Originally Posted by
Mina
When I compare were we are today to where we were before the WTO, I just don't see evidence of the Middle Class being ruined. We have higher median real incomes (despite significantly fewer hours worked), lower poverty rates, lower unemployment, a higher share of people covered by health insurance, and a more livable country in almost any measurable way (e.g., lower violent crime rates).
In what sense has the Middle Class been ruined?
Your link basically argues that although people are better off now in absolute terms, inequality has grown, and that's something people feel keenly enough that they don't care that they're better off. I guess I'm different, in that Schadenfreude doesn't drive me the same way. For example, would you rather have a replay of the Clinton years (people got richer across the board.... but the rich got richer faster than others, thanks to a booming stock market, so inequality rose), or of the late Bush years (people got poorer across the board... but the rich got poorer faster than others, thanks to a stock market implosion, so inequality fell). I'd go with the Clinton years in a heartbeat. But if Schadenfreude is your thing, maybe you're happy to get poorer, as long as you get the joy of watching others lose ground even faster.
Even having said that, though, I think Branko Milanovic's argument doesn't hold together, since inequality was actually rising MUCH FASTER before the WTO era. For example, between 1974 and 1994 (first year of the WTO), the GINI coefficient (a standard measure of income inequality) rose 0.061 points. Between 1994 and 2014 it rose 0.024. So, it was growing over two and a half times as fast in the two decades before the WTO than the two decades after. That's not at all the pattern we'd predict if global trade were a driver for inequality.
In fact, the fastest pace of income inequality growth was actually right BEFORE the WTO, in the late 1980's and early 1990's. That wasn't about any great trade liberalization, since Reagan and Bush had failed to get the WTO reforms or NAFTA passed. Instead, it was about upper-class tax cuts, social spending cuts, minimum wage stagnation, and other policies designed to help the economic aristocracy and hurt the middle class.
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