2012 Presidential Election Predictions

[Cancel 2018. 3]

i thought it would be fun to get up the scoreboard predictor now.

i predict obama will win. my reasoning is, pubs won't support romney. his religion, he leans to left....yada yada. no other pub candidate at this time can beat obama, except for romney.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

can a mod make the vote public, thanks

will be fun to see this next year

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

Sorry man, we don't have the option to make it public after its made.

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

i thought it would be fun to get up the scoreboard predictor now.

i predict obama will win. my reasoning is, pubs won't support romney. his religion, he leans to left....yada yada. no other pub candidate at this time can beat obama, except for romney.

Paul could be Obama in the general election.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

Sorry man, we don't have the option to make it public after its made.

i've seen it done on this forum. damo has done it.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

Paul could be Obama in the general election.

nah....not enough die hard pub support. if paul moved more mainstraim, maybe. he also lacks the presidential 'look'.

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

i've seen it done on this forum. damo has done it.

Then I do not know how to do it.

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

nah....not enough die hard pub support. if paul moved more mainstraim, maybe. he also lacks the presidential 'look'.

Yeah, he is a goofy lookin guy. But if he got the nomination he's get most of the (R) vote, because around 40% of voters vote for (R) regardless. Another 40% will vote for a (D) no matter what. So that leaves 20% of (I) voters. THAT would be Pauls niche group. That's how he'd beat Obama.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

Yeah, he is a goofy lookin guy. But if he got the nomination he's get most of the (R) vote, because around 40% of voters vote for (R) regardless. Another 40% will vote for a (D) no matter what. So that leaves 20% of (I) voters. THAT would be Pauls niche group. That's how he'd beat Obama.

pre-television....hands down you're right. post television it is clear, without a study needed (and there has been studies), that the most photogenic and charismatic person wins, 99% of the time.

 

[Billy the Great Khan]

pre-television....hands down you're right. post television it is clear, without a study needed (and there has been studies), that the most photogenic and charismatic person wins, 99% of the time.

Bush certainly wasn't more photogenic.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

Bush certainly wasn't more photogenic.

than gore?

LOL

he was the opposite of clinton and gore was literally a bore.

 

[The Dude]

Id much rather Paul but obuma is sticking like gum on a shoe.

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

Id much rather Paul but obuma is sticking like gum on a shoe.

lol

 

[sedan]

There are a couple things I believe about politics. One of them is that anything can happen, so there is no such thing as a safe prediction. However, as a survivor of both the Gore and Kerry campaigns, I can tell you one thing that comes close to being a rule in politics: bad candidates lose elections. Seriously. About the only chance a bad candidate has is to run against another bad candidate. But the Republicans aren't running against a bad candidate. And they don't have a good one.

 

[Phantasmal]

There are a couple things I believe about politics. One of them is that anything can happen, so there is no such thing as a safe prediction. However, as a survivor of both the Gore and Kerry campaigns, I can tell you one thing that comes close to being a rule in politics: bad candidates lose elections. Seriously. About the only chance a bad candidate has is to run against another bad candidate. But the Republicans aren't running against a bad candidate. And they don't have a good one.

An incumbent is hard to beat, so the candidate has to be strong to beat one, generally.

 

[Damocles]

I closed this poll, he's going to make another "open" poll. Unfortunately we can't change polls from private to public after they're submitted.

 

[Dixie - In Memoriam]

I'll remind you that at this time in 1979, Jimmy Carter was polling slightly higher than any Republican challenger, and Ronald Reagan wasn't even on the radar yet, in fact, as of 12/8, he was still a week away from announcing his candidacy. Reagan won in a landslide, Carter barely carried his home state. A hell of a lot can happen between now and the election.

 

[Damocles]

I'll remind you that at this time in 1979, Jimmy Carter was polling slightly higher than any Republican challenger, and Ronald Reagan wasn't even on the radar yet, in fact, as of 12/8, he was still a week away from announcing his candidacy. Reagan won in a landslide, Carter barely carried his home state. A hell of a lot can happen between now and the election.

It is less than a month before the first Caucus.

 

[Phantasmal]

It is less than a month before the first Caucus.

But, there has been much cacas.

 

[sedan]

I'll remind you that at this time in 1979, Jimmy Carter was polling slightly higher than any Republican challenger, and Ronald Reagan wasn't even on the radar yet, in fact, as of 12/8, he was still a week away from announcing his candidacy. Reagan won in a landslide, Carter barely carried his home state. A hell of a lot can happen between now and the election.

I agree that anything can happen -- but Reagan was a great candidate.