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Thread: The polls could very well be wrong.

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    Only flat earth climate change deniers believe polls are manipulated. Polls are a snapshot in time, and become more accurate the closer we get to election day. Given that so many have already voted, they are now very likely an accurate representation of actual votes rather than voter preference. There are two things that could cause the polls to be off once we've reached this point. One is a bad voter turnout model. If you assume a 2016 model and we have something more similar to a 2008 model, the polls would be off. The second is a miscalculation in party affiliation. Since there are numerous data points that indicate actual party preference, this is less likely, however certain polls just fly in the face of that data. That's the likely reason for the odd results from Rasmussen. They have never pegged the party affiliation correctly, and their turnout model is archaic.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    Personally. If Biden doesn't CRUSH Trump I'm going to hold my breath until I turn Blue.
    that will be the best part.......
    Isaiah 6:5
    “Woe to me!” I cried. “I am ruined! For I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the Lord Almighty.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    Actually we tend to be cowards now....Alexandr Solzhenitsyn 1978:


    https://www.americanrhetoric.com/spe...synharvard.htm





    "VIOLENCE WORKS!...HIT HARDER! "

    BLM/ANTIFA Paramiltary Forces 2020
    it's there dormant. the new world order is cancelled, trump said so.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Concart View Post
    Only flat earth climate change deniers believe polls are manipulated. Polls are a snapshot in time, and become more accurate the closer we get to election day. Given that so many have already voted, they are now very likely an accurate representation of actual votes rather than voter preference. There are two things that could cause the polls to be off once we've reached this point. One is a bad voter turnout model. If you assume a 2016 model and we have something more similar to a 2008 model, the polls would be off. The second is a miscalculation in party affiliation. Since there are numerous data points that indicate actual party preference, this is less likely, however certain polls just fly in the face of that data. That's the likely reason for the odd results from Rasmussen. They have never pegged the party affiliation correctly, and their turnout model is archaic.
    The problem for you is how wrong the polls have been in recent years, and that the people who make the polls rarely speak up when the Mind Molders lie about what polls conclude.
    I choose my own words like the Americans of olden times........before this dystopia arrived.

    DARK AGES SUCK!

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    There is no doubt there, if Trump can get the election into the Courts, he will win regardless of the case's legitimacy
    OTOH, even trump's justices will see the wisdom of getting the fuck rid of him. Each state has the right to run elections how they see fit. I don't think this comes down to dangling chads again. Many millions are voting in person because they know that trump is trying to steal this election.
    Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Concart View Post
    Only flat earth climate change deniers believe polls are manipulated. Polls are a snapshot in time, and become more accurate the closer we get to election day. Given that so many have already voted, they are now very likely an accurate representation of actual votes rather than voter preference. There are two things that could cause the polls to be off once we've reached this point. One is a bad voter turnout model. If you assume a 2016 model and we have something more similar to a 2008 model, the polls would be off. The second is a miscalculation in party affiliation. Since there are numerous data points that indicate actual party preference, this is less likely, however certain polls just fly in the face of that data. That's the likely reason for the odd results from Rasmussen. They have never pegged the party affiliation correctly, and their turnout model is archaic.
    The good news that that millions and millions of 18-24 year olds have voted. Something that didn't happen in '16. There will be no Comey moment this time around.

    People hated Hillary a little less than they hated trump. Nobody hates Biden.
    Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.

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    Quote Originally Posted by AssHatZombie View Post
    it's there dormant. the new world order is cancelled, trump said so.
    If trump gets canceled will that still apply..
    "There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."



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    Quote Originally Posted by Bill View Post
    If trump gets canceled will that still apply..
    yep. the trumpanzees will carry on.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    The problem for you is how wrong the polls have been in recent years, and that the people who make the polls rarely speak up when the Mind Molders lie about what polls conclude.
    The presidential polls were right 2016. In the popular vote, they had Hillary up by 3. The problem for you is you are wrong.

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    Quote Originally Posted by AssHatZombie View Post
    yep. the trumpanzees will carry on.
    I think they will be lost w/out their shepherd..

    He may continue to cause problems but I doubt he would remain accident free if he does..
    "There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."



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    Quote Originally Posted by Bill View Post
    I think they will be lost w/out their shepherd..

    He may continue to cause problems but I doubt he would remain accident free if he does..
    the anti globalism is here to stay. trump was brave enough to speak it out loud.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Althea View Post
    The good news that that millions and millions of 18-24 year olds have voted. Something that didn't happen in '16. There will be no Comey moment this time around.

    People hated Hillary a little less than they hated trump. Nobody hates Biden.
    My wife (a 2016 Trump voter) just convinced her daughter in law to go and vote for Biden tomorrow. Her son supports Trump, but he says he won't bother to waste his time. This is why Biden will win. The vote for Biden and the Trump vote that stays at home are Georgia votes. I think this is going to get ugly fast for Trump.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    The problem for you is how wrong the polls have been in recent years, and that the people who make the polls rarely speak up when the Mind Molders lie about what polls conclude.
    No, they have not been off any more than they have ever been. Which is about 80% accurate in picking the winner of a race. They did that in 2016, they did it in 2018, and they will do it in 2020.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Concart View Post
    My wife (a 2016 Trump voter) just convinced her daughter in law to go and vote for Biden tomorrow. Her son supports Trump, but he says he won't bother to waste his time. This is why Biden will win. The vote for Biden and the Trump vote that stays at home are Georgia votes. I think this is going to get ugly fast for Trump.
    so biden will win cuz your families a bunch of dumb cunts?


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    Quote Originally Posted by AssHatZombie View Post
    so biden will win cuz your families a bunch of dumb cunts?

    Again, brilliant response. Who writes your stuff?

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