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Thread: Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset YAHOO NEWS

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    Quote Originally Posted by volsrock View Post
    Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset

    The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it.

    Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary. There are several reasons why this happened. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. The most important factor was that voters didn't reveal their true intentions when asked by pollsters. As a result, polls failed to predict the outcome of the 2016 elections. Take a look at this screenshot of Fivethirtyeight's website from November 7, 2016 (the day before the 2016 election): ...


    https://www.yahoo.com/news/polls-bia...195322946.html

    Love it when facts show Trumpkins wrong:

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5491.html

    2016 election polls going into the 2016 election were within the margin of error

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    Quote Originally Posted by StoneByStone View Post
    Do we have any evidence of that or is it just speculation?
    From 2014....and things have only gotten worse:
    Experts were also critical about electoral flaws in certain long-established democracies, such as Italy, Japan, and the United States, with the latter ranked 25th out of 86 countries worldwide, the lowest score among Western nations. Experts highlighted concern about processes of redistricting, voter registration, and campaign finance in American elections.
    https://www.cambridge.org/core/journ...71/core-reader
    This illegal illegitimate regime that runs America is at fault...not me.... they do not represent me and I have long objected to their crimes against humanity.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    From 2014....and things have only gotten worse:

    https://www.cambridge.org/core/journ...71/core-reader
    But it's not saying America has a problem with voter fraud.

    I do think we have problems with our system, but it's usually that not enough votes are counted, not that fake ones are counted.

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    Quote Originally Posted by StoneByStone View Post
    But it's not saying America has a problem with voter fraud.

    I do think we have problems with our system, but it's usually that not enough votes are counted, not that fake ones are counted.
    I am not using the term voter fraud....I am saying that those who run elections do their jobs poorly all to often. Their oft refusal to keep the voter rolls clean...that is correct....that is allowing those who should be able to vote to vote and those who should not be able to vote to not...is documented. If they are not willing to do even that then we must assume that they are not counting votes correctly either. I take their consistent refusals to sit for audits from outside trustable experts as proof.
    Last edited by Hawkeye10; 10-18-2020 at 06:15 PM.
    This illegal illegitimate regime that runs America is at fault...not me.... they do not represent me and I have long objected to their crimes against humanity.

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    Although Biden said ignore the polls and do not fear because some polls are indeed biased and skewed in republicans' favor, considering those polls are also possibly manipulated by Russians to which republicans are sold out to and like in 2016 when the legitimacy of that election was destroyed in the devil's favor. Also did you tRump kissers and more ass-et for Putin consider should Democrats take the Senate that repukes are holding a narrow edge there, no matter how much tRump kissing projections and fact free bs with your worthless sources indicate in tRump's favor, Congressional justice will be vindicated against republicans when it comes to acquitting tRump who is impeached forever as a result of finally getting a conviction and getting rid of tRump. So Trumpsters, there is more than one way to get rid or your Putin puppet COVID-45 tRump who is no fascist who I would not glorify with that term or anything else other than a tyrant, dog, imposter and sick maniac:

    Those are the results of a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll — conducted after Trump returned to the White House from his hospitalization for the coronavirus — which finds Biden ahead of Trump by 11 points among registered voters, 53 percent to 42 percent.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/mee...p-nbc-n1243425

    The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, 3 weeks from Election Day
    https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/13/polit...eks/index.html
    Last edited by gemini104104; 10-18-2020 at 07:46 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by volsrock View Post
    Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset

    The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it.

    Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary. There are several reasons why this happened. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. The most important factor was that voters didn't reveal their true intentions when asked by pollsters. As a result, polls failed to predict the outcome of the 2016 elections. Take a look at this screenshot of Fivethirtyeight's website from November 7, 2016 (the day before the 2016 election): ...


    https://www.yahoo.com/news/polls-bia...195322946.html

    you are under the delusion that America is just like your white trash town
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    Boy, It sure is going to come in handy that every Democrat in the world has for the last year said that mail in ballets are fraud free............especially when millions and millions and millions of ballets come in marked for Trump. Can you say........you have been PLAYED?

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    Quote Originally Posted by volsrock View Post
    Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset

    Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary. There are several reasons why this happened. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. The most important factor was that voters didn't reveal their true intentions when asked by pollsters. As a result, polls failed to predict the outcome of the 2016 elections.
    If voters had not revealed their true intentions the 2016 polls would not have been so close to the actual results--a 2% popular vote advantage for Clinton.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Stone View Post
    Boy, It sure is going to come in handy that every Democrat in the world has for the last year said that mail in ballets are fraud free............especially when millions and millions and millions of ballets come in marked for Trump. Can you say........you have been PLAYED?
    Said nobody. Mail-in is.00004 percent corrupted. Not fraud free. You are expressing your prejudice and Trump leanings.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Nerdberg View Post
    Mail-in is.00004 percent corrupted.
    Who told you that, Nerdberg?

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    Quote Originally Posted by guano View Post
    you are under the delusion that America is just like your white trash town
    Didn't you claim to have voted in North Carolina the other day?

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    Quote Originally Posted by volsrock View Post
    Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset

    The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it.

    Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary. There are several reasons why this happened. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. The most important factor was that voters didn't reveal their true intentions when asked by pollsters. As a result, polls failed to predict the outcome of the 2016 elections. Take a look at this screenshot of Fivethirtyeight's website from November 7, 2016 (the day before the 2016 election): ...


    https://www.yahoo.com/news/polls-bia...195322946.html

    The only poll which is truly accurate is the one conducted on election day; all others are superfluous.
    When you cuss a farmer, don't talk with your mouth full.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gamewell45 View Post
    The only poll which is truly accurate is the one conducted on election day; all others are superfluous.
    Agreed and hopefully this time America will finally get a legitimate POTUS in compliance with U.S. Constitutional law after four years with a lawlessly hacked in coronavirus tyrant in violation of U.S. Constitutional law. This as a result of the unobstructed will of the majority voter and a uncorrupted electoral college and to crush all expected schemes of Russian sold out republicans in the gutter to destroy the legitimacy of another election in the devil's favor. There is the great possibility at throwing the 45 devil out of the White House but this time it will take extremely intense and extraordinary measures at rising to the occasion to defend Democracy, U.S. Constitutional law and humanity against this toxic bacteria currently squatted in the coronavirus contaminated White House.

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    Quote Originally Posted by StoneByStone View Post
    Now do you have any evidence that mail-in voting leads to large amounts of voter fraud?
    Now we have reached the point where you explain how it cannot possibly happen.
    Global Warming violates the 1st LoT by claiming a magical creation of thermal energy out of nothing, in the form of a temperature increase, which is somehow caused by a magical substance.
    Greenhouse Effect violates Stefan-Boltzmann and black body science by claiming that an increase in earth's temperature is somehow caused by a decrease in earth's radiance.
    Greenhouse Effect violates the 2nd LoT by claiming that the cooler atmosphere somehow heats the warmer earth's surface.

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    Quote Originally Posted by IBDaMann View Post
    Now we have reached the point where you explain how it cannot possibly happen.
    Nope, if you make the claim, the burden of proof is on you.

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