Official Football Thread that isn't 35 pages long (2017)

**BRUTALITOPS** · 09-17-2017, 10:29 PM

Got royally fucked up the bum last week. I am in a survivor type pool and ran so bad. Thankfully I survived just barely this week (2 week elimination rounds to start).

Some thoughts -

Seattle fucks me EVERY SINGLE TIME. Who are the fucking retards out there that skew these lines so much? Does seattle really have that many fanboys? For nearly 2 seasons now, seattle NEVER fucking delivers. I am so fucking done with seattle. They fucking SUCK at covering spreads. Massively overrated.

Needed KC by -4.5. Awesome close out to that game down the wire.

I am always on the wrong side of pats games. I had to go against pats this week in my pool to survive and got fucked anyway. Hate doing that cause I am rooting for pats but at the same time I kinda need them to keep the game close. Sweating brady is terrifying. Sucks to be haters.

My picks this week, based on spreads:

**chink** · 09-23-2017, 07:45 AM

screw the NFL and their kneeling anti AMERICAN bs.

**Minister of Truth** · 09-23-2017, 10:01 PM

Originally Posted by FourDimensional

Got royally fucked up the bum last week. I am in a survivor type pool and ran so bad. Thankfully I survived just barely this week (2 week elimination rounds to start).

Some thoughts -

Seattle fucks me EVERY SINGLE TIME. Who are the fucking retards out there that skew these lines so much? Does seattle really have that many fanboys? For nearly 2 seasons now, seattle NEVER fucking delivers. I am so fucking done with seattle. They fucking SUCK at covering spreads. Massively overrated.

Needed KC by -4.5. Awesome close out to that game down the wire.

I am always on the wrong side of pats games. I had to go against pats this week in my pool to survive and got fucked anyway. Hate doing that cause I am rooting for pats but at the same time I kinda need them to keep the game close. Sweating brady is terrifying. Sucks to be haters.

My picks this week, based on spreads:

Don't bet on the team with Darrell Bevell for an OC.

**BRUTALITOPS** · 09-24-2017, 11:33 AM

My picks this week:

going with my theory seattle never covers spreads I took tennessee
NE was a tough choice but I'm not going against pats unless significant
Giants v. Philly was close
Greenbay is overrated massively, took Cincinnati

**chink** · 09-25-2017, 07:43 AM

why don't you people go to Arlington cemetery and piss on the white crosses of the fallen ,that is what you are doing by supporting the NFL.

**BRUTALITOPS** · 09-25-2017, 11:40 AM

told you guys GB is overrated. in my pool literally 1 other person had Cincinnati, like 15 other people had GB

another 9-6 week for me so far, have the ability to go either 10-6 or 9-7 pending outcome of tonights game.

**Minister of Truth** · 09-25-2017, 12:55 PM

Originally Posted by FourDimensional

told you guys GB is overrated. in my pool literally 1 other person had Cincinnati, like 15 other people had GB

another 9-6 week for me so far, have the ability to go either 10-6 or 9-7 pending outcome of tonights game.

Not sure what you mean, given that GB came back and won the game in OT.

**BRUTALITOPS** · 09-25-2017, 01:29 PM

Originally Posted by Threedee

Not sure what you mean, given that GB came back and won the game in OT.

My pool is about covering spreads and determining if a team is over or undervalued. So it's not about the team winning or losing, but winning or losing within the specific parameters. the public had greenbay at -8.5, which I said was too much and which they didn't cover.

Same thing with seattle, seattle never covers spreads like ever. The public overvalues seattle by a shitton in my experience.

Pats is another example, it's been hard for people to quantify how much donta hightower and edelmen being out has affected our performance.

it's a cool pool I play because you can't just know which team is better, (as that's mostly easy) but you have to figure how a certain injury or player absence could affect the spread etc. That's why sometimes you'll see me picking teams that suck super bad but that's because the better team might be overvalued.

**Minister of Truth** · 09-25-2017, 01:55 PM

Originally Posted by FourDimensional

My pool is about covering spreads and determining if a team is over or undervalued. So it's not about the team winning or losing, but winning or losing within the specific parameters. the public had greenbay at -8.5, which I said was too much and which they didn't cover.

Same thing with seattle, seattle never covers spreads like ever. The public overvalues seattle by a shitton in my experience.

Pats is another example, it's been hard for people to quantify how much donta hightower and edelmen being out has affected our performance.

it's a cool pool I play because you can't just know which team is better, (as that's mostly easy) but you have to figure how a certain injury or player absence could affect the spread etc. That's why sometimes you'll see me picking teams that suck super bad but that's because the better team might be overvalued.

So when you pick, can you just pick a team to win, but stipulate that it won't cover the spread?

**BRUTALITOPS** · 09-25-2017, 03:07 PM

Originally Posted by Threedee

So when you pick, can you just pick a team to win, but stipulate that it won't cover the spread?

nope you have to go by the spreads for this particular pool.

Some people play a math based game (like me) where you can see which way the lines are moving, and some go by "feel." Some people have very predictable picks which is to their detriment, as once you have a lead on those players you can essentially block them from gaining on you.

there is other strategy involved as well, we have immunity each week for the highest performer, and also when we have ties (which is a relatively common occurrence with only so many games) the team that has the most points cumulatively is safe. So the pool is about spreads + and also knowing what other members might do and predicting that as well.