ThatOwlWoman (01-22-2022)
ThatOwlWoman (01-22-2022)
ThatOwlWoman (01-22-2022)
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...nitial_ratingsThis made his final 51%-49% margin over McSally seem a bit underwhelming, as he was typically posting more comfortable, though single-digit, leads in polling. Still, in the presidential race, Arizona was the closest state in the country, by raw vote margin — Biden claimed it by 10,457 votes. Given that most Democrats in competitive Senate races ran behind, or only slightly ahead of, Biden, it’s possible that McSally could have prevailed against a Democrat who lacked Kelly’s star power.
https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-...-head-matchupsKelly enters the final months of the year with an overall net positive favorability rating of +4%. Forty-seven percent of voters hold a favorable view of the freshman Senator, while 43% view him unfavorably. In the newly minted battleground state of Arizona, Independent voters could be the deciding voters. Kelly’s numbers are evenly split among Independents with 43% viewing him favorably and 42% unfavorably. His numbers among partisans align with what one might expect: nearly 4 in 5 Democrats view him favorably and roughly three quarters of Republicans view him unfavorably.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/o...sen-mark-kellyA poll from OH Predictive Insights shows Sinema has a higher approval rating in Arizona than fellow Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly. While Kelly is immensely popular among Democrats, his net approval among independents is just +1, while Sinema’s is +6.
Sinema’s approval rating of 40% among Republicans is double that of Kelly. Overall, Sinema’s net approval rating is +7, while Kelly’s is +4.
The problem for Kelly is he has to get Independents and some cross-over voting to win. He can't win on Democrat votes alone. If Biden's and the Democrat's popularity continue to fall as they have been, by November Kelly will be in serious trouble. The open question is who will he be running against. This might be his only salvation in that the Republicans select an idiot asshole for their candidate. That has yet to be seen.
cancel2 2022 (01-22-2022)
Bookmarks