https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...867.html#polls


first of all averaging polls with different methodology is bogus from the start

second of all RCP suffers from severe selection bias

Look at this "average" from Nevada

1) the purposely include an obvious outlier of an 11 point lead for Beijing Buyden
2) the outlier poll is over a month old and is no longer relevant

Once you remove that outlier, Buyden's seemingly safe 5 point lead is now down to 3.7 and within the margin of error of most polls, meaning that Nevada is statistically tied