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Thread: MATH LESSON re: the "youth/black turnout SURGING!!!" headlines

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    Default MATH LESSON re: the "youth/black turnout SURGING!!!" headlines

    The headline typically reads something like this: "Youth/Black turnout SURGES prior to election day"...

    However, these headlines only appeal to people who are ignorant of, or illiterate in, mathematics (typically, this is Democrat voters).

    Within the articles themselves, you will typically see the author quote various numbers regarding ballots, usually in the form of: [insert a very large number of "youth" ballots here] for the 2020 election, on this date, is MUCH higher than [insert a very small number of "youth" ballots here] for the 2016 election, on the same date, thus youth turnout is SURGING!!!!!

    What these articles are doing, besides completely ignoring all of the covid scam circumstances that surround this election cycle, is directly comparing the 2020 NUMERATOR against the 2016 NUMERATOR, while completely ignoring what the DENOMINATOR is in both instances (which in this case is the total number of ballots received by ALL segments of voters).


    To illustrate what I mean, let's say that there were 25K youth ballots and 250K total ballots in 2016, meaning that the youth vote made up 10% of the total electorate in 2016... Now, for my two upcoming examples, let's say that there were 200K youth ballots in 2020...

    under DENOMINATOR #1: 200K (youth ballots) / 1M (total ballots) = 20% of the total ballots are youth ballots. HOLY SHIT what an increase in the youth share of the vote this cycle!!! (20%, compared to 10%)

    under DENOMINATOR #2: 200K (youth ballots) / 4M (total ballots) = 5% of the total ballots are youth ballots. DAMN IT!! The youth share of the vote has actually DECREASED this cycle, even though 200K is MUCH larger than 25K!!! (only 5%, compared to 10%)


    DENOMINATORS matter, you mathematically illiterate problem-solving-inept morons...

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    250K total ballots in 2016... 4M (total ballots)
    So in your example, the number of voters increased by 1,500% in just four years? That would be insane. It is not even close to being possible.

    In 2016, voter turnout against trump was low, and voter turnout for trump was extremely high. It looks like voter turnout against trump has surged, and voter turnout for trump has dropped slightly.

    The fact is that trump is not going to get much more votes than he got last time, and probably a few less. If Biden can get more votes than Clinton got, trump loses. The indicators is that trump has lost some votes(not good for trump), and Biden's votes are surging(really bad for trump).

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    So in your example, the number of voters increased by 1,500% in just four years? That would be insane. It is not even close to being possible.

    In 2016, voter turnout against trump was low, and voter turnout for trump was extremely high. It looks like voter turnout against trump has surged, and voter turnout for trump has dropped slightly.

    The fact is that trump is not going to get much more votes than he got last time, and probably a few less. If Biden can get more votes than Clinton got, trump loses. The indicators is that trump has lost some votes(not good for trump), and Biden's votes are surging(really bad for trump).
    Why would anyone vote for Biden?

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    Quote Originally Posted by TOP View Post
    Why would anyone vote for Biden?
    because he is civil and your guy is ass snot

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    Quote Originally Posted by katzgar View Post
    because he is civil and your guy is ass snot
    That's funny, but not true

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    Quote Originally Posted by TOP View Post
    Why would anyone vote for Biden?
    Because we want to get back to the progress that was being made during the Obama/Biden years, and are opposed to the fascism of trump.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TOP View Post
    That's funny, but not true
    trump curses like no president we have seen before. It is just a fact.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    trump curses like no president we have seen before. It is just a fact.
    So if you curse, a little or a lot, you aren't civil?
    Joe curses as well....

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    Because we want to get back to the progress that was being made during the Obama/Biden years, and are opposed to the fascism of trump.
    What "progress"? You don't like their president-that's clear, but you're better off than you were during the O/B years...we all are....
    Biden would be a complete disaster, especially for those of you with 6 or more jobs....and talk about "fascism"...

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    Quote Originally Posted by TOP View Post
    So if you curse, a little or a lot, you aren't civil?
    Joe curses as well....
    Biden is known on both sides of the aisle as one of the kindest men in DC. trump curses, threatens, and is generally rude. he is not a civil human being.

    Honestly, I think that lack of civility is what the Alt Right likes about him.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    Biden is known on both sides of the aisle as one of the kindest men in DC. trump curses, threatens, and is generally rude. he is not a civil human being.

    Honestly, I think that lack of civility is what the Alt Right likes about him.
    I wouldn't know what the alt right "likes"...I do know if you love America and want the best for the future of your family and your country you would Never vote for Biden....

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    So in your example, the number of voters increased by 1,500% in just four years? That would be insane. It is not even close to being possible.
    Do dumb fuck lefties such as yourself not understand the concept of using random numbers to illustrate and illuminate a point?? My post completely went over your head... Read it again and try to understand the point being made...

    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    In 2016, voter turnout against trump was low, and voter turnout for trump was extremely high. It looks like voter turnout against trump has surged, and voter turnout for trump has dropped slightly.
    That's simply not true. In my State of WI, for example, turnout was down throughout much of the State for BOTH major party candidates...

    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    The fact is that trump is not going to get much more votes than he got last time, and probably a few less. If Biden can get more votes than Clinton got, trump loses. The indicators is that trump has lost some votes(not good for trump), and Biden's votes are surging(really bad for trump).
    You're blabbering stupidity, and it is completely unrelated to the topic of my OP, which is about the media presenting people with incomplete information regarding the "youth/black vote SURGE!!!" position that they are running with...

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    The headline typically reads something like this: "Youth/Black turnout SURGES prior to election day"...

    However, these headlines only appeal to people who are ignorant of, or illiterate in, mathematics (typically, this is Democrat voters).

    Within the articles themselves, you will typically see the author quote various numbers regarding ballots, usually in the form of: [insert a very large number of "youth" ballots here] for the 2020 election, on this date, is MUCH higher than [insert a very small number of "youth" ballots here] for the 2016 election, on the same date, thus youth turnout is SURGING!!!!!

    What these articles are doing, besides completely ignoring all of the covid scam circumstances that surround this election cycle, is directly comparing the 2020 NUMERATOR against the 2016 NUMERATOR, while completely ignoring what the DENOMINATOR is in both instances (which in this case is the total number of ballots received by ALL segments of voters).


    To illustrate what I mean, let's say that there were 25K youth ballots and 250K total ballots in 2016, meaning that the youth vote made up 10% of the total electorate in 2016... Now, for my two upcoming examples, let's say that there were 200K youth ballots in 2020...

    under DENOMINATOR #1: 200K (youth ballots) / 1M (total ballots) = 20% of the total ballots are youth ballots. HOLY SHIT what an increase in the youth share of the vote this cycle!!! (20%, compared to 10%)

    under DENOMINATOR #2: 200K (youth ballots) / 4M (total ballots) = 5% of the total ballots are youth ballots. DAMN IT!! The youth share of the vote has actually DECREASED this cycle, even though 200K is MUCH larger than 25K!!! (only 5%, compared to 10%)


    DENOMINATORS matter, you mathematically illiterate problem-solving-inept morons...

    All Trump supporters are ignorant.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TOP View Post
    Why would anyone vote for Biden?
    Good questions. Don't expect a sane answer from these loons.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by katzgar View Post
    because he is civil and your guy is ass snot
    Biden is civil? What planet are you on? Planet dumbass liar?

    'You're a damn liar': Joe Biden lashes out at voter in Iowa

    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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