a maritime task force to protect those soft assets by positioning in the region. They will likely do it anyway once the assets they depend on for oil start burning out of control.

But they must drag their feet and wag their fingers at Trump and Netanyahu first to score political points in the hopes that it hobbles Trump in the midterms and loses Bibi his October election, because they want to go back to pretending they have time to play with Iran some more.

Setting aside how hypocritical that approach is, it is also shortsighted.

Iran has the motive, and will reacquire the means in time. They must not be given the opportunity.
 
I believe that the crime of the century has just been narrowly averted, and we've just bought precious time to keep it from fruition.

Consider what we've learned (for those following the after-action reports).

Iran was trying to build up an arsenal of medium and short range missiles (and drones).

That would've given the theocrats in Tehran the steel shield they needed in order to reconstitute their nuclear program at a rapid pace, relatively safe from air attacks.

The risk to the world of introducing nuclear coercion into the fabric of hybrid warfare is immense. Iran has long been the world’s largest state sponsor of terrorism with networks of proxies operating across the globe.

That set-up left Washington with four bad options: pull out of the Middle East, abandon Israel, give Iran more time to go nuclear, or destroy Iran's air defense system before the tipping point was reached.

Trump chose the least bad option in anticipatory self defense.

The US and Israel could wait no longer. It would have been suicidal to let the mullahs launch a surprise attack because it would likely inflict politically disastrous losses.

Tehran made the error of thinking that the Iran policy of the past (even of Trump 1.0) would continue and that they'd have enough time to reconstitute their nuclear program under cover of their defensive hardware.

They miscalculated.

The US and Israel must at least attempt finish this job.

The IRGC is still going to escalate as best they can and target not only vessels anchored in the Persian Gulf, but ports, terminals and other targets of opportunity. We have to knock out their remaining drones and missiles, and destroy their means of producing more until they sue for peace - if they ever do.

Remember that these are radical religious fanatics whose stated goals are the destruction of the state of Israel and death to America. They are willing (and even eager) to die if necessary to facilitate the mass extinction of the US and Israel. I do not doubt their resolve.

But what's going to happen now?

Setting aside the possibility of the Red Chinese intervening militarily (although it's possible), we don't have unlimited time or the resources for a protracted campaign.

The US has multi-theater obligations and cannot leave a vacuum forever in the western hemisphere or the Indopacific (especially with Taiwan under threat).

It behooves the international community to form a maritime task force to protect those soft assets by positioning in the region. They will likely do it anyway once the assets they depend on for oil start burning out of control.

But they must drag their feet and wag their fingers at Trump and Netanyahu first to score political points in the hopes that it hobbles Trump in the midterms and loses Bibi his October election, because they want to go back to pretending they have time to play with Iran some more.

Setting aside how hypocritical that approach is, it is also shortsighted.

Iran has the motive, and will reacquire the means in time. They must not be given the opportunity.
100% agree. This could be why Trump was only grazed in the ear.
 
Another thing too....this latest costly Empire war is not popular with the people, no matter how much effort the Zionist Bastards put in to ginning up support.....no matter how many fake polls they put out.

And it is the end of MAGA....a little too convenient for our abusers.
 

Glimpsing Victory in Iran​

What does victory even look like at this point? trump was hoping that by not saying what victory was, he could declare whatever he got victory. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is closed, no one will buy that it is victory. So again, what does this victory that you are "glimpsing" look like?
 
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