2016 poll?

[Jarod]

So, if it turns out to be HRC v. Trump who will you vote for?

[The Dude]

Duh

[SmarterthanYou]

So, if it turns out to be HRC v. Trump who will you vote for?

why are you asking this? we all know that you'll be voting HRC anyway.

[Jarod]

why are you asking this? we all know that you'll be voting HRC anyway.

I'm interested in everyone other than me... Trump v HRC is a clear choice for me, I'd vote for Clinton.

[SmarterthanYou]

I'm interested in everyone other than me... Trump v HRC is a clear choice for me, I'd vote for Clinton.

it shouldn't be difficult to figure out for most people on here who they would vote for, given those two choices. A more interesting question would be if not voting for either of those two, which 3rd party would you vote for?

[christiefan915]

it shouldn't be difficult to figure out for most people on here who they would vote for, given those two choices. A more interesting question would be if not voting for either of those two, which 3rd party would you vote for?

Green Party.

[CFM]

Green Party.

Tree huggers that buy into the climate change, global warming, or whatever the hell the name of the day is?

[Jarod]

I have two conservative family members who say they will stay home if there is not a third choice. I wonder if there is a significant group of Cons who feel this way.

[SmarterthanYou]

I have two conservative family members who say they will stay home if there is not a third choice. I wonder if there is a significant group of Cons who feel this way.

staying home/not voting is perhaps the stupidest thing anybody could do in a voting situation.

[Celticguy]

staying home/not voting is perhaps the stupidest thing anybody could do in a voting situation.

Some threaten to stay home or go 3rd party. Might have stay homes on the left but it's because HRC is so disliked.
There are always a very few 3rd party. Doesn't appear to be any this go round.
I doubt the right will stay home given how despised HRC is.
I think the most significant question is how big a chunk of the mushy middle goes Trump. Been very heavy turnout on the right to date. I'm thinking that has more to do with mushies.

[SmarterthanYou]

Some threaten to stay home or go 3rd party. Might have stay homes on the left but it's because HRC is so disliked.
There are always a very few 3rd party. Doesn't appear to be any this go round.
I doubt the right will stay home given how despised HRC is.
I think the most significant question is how big a chunk of the mushy middle goes Trump. Been very heavy turnout on the right to date. I'm thinking that has more to do with mushies.

I have voted Libertarian/write in since GWs first term. I refuse to vote for anyone from a major party

[Celticguy]

I have voted Libertarian/write in since GWs first term. I refuse to vote for anyone from a major party

As I said there are a few who share your view. But as you did not vote D or R it doesn't change the calculus. Really only matters if you were to drop out now. I believe the flood of mushy middles far outpaces any dropouts.
Favorable matter and HRCs are terrible.

[Darth Omar]

Some threaten to stay home or go 3rd party. Might have stay homes on the left but it's because HRC is so disliked.
There are always a very few 3rd party. Doesn't appear to be any this go round.
I doubt the right will stay home given how despised HRC is.
I think the most significant question is how big a chunk of the mushy middle goes Trump. Been very heavy turnout on the right to date. I'm thinking that has more to do with mushies.

I agree with this and it could wreck havoc with the received wisdom that Trump would need heavy inroads with blacks and Hispanics to win the general. Especially, if there are a significant number of Dems who won't turn out for Hillary.

I get the sense this election isnt going to be subject to the usual rules---it hasn't so far.. There's a lot of unrest in both sides of the electorate and if people who don't typically vote start showing up at the polls it's probably going to go Trump's way.

Whether that's a good thing or bad thing only time will tell. All I know for sure it's been fascinating so far.

[Jarod]

I agree with this and it could wreck havoc with the received wisdom that Trump would need heavy inroads with blacks and Hispanics to win the general. Especially, if there are a significant number of Dems who won't turn out for Hillary.

I get the sense this election isnt going to be subject to the usual rules---it hasn't so far.. There's a lot of unrest in both sides of the electorate and if people who don't typically vote start showing up at the polls it's probably going to go Trump's way.

Whether that's a good thing or bad thing only time will tell. All I know for sure it's been fascinating so far.

This is one theory that might hold water. The other is that Trump's popularity is limited to 30 -40% of the Republican Party and in a general would be even lower.

[Celticguy]

I agree with this and it could wreck havoc with the received wisdom that Trump would need heavy inroads with blacks and Hispanics to win the general. Especially, if there are a significant number of Dems who won't turn out for Hillary.

I get the sense this election isnt going to be subject to the usual rules---it hasn't so far.. There's a lot of unrest in both sides of the electorate and if people who don't typically vote start showing up at the polls it's probably going to go Trump's way.

Whether that's a good thing or bad thing only time will tell. All I know for sure it's been fascinating so far.

I think you would be surprized at how little a shift in black voting would be needed. They did some analysis last go and said a percentage point or two moves mountains.
But its the mushy middle shift thats the game changer here. DC has poisoned the well and status quo is gone.