Deep Level Analysis - Trump is going to lose

**katzgar** · 09-26-2020, 05:14 AM

Originally Posted by Micawber

Nice interview katz, Nate shows Biden winning handily due to a sustained heightened locked in margin than hillary and because if Florida goes Biden trump gives up the ghost.

https://news.yahoo.com/trump-unloads...155122237.html

**ThatOwlWoman** · 09-26-2020, 05:22 AM

Originally Posted by BRUTALITOPS

Because democrats are retards with reading and following simple instructions, post-election night we'll prob end up with a bush v gore scenario where democrats keep "finding" ballots and wanting some to count and not others and we'll have to shut down their shenanigans, they will cry. This is the likely scenario we will see if trump wins.

This isn't a "deep level analysis." It's a whine about how your Tangerine Tyrant has sown the seeds of his own political destruction. But yeah, Democrats are the dumb ones.

**Truth Detector** · 09-26-2020, 08:00 AM

Originally Posted by Michael_Panetta

Want to make a bet on the election? I have Cash App. If it's legal, let's put our money where our mouth is.

I will bet $1,000 that Trump loses to Biden in November.

Want to bet $1,000 that Trump beats Biden?

Michael; stop being a jackass. Take my signature bet. Be a sport and not a loud mouthed bullshitting dunce on steroids:
https://www.justplainpolitics.com/sh...to-participate

**Truth Detector** · 09-26-2020, 08:01 AM

Originally Posted by Michael_Panetta

They accurately predicted the popular vote.

^Dumbass still believes we elect Presidents based on the popular vote. Mickey; you're a constant reminder of how our liberal educational establishment is failing our country.

**Truth Detector** · 09-26-2020, 08:02 AM

Originally Posted by Michael_Panetta

You said that the polls were inaccurate. I corrected you. This isn't a discussion about the electoral college but about how accurately the polls predicted how Americans would vote.

Any presidential poll using the "popular" vote to predict who will win is worthless you moron. You're lying again Mickey; your nose is growing.

**Truth Detector** · 09-26-2020, 08:03 AM

Originally Posted by Nordberg

The polls were extremely accurate. The polls do not have a Trump slant. That makes you uncomfortable. https://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-bl...ot-a-lot-right The problem is not polling but you.

No, they weren't. And you're a laughable dumbass to keep repeating that asinine lie shit-for-brains.

**Truth Detector** · 09-26-2020, 08:07 AM

Originally Posted by ThatFOWLWoman

This isn't a "deep level analysis." It's a whine about how your Tangerine Tyrant has sown the seeds of his own political destruction. But yeah, Democrats are the dumb ones.

November is going to be harsh on repugnant lie filled leftist assholes like this one^.

**John Barron** · 09-26-2020, 08:35 AM

Originally Posted by ThatOwlWoman

This isn't a "deep level analysis." It's a whine about how your Tangerine Tyrant has sown the seeds of his own political destruction. But yeah, Democrats are the dumb ones.

alone.jpg

**Earl** · 09-26-2020, 08:47 AM

Yes, Johnny, your post makes you look like an ass...again.

**martin** · 09-26-2020, 08:55 AM

Originally Posted by BRUTALITOPS

The democratic propaganda machine really works on the sheep.

Biden is leading too many polls in too many swing states, and this year we have a much small number of undecided voters which means far less variance than in 2016 with regards to polling.

There are 4 things that still help trump:

1) low educated white voters registration is up astronomically in PA. I believe last I saw it was up 50%, and this group is notoriously unrepresented in polling data. Democrat registration is down in states like florida.

2) General silent trump voter. We dont listen or engage with fake news and thus sampling might be skewed

3) enthusiasm gap. People are more enthusiastic to vote FOR trump and it's clear by just looking at his rallies and how happy trump supporters are to support him.

4) democrats are retards and can't follow simple instructions. They will screw up mail in voting because they can't read or put their vote in the proper envelope. I saw a NYT article recently saying possibly millions of democrat votes may be deemed ineligible. This imo is the most likely scenario and is why democrats are starting to sow the seeds of trump "stealing the election." Trump's total of people that vote in person on election day will be around 60-65% to bidens 30%. The vast majority of biden votes will be by mail. You can see this now with the biden camp freaking out and urging the democrat pussies to go to the polls live now because they know their voters are too dumb to check a box on a piece of paper and mail it in. So this helps trump as well.

Trump still has a very viable chance to win. He's around 25% right now according to nate silver, which is still a very likely outcome. That said, it's not looking good. Thankfully us owning the supreme court for the next 20 years will slow down democrat hegemony. No regrets.

I would love to be wrong about the above though

I can find no backup for point 1. Currently Democrats out-register Republicans by 700,000 voters, even though more new voters have been registering as Republicans. Moreover, Biden has maintained a steady lead in Pennsylvania outside the margin of error. https://www.newyorker.com/news/campa...f-pennsylvania

Points 2 and 3 are mere guesses. The enthusiasm against Trump that I've seen is off the charts.

Point 4 is blind hope. A fraction of absentee votes always get thrown out. As for election day turnout Republicans had better hope there hasn't been a resurgence of the virus that scares even a large number of Trump voters into staying home.

**Legion** · 09-26-2020, 08:58 AM

Originally Posted by BRUTALITOPS

it's important more conservative posters on this site understand the stakes of this election and how bad of shape trump is actually in. Go find someone that isn't planning on voting and bring them to the polls. We need every voter to defeat communism.

I'm doing my part, and yours too.

PM me for details.

**Earl** · 09-26-2020, 08:58 AM

Absentee ballots and indiscriminately mailing out blind ballots are two different animals.

Fraud has already been found in NJ with these ballots.

Democrats always cheat...count on it.

**Legion** · 09-26-2020, 09:05 AM