Members banned from this thread: evince, Jade Dragon, Port Tack, saltydancin, Doc Dutch, Concart, BidenPresident and Gondwanaland |
Truth is the first casualty in war, followed by real information. Nobody really knows what is going on. When wars are autopsied years after they are don much of the truth comes out. Sadly, it is written by the winners, not the historians. So even that is not really factual. But people in Russia do not want the war. People in Ukraine do not. The wealthy,corporations, and politicians are waging war. War is about money and power.
If we can agree with the American Heritage Dictionary's definition of the term attrition as "A gradual reduction in number or strength because of stress or military action", then I'd say that one side is getting a lot more worn down then the other. I invite you to guess which side.
I strongly agree with Hawkeye's assessment: Russia. I think present supplies say a lot as to how things are going:
Ukrainian soldiers on the front lines have been rationing their mortar shells as Russian troops outgun them with 10 times more artillery: report | Business Insider
Not according to reporters on the ground in Russian controlled areas of what was previously Ukraine. There is certainly evidence that western media is trying to cast Russia's military operation in a bad light using some pretty shady methods though. Please note that Artyomovsk was the official name of Bakhmut until 2016 and is the one that Russia and Russian friendly Ukrainians prefer:
Resident accuses journalists of paying Right Sector and Azov to bomb Artyomovsk | Donbass Insider
I find it somewhere between amusing and sad that Ukraine can do more than simply "resist". For anyone in the audience, the very sentence -after- I said the bit about western Ukrainian's lives, I said this:
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I think it's a terrible shame how little effort has been put into diplomatic initiatives.
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That's the one thing that Zelensky and his nationalist government, backed by the U.S. and the U.K., refuse to even consider and I believe it's the reason that this conflict continues with the death toll ever on the rise.
I didn't see him say this, but even if he did, I think we can agree that his position as part of the Russian military puts him in a situation where it'd probably be hard to be fairly objective. What I -do- know is that Russia tried to find a diplomatic solution to the Donbass crisis for 8 years, with Ukraine and western powers pretending to play along while truthfully just working on strengthening the Ukrainian army to try to force the Donbass republics to rejoin Ukraine. It's small wonder that some in Russia may start to think that the only solution is to neutralize western Ukraine. I still hope for a diplomatic solution though.
Even some marginally mainstream media sources in the U.S. disagree with that. Here's the conclusion of an article from the Hill in late April that points out Bakhmut's strategic importance for Russia:
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Bakhmut has been the main focus of Russian attacks for months. Capturing the city could enable Russian forces to take over most of the Donetsk region. Donetsk is one of the regions Russia has claimed as its own during the conflict.
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Not mentioned is the fact that Donetsk is one of the 2 Ukrainian regions that voted to become more independent from Ukraine -despite- Putin's discouraging them from holding the referendum. This was way back in 2014.
Source:
Ukraine defended Bakhmut despite US intelligence warning against the move: report | The Hill
Incidentally, the U.S. military was telling Zelensky even back then to withdraw from Bakhmut:
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A military assessment labeled “top secret” said consistent Russian advances were making the city hard to defend and put the Ukrainian army “at risk of encirclement unless they withdraw within the next month.”
But Ukraine continued to defend anyway, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky holding up Bakhmut — in the country’s northeast — as more than just a city, but a national symbol of resistance to the Russian invasion. Zelensky visited the city last month, long after the U.S. intelligence warnings, and Ukraine has maintained control of the city.
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Last edited by Phoenyx; 05-30-2023 at 12:41 AM.
"Trust those who seek the truth, doubt those who find it" - Andre Gide
Apparently Regime Media is mostly simply refusing to report that Ukraine has been under near constant withering missile and drone attack for days. I dont know what is being targeted but there is every reason to think that Russian Intel is at least pretty good.
I choose my own words like the Americans of olden times........before this dystopia arrived.
DARK AGES SUCK!
Phoenyx (05-30-2023)
Here is the latest on strikes in Moscow and Kyiv
At least eight drones targeted Moscow early Tuesday, according to the Russian authorities, the first attack to hit civilian areas in the Russian capital ...
The assault came after yet another overnight bombardment by Russian forces of the Ukrainian capital Kyiv, which has faced a barrage of attacks in recent weeks that have put the city on edge and tested the country’s air defenses.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/05...ne-drones-news
The regime media covers it up well, don’t they?
I'm guessing that ISW stands for the Institute for the Study of War? If so, could you please quote where they say that Bakhmut is surrounded by Ukraine? I took a snapshot of their interactive map today, "Assessed Control of Terrain in Ukraine
as of May 29, 2023, 3:00 PM ET":
Screen Shot 2023-05-30 at 7.50.50 a.m..jpg
Source:
https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories...de641cf64bd375
The map makes it clear that Russia controls everything east of Bakhmut as well as everything north and south of it. The only side Ukraine controls is the area between 2 lakelike bodies to the west. If Russia were to take more land either in the north or the south, they could begin to form another cauldron as they've done elsewhere and surround that area, something which they've certainly done in the past. Heck, the area to the north of Bakhmut looks like such an enclosure is starting for the city of Siversk.
"Trust those who seek the truth, doubt those who find it" - Andre Gide
"Trust those who seek the truth, doubt those who find it" - Andre Gide
"Political correctness is fascism pretending to be manners" - George Carlin
"Education is a system of imposed ignorance" - Noam Chomsky
"Leftists actually think everyone is as stupid as a leftist." - Yakuda
"No, Trump isn't a fascist, tatt boy." - moon
I certainly agree that it's ok to be wrong, I imagine no human has always been right, and I likewise agree that the pursuit of truth is so very important (one could say that my signature in my posts makes this clear).
I'm guessing that you believe that one or more of the things I said in my quote above is/are mistaken?
"Trust those who seek the truth, doubt those who find it" - Andre Gide
I agree with you in part- Certainly the fog of war makes it difficult to know the truth. This is exacerbated when you have a mainstream media that is beholden to corporate interests. Based on my experience with following the various narratives in this war, I think a good way at getting at the truth is to look to see who has track records of lying and who doesn't. For the most part, I've found that the mainstream media lies through their teeth while various alternative media have great track records. I've found that antiwar.com has a pretty good track record of finding articles that are honest, which is why I started this thread with an article I found on their site.
As to Russians and Ukrainians not wanting this war, I can certainly agree that the majority of them don't. The trick is looking at who instigated this war. To do that, I think one has to look at the roots of Euromaidan, and the decisions that western powers have made to support the Ukrainian civil war that started shortly after the neo nazi forces rose to power following Euromaidan, training and arming western Ukraine against eastern Ukraine.
Last edited by Phoenyx; 05-30-2023 at 10:47 AM.
"Trust those who seek the truth, doubt those who find it" - Andre Gide
Russia Hits Decision Making Center, Ukr Drones Hit Moscow, Refuses China Mediation, Kosovo Crisis
I choose my own words like the Americans of olden times........before this dystopia arrived.
DARK AGES SUCK!
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