Polls?
Democrats are in for an uphill battle in November’s midterm elections as they struggle to overtake the GOP-led Senate, according to an Axios and SurveyMonkey poll of key states released Tuesday.
http://dailycaller.com/2018/07/10/nu...rats-election/
Things are looking bad for the Democrats.
I wonder why
Trump selling America down the river with North Korea, setting up 'Baby Jails', and now creating a Trade War ... how the heck do Republicans win with THAT?
Guno צְבִי (07-10-2018), katzgar (07-10-2018)
Guno צְבִי (07-10-2018), Jack (07-10-2018)
Is SurveyMonkey an internet poll?
It will be hard for Democrats to win the Senate, but they should gain some seats overall. That is just based on history because the president's party lost seats in mid-terms 56/59 times since the Civil War. Going by established patterns is a better predictor than president's approval or the economy although these are factors.
ThatOwlWoman (07-10-2018)
In this case, yes.
Methodology: These SurveyMonkey/Axios online polls were conducted June 11 to July 2, 2018 among a total sample of 12,677 registered voters living in Arizona (n=1,290), Florida (n=1,080), Indiana (n=952), Michigan (n=978), Missouri (n=1,038), Montana (n=974), Nevada (n=1,097), North Dakota (n=457), Ohio (n=951), Pennsylvania (n=990), Tennessee (n=1,010), West Virginia (n=892) and Wisconsin (n=968). Respondents for these surveys were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. The modeled error estimate for each is plus or minus: Arizona=4.5, Florida= 5, Indiana= 5, Michigan= 5, Missouri= 5, Montana= 5, Nevada=5.5 North Dakota= 7.5, Ohio= 5, Pennsylvania= 4.5, Tennessee= 4.5, West Virginia= 5.5, Wisconsin= 4.5 percentage points. Interviews were offered in Spanish. The data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography using the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition of registered voters in each of the 10 states.
https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/senate-battleground-polls-show-democrats-in-a-tight-spot/
Polls are unreliable, IMO, and Survey Monkey's methodology is questionable at best in my view.
Predictions are also rife with peril, as some JPP liberals have learned all too well - should have, if they were capable of learning from experience.
Jack (07-10-2018), Phantasmal (07-10-2018), ThatOwlWoman (07-10-2018)
Truth Detector (07-10-2018)
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