Atlanta Fed Q3 US GDP Growth Estimate: a VERY STRONG 3.8%...again

[Grokmaster]

Looks like the experts might well continue to be wrong...not too shabby, as unemployment also remains at 4.3%....



GDP Now...from the Atlanta fed




The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, which provides a real-time estimate, forecasts U.S. Q3 2025 real GDP growth at 3.8 percent as of October 7, 2025, unchanged from its October 1 update. This estimate is based on the latest economic data available, such as the recent Nonmanufacturing ISM Report on Business.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

 

[Grokmaster]

 

[Poor Richard Saunders]

Looks like the experts might well continue to be wrong...not too shabby, as unemployment also remains at 4.3%....



GDP Now...from the Atlanta fed




The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, which provides a real-time estimate, forecasts U.S. Q3 2025 real GDP growth at 3.8 percent as of October 7, 2025, unchanged from its October 1 update. This estimate is based on the latest economic data available, such as the recent Nonmanufacturing ISM Report on Business.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a

www.atlantafed.org

NY fed predicts 2.3% growth

New York Fed Staff Nowcast

The report tracks the evolution of the New York Fed Staff Nowcast of GDP growth and the impact of new data releases on the forecast.

resources.newyorkfed.org

Philly Fed's survey of forecasters predicts 1.3% growth

Third Quarter 2025 Survey of Professional Forecasters

Third Quarter 2025 Survey of Professional Forecasters

www.philadelphiafed.org

We won't know as long as the GOP keeps the government closed.
The GOP controls the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate.
The House has been on vacation during the shut down and refuses to negotiate.
Trump has gone golfing, said he would negotiate then said he wouldn't negotiate.