Originally Posted by
Skidmark
Looking at thing currently, the Democrats look like they'd be quite lucky to retain the senate. Then again, in 2009 it looked practically impossible for the Democrats to lose the house. The 2006, 2008, and 2010 electoral seasons were strangely dramatic compared to what we're used to seeing in the House. I think we're seeing a change in the voting patterns of the US away from individual (which will normally produce all small changes in partisan alignment) to partisan (which will produce large swings form one party to the other) voting patterns. In the UK, it's uncommon for there not to be 100 seat changes in every election, while in the US it's almost unheard of due to the fact that US voters prefer incumbents hugely, which provides an electoral anchor.
To quote someone else:
Let's just look at the score so far:
1 (Republican) seat in New York's 26th district went to a Democrat.
2 (Republican) seats in Wisconsin recall election went to Democrats.
3 Democrats held on this their seats in that same recall despite all the money oozing in to those races from people like the Koch brothers.
4 Republican narrowly held on to their seats, even with big money and being in safe areas, they almost lost.
Lets add up those wins, there have been 6 Democratic victories to 4 Republican. Keep in mind that 7 of those races were in solid Republican districts which should have never gone to the Democrats, but they did. Somehow Republicans are trying to spin these elections as Republican victories, but last I checked, 6 wins beats 4. Could you imagine a ball game with the same score and the team with the 4 score claiming victory? They would be laughed off the field, which is what is going to happen come the 2012 election.
In the light of all that, how can anyone think that 2012 will be anything but the year of the Democratic Party? The Nation has seen what the Republicans stand for and the Nation is not happy.
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