Jarod (10-26-2020)
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It is accurate that voter registration in those states has been in Republicans favor, but only SINCE the primaries. I suspect this is because there was a competitive primary for Democrats in those states, so they registered early. I don't think this is a concern at all for the Biden campaign, but everyone is trotting it out.
Jarod (10-26-2020)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/202...hilly-numbers/
According to the NY Times which is linked in the Gateway Pundit article, Buyden is lagging behind Crooked Hillary by 10 points in Philadelphia. If that is correct then, I can't see a way Beijing Buyden wins Pennsylvania if he underperforms Crooked Hillary in a part of the state where he probably needs to pull B. Hussein Obama type numbers.
Before people scream that the GatewayPundit can't be believed, it is from a NY Times article, but it is behind a paywall.
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
As I said, it isn't the Gateway Pundit. They are merely quoting the NY Times. You will note from my post, that I said, if it is true Buyden can't win. I didn't read the actual NY Times piece because it is behind a paywall. You can believe it or not believe it. In one week we will find out who was right and who was wrong.
As I pointed out, Republicans have out registered Democrats in PA. That is significant. Also, in PA, I read that there are well over 200,000 new handgun owners in the state. You have to believe that those people are not going to go through the trouble of buying a gun only to vote for people committed to taking them away. Did you know that the number predictor of voting Republican is owning a handgun? It is true. You can look it up. You are allegedly a lawyer, you should be good at looking things up
Here is some data you can mull over
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2...ential-debate/
Same poll. 5 point shift after debate and Buydens oil comments. Bad news for dems
Here is some more data that you can mull over and why I think the polls are wrong this year
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog...e_missing.html
Now if you think Rhonda McDaniel is making these numbers up then there is no point continuing this conversation. But, if you believe as I do that these numbers are correct then clearly the polls are WAY OFF because todays pollsters are built to identify people who have voted in the past and not infrequent voters or new voters. Now multiply these numbers across many cities across the country that are probably seeing similar phenomenon and you see the potential for a landslide for Trump that the pollsters aren't capturing. One because they like many are fighting last elections war and two, because they don't want to capture it.
Like I said, I could be wrong but I don't think I am. When Trump is drawing tens of thousands of people for his rallies and Obama can't draw more than a couple hundred in Philadelphia that should tell you something. And don't give me the "they are being responsible for COVID" BS because if people want to show up and see The Obama they are going to do so and nobody is going to stop them.
There are hundreds of spontaneous Trump parades and rallies all over the country. None for Biden. Now if you think that kind of organic support doesn't matter and want to put your faith in the same polls that got it wrong in 2016 and also got Florida governor race wrong, then so be it. But Traflagar group has been one of the most accurate pollsters since 2016. Nate Silver? Not so much.
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
Sorry, we need to stay on topic as it relates to your first question
As to your position that Biden will win all four rust belt states and NOT win Florida and Ohio, you need to be more specific. You see, Bush won election TWICE without Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. So.........
what other states do you have Buyden picking up to make up for Florida and Ohio. I do love how nonchalant you are about not taking Florida and Ohio. It goes to show how much Trump has shifted the electoral map.
That we would even be talking about those four states as being on the table should be earth shattering news. That Buyden has to defend them should frighten you to your core. Minnesota in play?
Buyden has the narrowest of paths to victory. And trust me it does not include Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina or Ohio. ZERO chance of Buyden taking any of those states. So now it is up to you to find 270 EV and there is ONLY one and that nets him 272 WITH zero wiggle room for error. None.
Based on your calculations, Buyden has to run the table in the Rust Belt. Trump just needs one. Who would you rather be right now?
Last edited by Jarod; 11-01-2020 at 03:19 PM.
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
I’m fairly sure Biden will win.... Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Maine, Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Illinois, Oregon, New Jersey, Connecticut, Washington, Delaware, Rhodes Island, New York, Delaware, California, New York, Maryland, Hawaii, D.C., Vermont.
That adds up to more than 270 Electoral Votes.
Biden is also competitive in Georgia, Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Texas, so if he loses one of the states I feel good about, he will likely pick up one or more of the ones I consider competitive.
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
Biden is not competitive in Ohio. Never has been. You don’t even hear the media talk about it. If Trump wins Ohio by the same amount as 2016 which I think is very probable then he wins PA, MI and WI again
Buyden is clearly worried about PA. He is going to Pittsburgh tomorrow. He isn’t trying to expand the map
I don’t think you really understand how this works. Buyden is in trouble. BIG trouble. He will lose EVERY state you listed as “competitive”. He will have to run the table with everything else which won’t be easy
Even dem Lt Governor is calling for help
Maxine Waters is freaking out
You should be worried. Whether Trump wins or loses, I will be fine and content. You on the other hand? I actually worry about JPP leftists
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
Just getting 270 and is not a landslide
You seem a lot more muted than you were two weeks ago. I suspect you sense what is happening but don’t have the courage to say it. It’s ok, I understand.
Who knows maybe sleepy Joe will buck history and lose Ohio and Florida and still win? Or maybe he won’t.
4,487
18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.
LOCK HIM UP!
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