Matt Dillon (10-27-2020)
Here is my official prediction for the upcoming election, as well as my thoughts on each of the "toss-up" States...
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/Q2mbY
Trump will definitely win this election with AT LEAST 300 EC votes, but my official guess is 326-212 as mapped out in the link above... Now, to get into my thoughts about each "toss-up" State:
NEVADA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, but voter fraud might leave him ever so barely shy of doing so once again. I wouldn't be surprised if I end up being wrong about this one, but I do think that this is the year that Nevada finally becomes a win for Team Red.
ARIZONA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. He will win it by about 4 points, and McSally will ride his coattails to victory in the Senate race there.
COLORADO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It has been compromised by Kkkalifornia commies and I don't see a path for Trump to flip it. I would love to be wrong, though...
NEW MEXICO: Biden all but has this State in the bag. I believe that Biden's win margin will be narrower than Clinton's was, but I do not see Trump gaining enough ground from 2016 to flip this State. Again, I would love to be wrong...
NEBRASKA's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag (as he does the other two districts, and the State as a whole). He will win this district by about 3 points.
TEXAS: Trump 100% has Texas in the bag, and will win it by at least 7 points. The fact that liberals think that Texas is in play is completely laughable...
IOWA: See Texas (above).
MINNESOTA: This State could truly go either way. I am predicting that Trump finally gets this State to narrowly flip red, as early indicators look very well for him in the Iron Range, and the Twin City suburbs are looking like an area of vote gains for Trump as well. We'll see on this one, but my gut feeling is that it narrowly flips red. Republicans also have a good chance to pick up a Senate seat here.
WISCONSIN: Trump all but has Wisconsin in the bag, and I think that he will win it by around 2-3 points. Early indicators are looking very well for Trump to gain votes in the WOW Counties (Milwaukee suburbs) as well as the Fox Valley region (Oshkosh area).
MICHIGAN: Trump all but has Michigan in the bag, and I see Michigan as being quite similar to Wisconsin's situation... The Senate race here is also looking quite well for Republicans, and would be a pick up for them.
OHIO: See Texas (above).
PENNSYLVANIA: Trump all but has Pennsylvania in the bag (even with voter fraud efforts, largely led by Philly). My guess is that Trump wins PA by about 1.5-2.0 points.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: This State could truly go either way in my mind... I'm guessing that Trump gets it narrowly flipped, as NH is likely to follow in the same political shift as Florida and company, but I could be wrong here.
MAINE's 2nd DISTRICT: Trump 100% has this district in the bag. I don't see any path for him to win the State at large, however, but I'd love to be wrong...
VIRGINIA: Biden all but has this State in the bag. It, much like Colorado, has become compromised by liberals. I think that Biden will win it with a smaller margin that Clinton did, but I still don't see Trump flipping this one. I would love to be wrong, though...
NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag, and early data from the State is supporting that notion... It seems that Trump will win NC by about 4 points. Tillis should also be able to ride Trump's coattails to victory in the Senate race.
GEORGIA: Trump 100% has this State in the bag. It's laughable to think that Dems even have any sort of chance in Georgia... The Republican Senate seats will remain Republican controlled as well...
FLORIDA: Trump 100% has Florida in the bag, and early data is looking VERY VERY well for Trump. He is on pace to win FL by about 2-3 points.
The major problems for Dems this cycle appear to be a rather sizable drop off in the youth vote, a drop off in the black vote, an increase in Republican support in key suburbs, and an increase in the Republican share of both the black and hispanic vote.
TLDR: Democrats are completely fucked, and are simply trying to retain their control over the House at this point, if they can even manage to do THAT much... A huge red wave is coming; Dems better have their shrinks on speed dial because it's gonna be a ROUGH night for them...
Matt Dillon (10-27-2020)
Biden wins.
Senate goes Blue with Colorado, Arizona, Maine, and Iowa electing Democrats.
and ... Truth Detector kills himself in an act of defiance.
cancel2 2022 (11-02-2020)
Idk, I'm voting tomorrow. Last time I put it off til the last minute, something came up and I couldn't get to the polls.
That was the last local election. Not a biggie like this one, although local elections affect you more directly.
gfm7175 (10-27-2020)
Both tRump and Mcsally lose biggly....)
Mcsally couldn't even win her last senatorial contest.
Please leave your Trump 2024 signs in your yard. That way, my dog will know where to take a dump.
Headline: Mc Sally loses again!
Please leave your Trump 2024 signs in your yard. That way, my dog will know where to take a dump.
The suicide hotline is going to be pretty busy.
Notice that Truth Detector hasn't been around lately? Perhaps he has finally popped his cork.
Doc Dutch (10-27-2020)
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