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Thread: GFM7175's OFFICIAL 2020 ELECTION PREDICTION

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    Funny how so many of "bluebirds" toss up States Trump will either win or voter fraud will cost him the State, tell me he ain't drinking the Kool Aid

    And put your money where your mouth is there "bluebird," you can not get Trump at +185, that would be a pretty hefty take for you if you are correct

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    I don’t know where you are getting your info on the youth vote, but it’s wrong. The youth vote may be the determine vote in battleground states.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.tee...ction-data/amp

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    Doc Dutch (10-27-2020)

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    The same with the black vote, they stayed home in 2016, but not this time.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn...rnd/index.html

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    This is not going to age well...
    Like your fake forum or manifesto on the same? https://politiplex.freeforums.net/

    How long before your buddies INT, IBDa and Terry4Trump suddenly pop up for your support?
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    AProudLefty (10-27-2020)

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    Funny how so many of "bluebirds" toss up States Trump will either win or voter fraud will cost him the State, tell me he ain't drinking the Kool Aid
    I am a catbird, dumbass... and you obviously didn't read my write ups if you think that's what I said...

    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    And put your money where your mouth is there "bluebird," you can not get Trump at +185, that would be a pretty hefty take for you if you are correct
    Trump wins 326-212... If Trump gets less than 300 EC votes, then I will change my signature to whatever you want it to say (within the rules of this forum) for a whole month...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Phantasmal View Post
    I don’t know where you are getting your info on the youth vote, but it’s wrong. The youth vote may be the determine vote in battleground states.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.tee...ction-data/amp
    My info is not wrong. Your info is ignorant of basic mathematics. Your info is focused on comparing RAW 2020 numbers against RAW 2016 numbers. That is EXTREMELY misleading, and especially so this year due to the vastly increased vote by mail numbers due to the covid scam... If you compare the two years against the percentage of the total electorate that the youth group makes up, then you will find that the youth vote is actually significantly UNDERperforming this year compared to 2016...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tacomaman View Post
    Headline: Mc Sally loses again!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Phantasmal View Post
    The same with the black vote, they stayed home in 2016, but not this time.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn...rnd/index.html
    This article makes the same math error as the prior article of yours did... Again, if you do the math correctly, the black vote is actually down this time around (but not as much as the youth vote is down)... Of course things could change since I last calculated it, but it's not looking good for Dems...

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    Another day has gone by, and yet I am still 100% confident in my prediction of a Trump victory with over 300 EC votes (and that's on the very conservative side, as I think that 326 EC votes is much closer to the result that will actually play out).

    Only about a week out until liberals completely and utterly lose their shit...

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    I wonder if the JPP Trump supporters will disappear on the election day?

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    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    I wonder if the JPP Trump supporters will disappear on the election day?
    I, for one, will not disappear... I will be here on Wednesday morning, as I always am, whether I am celebrating my prediction being correct or whether I am eating crow about my prediction being completely and utterly wrong. I have laid it all out on the table, and I will not run away post-election day.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    I, for one, will not disappear... I will be here on Wednesday morning, as I always am, whether I am celebrating my prediction being correct or whether I am eating crow about my prediction being completely and utterly wrong. I have laid it all out on the table, and I will not run away post-election day.
    That's good. I am not so sure about others. At least you are not as desperate as them.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gfm7175 View Post
    My info is not wrong. Your info is ignorant of basic mathematics. Your info is focused on comparing RAW 2020 numbers against RAW 2016 numbers. That is EXTREMELY misleading, and especially so this year due to the vastly increased vote by mail numbers due to the covid scam... If you compare the two years against the percentage of the total electorate that the youth group makes up, then you will find that the youth vote is actually significantly UNDERperforming this year compared to 2016...
    Here we go with the Math again

    Guess you missed it last time, three men walked into a hotel looking for a room. The clerk at the front desk said he had only one room left but he would give it to them for thirty dollars, ten dollars apiece, to which the three men agreed. A bit later the clerk felt he charged them too much, so he gave the bellhop five dollar to return to the three men. The bellhop couldn't figure out how to divide five by three equally so he made it easy and gave them a dollar apiece and kept two dollars for himself. So ultimately the three men wound up paying nine dollars apiece for the room

    If the men each paid nine dollars, three times nine makes twenty seven dollars, and the bellhop kept two, making it twenty nine dollars, what happened to the other dollar?

    Get the point this time?

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    Here we go with the Math again

    Guess you missed it last time, three men walked into a hotel looking for a room. The clerk at the front desk said he had only one room left but he would give it to them for thirty dollars, ten dollars apiece, to which the three men agreed. A bit later the clerk felt he charged them too much, so he gave the bellhop five dollar to return to the three men. The bellhop couldn't figure out how to divide five by three equally so he made it easy and gave them a dollar apiece and kept two dollars for himself. So ultimately the three men wound up paying nine dollars apiece for the room

    If the men each paid nine dollars, three times nine makes twenty seven dollars, and the bellhop kept two, making it twenty nine dollars, what happened to the other dollar?

    Get the point this time?
    No, as none of your hypothetical is in any way relevant to my point about the ignoring of the comparative percentage of the total electorate that the youth vote is comprising in both cases...

    All that has happened in your scenario is that the moron bellhop who failed grade school mathematics has thieved $2 from the hotel company. Additionally, in real life, one of the three people would just end up paying a penny more than the other two paid... ($8.33 + $8.33 + $8.34 = $25.00)

    But to directly answer your "what happened to the other dollar" question: Nothing happened to it (the question is phrased in a misleading way).

    $30 (original charge) - $3 (actually refunded to the tenants) = $27 (actually paid by the tenants since the bellhop is a thief) - $2 (thieved by the bellhop) = $25 (supposed-to-be new charge to the tenants).

    In real life, this hotel company obviously has VERY VERY bad internal controls over their petty cash...


    Now, back to what I am actually talking about... When one compares 205K youth votes against 25K youth votes, that (on it's face, anyway) looks like youths are turning out in record droves... However, if the youth vote (for 18-29yr olds) is only making up <8% of the electorate, down from 10% (for 18-24yr olds), then that means that the youth vote is actually DOWN, not up... Astute observers will also notice that 18-24 does not equal 18-29, so adjusting for that difference to make it an equal age group comparison makes it even WORSE for Dems... In other words, the 18-29 age group in NC this cycle is turning out LESS than the 18-24 age group did last cycle...

    Dems love to play such games with math, since their target audience (such as yourself, and numerous other Dems on this forum) is mathematically illiterate and will just take their word for it instead of analyzing the data for themselves...

    This is why you are too stupid to realize that Dems are actually fairing very poorly according to early voting data...
    Last edited by gfm7175; 10-29-2020 at 09:01 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    The suicide hotline is going to be pretty busy.
    I'm switching my stocks to

    Common sense is not a gift, it's a punishment because you have to deal with everyone who doesn't have it.

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