BRUTALITOPS (08-21-2017), Truth Detector (08-22-2017), Wolverine (08-22-2017)
should i show u podestas dnc playbook email for slanting the polls?
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551
I was one of the first people after the election to say that the polls were pretty close, it was peoples interpretation of the polls that was off. That is still true of JPP largely.
However some state polls very much undervalued trump. I think Ohio and obviously michigan and PA were off a bit.
Additionally it's one thing to be inside of the margin of error but when you are on the wrong side of the margin of error in like every single state that might speak to a broader problem with some of the methodology. States like florida and NC are not the same as Michigan, so the correlation shouldn't be as strong.
The main takeaway though is you are a huge fucking retard that should never even consider talking about polling or stats.
Русский (08-21-2017)
The problem is most people are very bad at inherently understanding probabilities. A 30% chance coming to fruition does not mean a poll was "wrong" - we can expect 30% to happen very frequently. In the weeks leading up the election I said very distinctly that trumps chances of winning were better than the cubs chances of winning when they were down 3-1, and yet I talked to multiple retards on here saying it was literally impossible for trump to win. These idiots literally denied the existence of statistically probability, they couldn't fathom it. Much of this history of JPP delusions has been retconned and forgotten though. Jarod will continue to make the same mistake next time though and learn nothing. If trump is 20% to win in 2020 jarod will say trump can't win. He will literally make the exact same mistake next time. book it.
Русский (08-21-2017)
Русский (08-21-2017)
I remember specifically telling you that if the national polls were under 3% than a whole host of possabilities of trump winning were on the table and you were having none of it. I love it now that liberal polling chumps like you all of a sudden think you are experts, given how stupid you were last year on the matter. November 5th you still said it was impossible for trump to win. The internet does not forget.
Русский (08-21-2017), Cancel 2018.2 (08-21-2017)
National polling will always be better than state polling, as state polling is closer to the ground and harder for polling companies to have accurate regular polling of all swing states. There will be more variance with state polls because of this. National polling only tells us so much about electoral politics given we don't have a national election.
Русский (08-21-2017)
christiefan915 (08-22-2017)
1:07 anybody who says the polls were within the margin of error is kidding themselves
Truth Detector (08-22-2017)
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