UH-oh...more bad news for the RACE-O-CRATS.
Democrats are lagging among Black voters, and that could cost them in November
The 2022 midterm elections have already begun, with voters casting early ballots in some states. With Americans so closely divided – see the tight Senate races and the tied generic congressional ballot – even the slightest change in voter sentiment can make a big difference.
~Biden and the Democrats have a smaller edge with Black voters
Black voters tend to be a forgotten part of the discussion about general elections. The reason is simple: They have been one of the most Democratic parts of the electorate for a long time. While Joe Biden in 2020 likely did slightly worse than Hillary Clinton among African Americans, he still won them by an overwhelming margin.
That doesn’t mean Black voters are unimportant, though. Black voters put Biden over the top in a number of swing states – e.g., Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. All of those states have competitive gubernatorial and/or Senate races this year.
Looking at the national polling, it seems possible that Democrats might not be able to count on nearly as much support from Black voters as they have in previous elections.
An average of the final five live interview polls of the 2020 election showed Biden with an 84% to 9% lead over then-President Donald Trump among Black voters – a big 75-point advantage. But this year, an average of the last five live interview polls I could find gives Democrats a 74% to 12% advantage among Black voters – a 62-point edge – on the generic congressional ballot, which usually asks respondents some form of the following question: “If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican party?”
This represents a larger swing toward Republicans by Black voters than the swing we have seen among all voters from the 2020 baseline.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/02/politics/democrats-black-voters-midterm-elections
Democrats are lagging among Black voters, and that could cost them in November
The 2022 midterm elections have already begun, with voters casting early ballots in some states. With Americans so closely divided – see the tight Senate races and the tied generic congressional ballot – even the slightest change in voter sentiment can make a big difference.
~Biden and the Democrats have a smaller edge with Black voters
Black voters tend to be a forgotten part of the discussion about general elections. The reason is simple: They have been one of the most Democratic parts of the electorate for a long time. While Joe Biden in 2020 likely did slightly worse than Hillary Clinton among African Americans, he still won them by an overwhelming margin.
That doesn’t mean Black voters are unimportant, though. Black voters put Biden over the top in a number of swing states – e.g., Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. All of those states have competitive gubernatorial and/or Senate races this year.
Looking at the national polling, it seems possible that Democrats might not be able to count on nearly as much support from Black voters as they have in previous elections.
An average of the final five live interview polls of the 2020 election showed Biden with an 84% to 9% lead over then-President Donald Trump among Black voters – a big 75-point advantage. But this year, an average of the last five live interview polls I could find gives Democrats a 74% to 12% advantage among Black voters – a 62-point edge – on the generic congressional ballot, which usually asks respondents some form of the following question: “If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican party?”
This represents a larger swing toward Republicans by Black voters than the swing we have seen among all voters from the 2020 baseline.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/02/politics/democrats-black-voters-midterm-elections

Classic!