Rasmussen Reports - Black Likely Voters

[Concart]

Did a pollster tell you that?

Multiple pollsters using mathematical probabilities. So I believe them over a guy who can't even craft a clever personal insult, much less a cogent argument against polling. If you need help, I'm talking about you.

Trumps support among blacks has been in the 10-20% range. Because of the smaller sample sizes in most polls, specific demographics have a much larger margin of error. It is what it is. Trump is losing this election badly. Early voting is converting preference to actual votes. You should start mentally preparing yourself. Or not. Take your pick.

[Legion]

Multiple pollsters using mathematical probabilities. So I believe them.

L.A. Times


Moody’s Analytics


Princeton


FiveThirtyEight



Fox News


Associated Press


New York Times

[Darth Omar]

L.A. Times


Moody’s Analytics


Princeton


FiveThirtyEight



Fox News


Associated Press


New York Times

I prepared myself mentally in 2016 and was pleasantly surprised lol.

That won’t happen again in...3...2...1.

[archives]

wow. Rasmussen was accurate in 2016

No more or less than most other polling services

[archives]

Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
Morning Reader Data Points:

National Daily Black Likely Voter Job Approval For @POTUS
- October 19-23, 2020

Mon 10/19 - 25%
Tue 10/20 - 24%
Wed 10/21 - 31%
Thu 10/22 - 37%
Fri 10/23 - 46% !!!

7:45 AM · Oct 23, 2020·Twitter Web App
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Right, Trump is going to get forty six percent of the black vote, I wouldn't hang my hat on that one

[Legion]

I wouldn't hang my hat on that one

If you were smart, you wouldn't hang your hat on any poll.

But you're not smart.

[archives]

I prepared myself mentally in 2016 and was pleasantly surprised lol.

That won’t happen again in...3...2...1.

"copy and paste" is incorrect, as I showed him before, the election in 2016 was projected as a close race, as this one will be, it was within the a margin of error (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5491.html)

If you are feeling anxious about it, don't, it can either way and there is nothing you can do about it

[Legion]

That won’t happen again in...3...2...1.

They cannot seem to explain why the pollsters that failed in 2016 are suddenly supposedly peerless paragons of political prognostication, lol.

[Legion]

The election in 2016 was projected as a close race, as this one will be, it was within the a margin of error

It was?

L.A. Times


Moody’s Analytics


Princeton


FiveThirtyEight



Fox News


Associated Press


New York Times

[archives]

If you were smart, you wouldn't hang your hat on any poll.

But you're not smart.

As I just showed "DO," as I have shown you on several occasions previously, you are wrong regarding the 2016 election, it was projected to be a close race (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5491.html), within the margin of error, but I understand, the right just loves to play the martyr game, the victim, seems to be in their DNA

I also don't wear hats and I have never put any confidence in any poll, as is found on gambling slips, they "are for recreational use only"

[Legion]

You are wrong regarding the 2016 election, it was projected to be a close race within the margin of error.

These projections don't look "close" to me, Anchovies.

L.A. Times


Moody’s Analytics


Princeton


FiveThirtyEight



Fox News


Associated Press


New York Times

[Legion]

I have never put any confidence in any poll

Is that so?

"Trump has the lowest approval of any modern president at the end of his first year" "No other modern president has come close to such failing grades from the American people at about 330 days in office"
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-polit...ber-first-year http://news.gallup.com/poll/201617/g...-approval.aspx Considering the economy has improved, meaning he hasn't blown the upswing he inherited, and, the US is not massively involved in foreign conflicts, it is pretty amazing to think that the President's approval numbers are in the toilet Add to this the fact that his single legislative achievement in a Congress owned by his party is nearly as unpopular as he is and one can see how the Trump name will be an anchor on the GOP in 2018 and especially 2020

[Darth Omar]

"copy and paste" is incorrect, as I showed him before, the election in 2016 was projected as a close race, as this one will be, it was within the a margin of error (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5491.html)

If you are feeling anxious about it, don't, it can either way and there is nothing you can do about it

Prepared to lose and hoping to win.

If we go down I’ll spend the next four years handing out I told ya so’s. I’ll have fun either way.

[archives]

Is that so?

Yup, thanks for archiving my past posts, what I was doing there was showing what the favorability polls showed, and I was correct on how that influenced the 2018 election

Got anything else

[archives]

Prepared to lose and hoping to win.

If we go down I’ll spend the next four years handing out I told ya so’s. I’ll have fun either way.

I don't prepare or hope in either direction, it is what it is, I have been saying for months now that it will be a close election so there is no sense getting worked up in either case