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Thread: One in eight people who voted for Trump having second thoughts - Reuters/Ipsos poll

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    Default One in eight people who voted for Trump having second thoughts - Reuters/Ipsos poll

    Hard to believe it is only 1 in 8, but hey, it's a start in the right direction..





    NEW YORK (Reuters) - About one in eight people who voted for President Donald Trump said they are not sure they would do so again after witnessing Trump's tumultuous first six months in office, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll of 2016 voters.

    While most of the people who voted for Trump on Nov. 8 said they would back him again, the erosion of support within his winning coalition of older, disaffected, mostly white voters poses a potential challenge for the president. Trump, who won the White House with the slimmest of margins, needs every last supporter behind him to push his agenda through a divided Congress and potentially win a second term in 2020.

    The poll surveyed voters who had told Reuters/Ipsos on Election Day how they had cast their ballots. While other surveys have measured varying levels of disillusionment among Trump supporters, the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows how many would go as far as changing the way they voted. The survey was carried out first in May and then again in July.



    [Click here to see an expanded view of the data: tmsnrt.rs/2vkyX7C]

    In the July survey, 12 percent of respondents said they would not vote for Trump "if the 2016 presidential election were held today" - 7 percent said they “don’t know” what they would do, and the remaining 5 percent would either support one of the other 2016 presidential candidates or not vote.


    Eighty-eight percent said they would vote for Trump again, a slight improvement over the May figure of 82 percent. Taken together, the polls suggest that Trump’s standing with his base has improved slightly over the past few months despite his Republican Party’s repeated failures to overhaul the healthcare system and multiple congressional and federal investigations into his campaign’s ties to Russia.

    To be sure, most presidents lose support among core supporters the longer they are in the White House. According to the Gallup polling service, former President Barack Obama saw his popularity dip among Democrats and minority voters, though it did not come until later in his first term. But Obama, who won the Electoral College with greater margins than Trump, was not as reliant on retaining his core supporters.

    The minority of Trump voters who said they would not vote for him again gave varying reasons in interviews for why they had changed their minds.

    Some were tired of his daily trolling of Democrats, the media and the judiciary. Some were disappointed that the Trump administration has not yet swept illegal immigrants out of their communities. Others said the president has not ended the mistrust and hyper-partisanship in Washington as much as they had hoped.

    "If I had to walk around wearing a T-shirt saying who I voted for, I may have voted differently,” said Beverly Guy, 34, a Trump voter who took the poll in July. If the election were held today, Guy said she would vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson.

    Guy said she picked Trump mostly because she did not support Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. She never cared that much for Trump and now finds herself rationalizing a decision that has angered many of her friends.

    "I care more about my neighbors than I do about politics,” she said.

    Another poll respondent, Brian Barnes, said he was standing by his choice to vote for Trump. He thinks the media is focusing too much on the Russia investigation and not enough on Trump’s accomplishments like his elevation of another conservative justice to the Supreme Court.

    "I think he’s doing all he can," Barnes said, "even though the Republicans in the House and Senate are creating a lot of problems" by not passing a healthcare bill.

    Experts in American politics said it makes sense that a transformative political figure like Trump would retain a high degree of loyalty from his supporters no matter what negative headlines are swirling around the White House. Political winds do not shift quickly in a strong economy, they said, especially when many of the president’s decisions have yet to take root.

    "People are still invested in the choices they made" on Election Day, said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. "They’re not about to admit that they’re wrong, at least not yet."

    Elaine Kamarck, an expert in American electoral politics at the Brookings Institution, said the erosion in Trump’s base could certainly hurt his chances of re-election, though it is too early to say so for sure. The most important question is whether he loses support where it counts - in battleground states that he barely won last year.

    "If these disenchanted Trump voters are in California, it doesn’t matter," Kamarck said. "If they live in Wisconsin or Michigan or Pennsylvania, it matters."

    The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online in English throughout the United States and has a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of about 5 percentage points.

    The July 11-12 poll gathered its sample from 1,296 people, including 541 Trump voters, while the May 10-15 poll gathered its sample from 1,206 people, including 543 Trump voters. In both cases, Ipsos weighted their responses according to voter profiles gathered from the U.S. Census’ voting and registration supplement to the Current Population Survey.

    Reporting by Chris Kahn; Editing by Ross Colvin
    "There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."



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    A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton's approval rating is even worse than Trump's
    http://www.businessinsider.com/hilla...lection-2017-7

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    The hard core is softening and melting away...
    In six months it will be impossible to find someone willing to admit they voted for this insane clown...
    USFREEDOM911 Expresses one of his homosexual prison rape fantasies;
    Quote Originally Posted by USFREEDOM911 View Post
    he may be getting several boners, they just won't be his.
    "You got shot in the balls and you're still walking!! Then this probably won't hurt you at all (as he unzips his pants)."




    Quote Originally Posted by USFREEDOM911 View Post
    I would kill someone who didn't pay me, after I give them a blowjob.
    Does that make me insane?

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    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton's approval rating is even worse than Trump's
    http://www.businessinsider.com/hilla...lection-2017-7
    That's the only reason he won.

    As to the OP, 1 out of 8 is surprisingly low. But I think a lot of folks have a "this is war" mentality about it, and will be slow to come around.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Thing1 View Post
    That's the only reason he won.

    As to the OP, 1 out of 8 is surprisingly low. But I think a lot of folks have a "this is war" mentality about it, and will be slow to come around.
    sure. Elections are choices, except for 3rd partys.
    The way I'm reading a few polls is Trump is in the dumpster, but it's not advantaging the Dems.

    It's just chronic dysfunction by all the players involved, including Congress

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    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton's approval rating is even worse than Trump's
    http://www.businessinsider.com/hilla...lection-2017-7
    I posted something similar. There's even more than 1 in 8 of hrc voters that now regret voting for her. Unprecedented for a losing candidate to have a lower approval rating after the election. I'm sure her Excuses Tour didn't help as well as comparing herself to Wonder Woman (typical disingenuous - she just can't learn).
    That's why these polls such as in the OP don't tell the whole story.
    If the election were held today I seriously doubt hrc would be the nom. Trump's base by and large still support him. Can't blame them. Cruz was the last man standing.
    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    The way I'm reading a few polls is Trump is in the dumpster, but it's not advantaging the Dems.

    It's just chronic dysfunction by all the players involved, including Congress
    How did we get here?
    Last edited by Cancel 2018.1; 07-20-2017 at 11:12 AM.

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    anatta (07-20-2017)

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    I don't pay attention to polls that don't highlight the internals. Of course I can understand how this would be political porn for the anti Trumpers.

    What is odd is why the anti trumpers spend so much time trying to get Trump supporters to turn on him. Seems like a waste of time, but whatever gets you guys off

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    Althea (07-20-2017)

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    Quote Originally Posted by I Love America View Post
    I don't pay attention to polls that don't highlight the internals. Of course I can understand how this would be political porn for the anti Trumpers.

    What is odd is why the anti trumpers spend so much time trying to get Trump supporters to turn on him. Seems like a waste of time, but whatever gets you guys off
    You should ignore all polls...
    I command you.
    USFREEDOM911 Expresses one of his homosexual prison rape fantasies;
    Quote Originally Posted by USFREEDOM911 View Post
    he may be getting several boners, they just won't be his.
    "You got shot in the balls and you're still walking!! Then this probably won't hurt you at all (as he unzips his pants)."




    Quote Originally Posted by USFREEDOM911 View Post
    I would kill someone who didn't pay me, after I give them a blowjob.
    Does that make me insane?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Thing1 View Post
    That's the only reason he won.

    As to the OP, 1 out of 8 is surprisingly low. But I think a lot of folks have a "this is war" mentality about it, and will be slow to come around.
    nope


    it was republican election cheating designed to keep American from voting

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    Quote Originally Posted by aloysious View Post
    I posted something similar. There's even more than 1 in 8 of hrc voters that now regret voting for her. Unprecedented for a losing candidate to have a lower approval rating after the election. I'm sure her Excuses Tour didn't help.
    That's why these polls such as in the OP don't tell the whole story.
    If the election were held today I seriously doubt hrc would be the nom. Trump's base by and large still support him. Can't blame them. Cruz was the last man standing.How did we get here?
    fucking cheating

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    Quote Originally Posted by Thing1 View Post
    That's the only reason he won.

    As to the OP, 1 out of 8 is surprisingly low. But I think a lot of folks have a "this is war" mentality about it, and will be slow to come around.
    because fox news and right wing radio has not turned on him yet


    his base are the nonthinking people

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    who cares
    No need to really as in any poll. The only polls that count for anything are actual election polls.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    nope

    it was republican election cheating designed to keep American from voting
    really? because nobody kept me from voting
    A sad commentary on we, as a people, and our viewpoint of our freedom can be summed up like this. We have liberals and conservatives, Democrats and Republicans, yet those very people look at Constitutionalists as radical and extreme.................so those liberals and conservatives, Democrats and Republicans must believe that the constitution is radical and extreme.

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