cancel2 2022
Canceled
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What heretical right wing webshite could say such a thing, I hear the JPP climatologists demanding? Actually it's the IPCC in AR6.
Near the top of a Google news search for the phrase “climate change” today one finds a story in the Financial Times reporting island nations blame developed countries’ for causing stronger hurricanes and rapidly rising seas, both of which they claim are devastating their countries. This is false. Data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) show hurricanes have neither increased in number or strength during the recent period of modest warming. In addition, research shows sea levels rise is not increasing at a historically unusual rate and most island nations are adding land mass, not sinking beneath the waves.
A story in the Financial Times, titled “Small island nations won’t tolerate empty promises on climate change,” says a group of small island developing states (SIDS) blame the world’s advanced economies for creating a climate crisis, threatening their continued existence.
“If anyone harbored any doubts that greenhouse gas emissions pose an existential threat for small island nations, last month’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report should eliminate them,” writes the Financial Times. “Man-made climate change is accelerating a rise in sea levels, stoking hurricanes to greater degrees of destructive power, and changing the weather systems that bring us fresh water and fertile soil.”
It is a terrible but unalterable fact of life that hurricanes have and do devastate small island nations with some regularity. The island nations most often in the news for being at ground zero for hurricanes lie the regions where, because of natural ocean currents and meteorological conditions, hurricanes form and strengthen seasonally.
Contrary to the SIDS’ and Financial Times’ assertions, the IPCC’s recent 6th Assessment Report (AR6) does not indicate climate change has caused hurricanes to increase in number or intensity.
“There is low confidence in most reported long-term (multidecadal to centennial) trends in TC [tropical cyclone] frequency- or intensity-based metrics,” concluded the IPCC in AR6.
The IPCC confirms what data from the NHC shows. The NHC is world’s most reliable and technologically sophisticated hurricane analysis and tracking center.
Tropical storms and hurricanes that form in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea commonly make landfall in the United States. Data from the NHC show hurricane impacts on the United States are at an all-time low. The United States recently went more than a decade, 2005 through 2017, without experiencing a major hurricane measuring Category 3 or higher, making landfall—the longest such period in recorded history.
This can be seen in the Figure below showing the large gap with no major landfalling hurricanes (Category 3 or greater) in the U.S. on the right-hand side.
https://climaterealism.com/2021/09/...-stronger-hurricanes-or-disappearing-islands/
What heretical right wing webshite could say such a thing, I hear the JPP climatologists demanding? Actually it's the IPCC in AR6.
Near the top of a Google news search for the phrase “climate change” today one finds a story in the Financial Times reporting island nations blame developed countries’ for causing stronger hurricanes and rapidly rising seas, both of which they claim are devastating their countries. This is false. Data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) show hurricanes have neither increased in number or strength during the recent period of modest warming. In addition, research shows sea levels rise is not increasing at a historically unusual rate and most island nations are adding land mass, not sinking beneath the waves.
A story in the Financial Times, titled “Small island nations won’t tolerate empty promises on climate change,” says a group of small island developing states (SIDS) blame the world’s advanced economies for creating a climate crisis, threatening their continued existence.
“If anyone harbored any doubts that greenhouse gas emissions pose an existential threat for small island nations, last month’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report should eliminate them,” writes the Financial Times. “Man-made climate change is accelerating a rise in sea levels, stoking hurricanes to greater degrees of destructive power, and changing the weather systems that bring us fresh water and fertile soil.”
It is a terrible but unalterable fact of life that hurricanes have and do devastate small island nations with some regularity. The island nations most often in the news for being at ground zero for hurricanes lie the regions where, because of natural ocean currents and meteorological conditions, hurricanes form and strengthen seasonally.
Contrary to the SIDS’ and Financial Times’ assertions, the IPCC’s recent 6th Assessment Report (AR6) does not indicate climate change has caused hurricanes to increase in number or intensity.
“There is low confidence in most reported long-term (multidecadal to centennial) trends in TC [tropical cyclone] frequency- or intensity-based metrics,” concluded the IPCC in AR6.
The IPCC confirms what data from the NHC shows. The NHC is world’s most reliable and technologically sophisticated hurricane analysis and tracking center.
Tropical storms and hurricanes that form in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea commonly make landfall in the United States. Data from the NHC show hurricane impacts on the United States are at an all-time low. The United States recently went more than a decade, 2005 through 2017, without experiencing a major hurricane measuring Category 3 or higher, making landfall—the longest such period in recorded history.
This can be seen in the Figure below showing the large gap with no major landfalling hurricanes (Category 3 or greater) in the U.S. on the right-hand side.
https://climaterealism.com/2021/09/...-stronger-hurricanes-or-disappearing-islands/
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