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Thread: Texas is now a toss up state

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    Quote Originally Posted by IBDaMann View Post
    ... as it absorbs all the liberals fleeing California who aren't totally Marxist.
    Sane people know that's only a small part of it...most are workers and employers. The Marxists stay in California...or, at least, outside of Texas.

    The major demographic is Hispanic. Not illegals as the RWNJs would have everyone believe, but because Hispanics are the perfect Conservatives: Hard working, religious and family oriented. Unlike 21st Century Euro-Americans, the majority of Hispanics go to church and take care of their families. No family member is left to flail on their own. The Republican party was told this in the 2012 GOP's Growth and Opportunity Project but the growing racist element inside the Republican party quickly blew it off. Flash forward and here we are; Hispanics bringing conservative family views to the Democrats. Should be interesting about 20 years from now.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by PostmodernProphet View Post
    you mean besides the fact that Trump has won every poll taken in Texas since July, except one?.......
    RCP average Trump head by 2.6%, well within any margin of error, asshole.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PostmodernProphet View Post
    really........because for all you know, every early voter has voted for Trump.......
    You are a fucking imbecile

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    Quote Originally Posted by jakemax View Post
    You have proof besides the lying media?
    The media doesn't lie, but you do

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    Quote Originally Posted by PostmodernProphet View Post
    you mean besides the fact that Trump has won every poll taken in Texas since July, except one?.......
    RCP average trump up 2,6%. Now that's something to be proud of in your most important state

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    Trump will win Texas by at least 7 points. You do realize that there are competitive House races in TX, right?
    200,000 kids voted for the first time in Texas. They aren't trump voters.
    Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    What "huge youth turnout"??
    How could you possibly be so uninformed?
    Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Sane people know that's only a small part of it...most are workers and employers. The Marxists stay in California...or, at least, outside of Texas.

    The major demographic is Hispanic. Not illegals as the RWNJs would have everyone believe, but because Hispanics are the perfect Conservatives: Hard working, religious and family oriented.
    Unlike 21st Century Euro-Americans, the majority of Hispanics go to church and take care of their families. No family member is left to flail on their own. The Republican party was told this in the 2012 GOP's Growth and Opportunity Project but the growing racist element inside the Republican party quickly blew it off. Flash forward and here we are; Hispanics bringing conservative family views to the Democrats. Should be interesting about 20 years from now.
    This is a myth. Religious non-affiliation among Hispanics has more than doubled, and is mostly in line with the rest of the American population (and perhaps more irreligious). More than 2/3rds think the government should do far more to reduce the gap between the rich and the poor, and less than 1/3rd rank abortion highly among their top 4 issues.

    Sounds conservative to you?

    And I really think it's demeaning and classless for you to characterize "going to church" as a good thing without bothering to scrutinize such a statement critically.

    https://www.prri.org/research/hispan...s-survey-2013/
    When asked to provide top-of-mind associations of the Republican Party and Democratic Party, Hispanics offer significantly more negative comments about the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. Nearly half (48%) of the associations Hispanics volunteered about the Republican Party were negative, about 4-in-10 (42%) were basically descriptive or neutral, and about 1-in-10 (11%) were positive. By contrast, more than one-third (35%) of the associations Hispanics volunteered about the Democratic Party were positive, 42% were basically neutral or descriptive, and 22% were negative.
    The Democratic Party has a significant perception advantage over the Republican Party across a range of attributes. For example, 43% of Hispanics say the phrase “cares about people like you” better describes the Democratic Party, compared to 12% who say it better describes the Republican Party. Notably, about 3-in-10 (29%) say the phrase describes neither party, and 13% say it describes both parties.
    Less than 3-in-10 (29%) Hispanics report that they feel closer to the Republican Party than they did in the past, while nearly two-thirds (63%) of Hispanics say the same about the Democratic Party.
    At this very early stage in the 2014 election cycle, Hispanic likely voters report preferring Democratic congressional candidates to Republican congressional candidates by a 2-to-1 ratio (58% vs. 28%). Among likely Hispanic voters, a majority (54%) say they would be less likely to support a candidate who opposes immigration reform that includes a path to citizenship for immigrants who are currently living in the country illegally. One-in-four (25%) say they would be more likely to vote for such a candidate, and 19% report that the candidate’s views on immigration would make no difference in their vote.
    A majority of Hispanics identify as Catholic (53%), one-quarter (25%) identify as Protestant—nearly evenly divided between evangelical Protestant (13%) and mainline Protestant (12%)—and 12% of Hispanics are religiously unaffiliated. Few Hispanics (6%) identify with a non-Christian religion.
    When comparing today’s Hispanic adults to their childhood religious affiliations, Catholic affiliation drops by 16 percentage points (from 69% to 53%). Evangelical Protestant affiliation has increased by 6percentage points (from 7% to 13%), while the percentage of those claiming no religious affiliation has increased by 7 percentage points (from 5% to 12%)
    ...

    More than 7-in-10 (72%) Hispanics agree the government should do more to reduce the gap between the rich and the poor, compared to 25% who disagree. Nearly 6-in-10 (57%) Hispanics agree that it is the responsibility of the government to take care of people who cannot take care of themselves, compared to 40% who disagree. However, there are notable concerns among Hispanics about people taking advantage of government benefits. A majority (56%) of Hispanics believe that most people who receive welfare are taking advantage of the system, while 30% think most welfare recipients are genuinely in need of help
    Last edited by Jerome; 10-28-2020 at 03:11 PM.
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    Actually I have a nice penis

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    Quote Originally Posted by Althea View Post
    How could you possibly be so uninformed?
    I ask again: What "huge youth turnout"?

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    This won't age well.

    Texas is NOT in play... Trump will win it by at least 7 points...
    OK, NOSTRADAMUS! THANKS!

    BLAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!


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    Althea (10-28-2020)

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    I ask again: What "huge youth turnout"?
    I ask again: How can you be so uninformed? It's been several minutes. Is your Google button broken? MASSIVE youth vote in Texas.
    Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.

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    Doc Dutch (10-28-2020)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jerome View Post
    This is a myth. Religious non-affiliation among Hispanics has more than doubled, and is mostly in line with the rest of the American population (and perhaps more irreligious). More than 2/3rds think the government should do far more to reduce the gap between the rich and the poor, and less than 1/3rd rank abortion highly among their top 4 issues.

    Sounds conservative to you?....
    Thanks for the research and sorry if I wasn't clear: If the Republicans don't want to represent Hispanics, then Hispanics will go to the next group that will represent them. Not just Hispanics but any group of like-minded Americans. It could be Right-handed Balding Taxi Drivers USA who, as a group, have to decide which political party would best represent their interests. If their first choice doesn't work, they'll go to their second choice.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Althea View Post
    200,000 kids voted for the first time in Texas. They aren't trump voters.
    Those headlines are (purposely?) misleading... They are comparing RAW 2020 numbers to RAW 2016 numbers, and not accounting for the percentage of the total electorate that "kids" make up...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Althea View Post
    I ask again: How can you be so uninformed? It's been several minutes. Is your Google button broken? MASSIVE youth vote in Texas.
    It is not accurate to compare raw votes without accounting for the percentage of the electorate that those votes are comprising...

    This whole "massive youth vote" mantra (it's being said for ALL States btw, not just Texas) is based on poor data analysis due to a lack of mathematical knowledge...


    For example, when the NC "young vote" number of 205K was being touted around as "spectacular", it actually wasn't a spectacular number, since that number needed to be ~267K or so to keep pace with 2016's share of the youth vote (defined as 18-24, not 18-29)... so it's even worse after one factors in the fact that the 205K number is adding in 25-29 yr olds instead of sticking with the 18-24 age range...
    Last edited by gfm7175; 10-28-2020 at 03:26 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by floridafan View Post
    You are a fucking imbecile
    then prove my statement wrong........provide evidence you actually know how the early voters voted.....
    Isaiah 6:5
    “Woe to me!” I cried. “I am ruined! For I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the Lord Almighty.”

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