New reason to believe the GOP can hold the House.

[Flash]

anyone who honestly looks at the trajectory of the economy under Obama can clearly sees this year continues a pattern

Very true---it is a continued recovery from the recession. The current president gets credit for a good economy just as Obama got credit when he was in office. Neither Obama or Trump had much to do with economic recovery. Any credit goes to the Federal Reserve and capitalism.

[Rune]

did you not read the OP? Many Americans believe Fake News they aren't going to get a tax cut
and there are still those who choose not to see the GDP growth is due to Trump's deregulation

and yes Trump steps on his own messages with his tweets-no question that keeps down his popularity..

But you can forget about a "wave" -it's not going to happen despite all the previous talk.
I think history and the retirements put the House at risk -but the Senate will stay Repub.
This is basic orthodox electoral politics, no matter the cries from fakes news it's not

and for all the NOISE about Blue Waves?..., that's as bogus as was Hillary's Blue Wall

No way you keep either.The Senate is already lost, fool..

[Stretch]

And in February tens of millions of voters start seeing an increase in their take home pay. I’m looking forward to that myself lol.

But I’m not tired of winning yet. Let’s keep this thing going.

Standing his ground against the swamp and the Dems doesn't hurt either.

[dukkha]

Very true---it is a continued recovery from the recession. The current president gets credit for a good economy just as Obama got credit when he was in office. Neither Obama or Trump had much to do with economic recovery. Any credit goes to the Federal Reserve and capitalism.

fer sure Obama gets credit for the recovery. I remember many calls for austerity ( cutting spending)-which wold have driven the recession deeper.

But you got to separately give Trump credit for de-regulation..the stock market is up 40% (!) since the election.
Tax reform should keep it going, even if we drop back down to 2%+ GDP growth.

The 1-2% annual growth under Obama is over.

[canceled.2021.3]

Odds stand today that the GOP loses the house, based on history.

However, the democrat party would be mistaken to take away from that that the country now loves them again and wants to tilt leftward.

I have watched this play out in a very stark way since 2000. The American people have given both parties a lock on power many times over the last decade and a half. First the GOP, then the democrats and now back to the GOP.

Anyone who tries to make ideological conclusions based on these results is living in a fantasy world.

My sense is that voters of the party in power get complacent and the opposition party gets fired up.

If I had to predict based on what I know today, in 2018 the GOP loses the House, keeps the Senate and Trump (if he runs) wins reelection in 2020. However I will qualify that this prediction is subject to change based on future events that will unfold and are yet unknown.