Jarod can you make sense of this for us?

**Jarod** · 11-04-2020, 08:54 AM

Originally Posted by Teflon Don

I think the media did everything in its power to make sure that Trump never had an electoral college lead last night. Including Fox News. At one point in the broadcast, Britt Hume called them out for not calling FL, TX and OH.

Anyone who thinks that there was any good reason to not call Florida earlier needs to explain it. Think about if it were in reverse and Biden were performing as well or better in Miami Dade as Hillary did in 2016 and someone called Florida for Trump? You would be screaming to high heaven about it

I think the networks have a right to do their calls the way they see fit. You can criticize them, and I’m OK with that. I would like to hear and explanation as to why they did it the way they did.

**Jarod** · 11-06-2020, 11:44 AM

Originally Posted by Jarod

I think Biden does not need Ohio or Florida. I think while Biden has lost some ground with Hispanics he appears to have made up ground with other groups like those over 70. I do not expect Trump to win Florida, Republicans often outperform in close Florida elections. Look at the last governors race.

Another correct prediction.

**Jarod** · 11-06-2020, 11:44 AM

Originally Posted by Jarod

I do think Trump is going to win Michigan and Pennsylvania Minnesota and Wisconsin. From there, I really do not believe he needs Florida or Ohio. If however he were to win Florida or Ohio, then I think we would be talking about a blowout.

BAM

**Jarod** · 11-06-2020, 11:45 AM

Originally Posted by Jarod

https://www.270towin.com/maps/PR3r0

You see how Biden wins without Florida or Ohio?

https://www.270towin.com/maps/PR3r0

Remember my MAP?

**Micawber** · 11-06-2020, 11:45 AM

Oh teach, call on me I can explain it!

You are a fucking moron. Did I get a good grade?

**Jarod** · 11-06-2020, 11:47 AM

Originally Posted by Beijing Buyden

well of course you can craft a map that shows him winning, but you are giving him ZERO margin for error and are assuming he is going to run the table in the rust belt. I am not saying it is impossible, but your map while possible leaves very little room for error

Also, when was the last time someone won the Presidency without winning Florida and Ohio? Yes, people say all the time it hasn't happened until it happens, but it is a pretty strong correlation that if you want to ignore, you are free to.

I also think it is very unlikely that Buyden runs the table in the rust belt. I will say this. Ohio is going to give us the answer. If Trump wins by the same margin in Ohio that he won in 2016 then he wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania again. If Trump only wins Ohio by 3 points or less then he likely doesn't take those states.

You should listen to Michael Moore's interview today. Outside of some of the batshit crazy stuff he is saying, he has a good pulse on Michigan and he is putting up the warning flares that all is not copasetic in Michigan for Buyden. You can ignore Moore if you want, but he was waving his arms in 2016 too. And for some reason you guys think that the pollsters that got it wrong in 2016 have fixed it for 2020. I don't think they have.

Yup.