Why do Trumppers pretend Texas...

[Jarod]

Why is Pennsylvania, with Biden up 5, considered closer than Texas with Trump up 2.6?

Real Clear Politics averages.

[Flash]

Why is Pennsylvania, with Biden up 5, considered closer than Texas with Trump up 2.6?

Real Clear Politics averages.

The margin of error in some of those polls is 5.5%. That means either candidate could actually lead in both of those states.

[Jarod]

The margin of error in some of those polls is 5.5%. That means either candidate could actually lead in both of those states.

Same as the Pennsylvania polls. Texas is much closer than Pennsylvania.

[jakemax]

Why is Pennsylvania, with Biden up 5, considered closer than Texas with Trump up 2.6?

Real Clear Politics averages.

Poll: Hillary by a landslide.

[Jarod]

Poll: Hillary by a landslide.

A poll said that? Ridiculous.

[Nordberg]

The margin of error in some of those polls is 5.5%. That means either candidate could actually lead in both of those states.

` Actually, it means in Pa. Biden could be tied or 10 points ahead. It goes from a very close race to a Trump slaughter.

[Jarod]

` Actually, it means in Pa. Biden could be tied or 10 points ahead. It goes from a very close race to a Trump slaughter.

This is accurate.

And it means Texas simply is very close. But these are averages of polls where some have a smaller margin of error. Averages of polls reduces the margin of error.

[Flash]

Same as the Pennsylvania polls. Texas is much closer than Pennsylvania.

Agreed. But how close they are doesn't mean much considering the margin of error could put either candidate ahead or behind.

[Flash]

` Actually, it means in Pa. Biden could be tied or 10 points ahead. It goes from a very close race to a Trump slaughter.

Agreed. So how close they are can vary considerably. Differences in the polls is often due to how they handle "likely voters."

[Jarod]

Agreed. But how close they are doesn't mean much considering the margin of error could put either candidate ahead or behind.

I don’t think that’s true for Pennsylvania.

[Jarod]

Agreed. So how close they are can vary considerably. Differences in the polls is often due to how they handle "likely voters."

Elaborate

[Flash]

Elaborate

I have read that some polls use the same raw data. The results vary because of how they determine who is likely to vote. For example, in 2016 a lot of black voters who had voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 did not vote in 2016. Some polls expected the lower enthusiasm for Hillary to result in lower turnout among black voters than in 2012 and adjusted their polls to show this while others did not make this adjustment and showed Hillary doing better in those swing states than she actually did.

[Hawkeye10]

Why is Pennsylvania, with Biden up 5, considered closer than Texas with Trump up 2.6?

Real Clear Politics averages.

Team Trump knows that the polls are wrong?

As they keep saying.

?

[Nordberg]

Agreed. So how close they are can vary considerably. Differences in the polls is often due to how they handle "likely voters."

Also by the questions they ask. That is why Gallup gets no respect. They are slanted and are outliers .

[jakemax]

A poll said that? Ridiculous.

lying shit stain.